TKO chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.0% | -0.9% | 4.7% | 40% |
| Day 2 | +0.7% | +0.6% | 0.9% | 70% |
| Day 3 | +1.1% | -0.0% | 3.6% | 50% |
| 5-day | +3.0% | +1.7% | 8.4% | 60% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 beat | 1.09 | 1.34 | +23.3% | +5.2% | +0.3% | +5.5% | +2.9% |
| 2026-05-06 miss | 0.85 | 0.57 | -32.1% | +0.5% | -1.6% | +2.7% | +8.1% |
| 2026-02-25 miss | 0.09 | 0.02 | -80.8% | +5.0% | +8.0% | -5.4% | -15.5% |
| 2025-11-05 beat | 0.22 | 0.39 | +77.0% | -0.7% | -3.3% | +0.9% | +12.6% |
| 2025-08-06 miss | 1.67 | 0.61 | -63.6% | +1.4% | +3.3% | +18.8% | +24.7% |
| 2025-05-08 beat | 0.82 | 0.95 | +16.1% | +1.6% | -5.5% | +2.4% | +3.1% |
| 2025-02-26 beat | 0.16 | 0.39 | +141.3% | -3.7% | -5.8% | -2.2% | -0.4% |
| 2024-11-06 miss | 0.58 | 0.28 | -51.3% | -1.5% | -1.9% | -0.1% | +18.5% |
| 2024-08-08 beat | 0.88 | 1.08 | +21.8% | +2.6% | +6.8% | +0.2% | -1.7% |
| 2024-05-08 beat | 0.36 | 2.66 | +628.8% | +1.8% | -0.1% | +6.6% | +9.9% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.