TLN chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.5% | -0.5% | 3.9% | 40% |
| Day 2 | -1.3% | -0.8% | 4.2% | 40% |
| Day 3 | +1.1% | +0.5% | 3.0% | 50% |
| 5-day | -1.5% | +1.6% | 10.5% | 60% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 miss | 3.39 | 2.37 | -30.0% | +0.0% | +2.6% | +5.9% | -6.3% |
| 2026-05-05 beat | 4.26 | 4.38 | +2.9% | +4.1% | +6.5% | -14.4% | -11.0% |
| 2026-02-26 beat | 4.33 | 4.38 | +1.2% | -0.8% | -4.9% | -13.6% | -15.6% |
| 2025-11-05 miss | 3.67 | 3.29 | -10.3% | -3.2% | -4.4% | -8.0% | -8.4% |
| 2025-08-07 miss | -0.18 | -1.08 | -496.6% | -1.2% | -0.8% | +1.3% | +2.1% |
| 2025-05-08 beat | 0.71 | 1.72 | +143.1% | -1.3% | -1.2% | +7.1% | +12.4% |
| 2025-02-28 beat | -0.20 | 0.47 | +331.1% | -4.3% | +3.0% | -15.2% | -4.0% |
| 2024-11-14 beat | -0.13 | 0.99 | +860.4% | +0.2% | -1.6% | +8.2% | +2.9% |
| 2024-08-13 beat | -1.13 | 7.60 | +769.6% | +12.7% | +6.0% | +5.8% | +22.9% |
| 2024-05-13 beat | 0.83 | 4.84 | +483.1% | +1.2% | -0.1% | +2.9% | +10.5% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-14); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.