TLRY chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -4.5% | -3.8% | 13.6% | 30% |
| Day 2 | +1.3% | +1.9% | 8.6% | 70% |
| Day 3 | -1.0% | -1.9% | 4.0% | 30% |
| 5-day | -6.7% | -6.2% | 11.8% | 30% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 miss | 0.21 | 0.05 | -76.2% | +0.0% | -1.0% | +11.0% | +14.5% |
| 2026-04-01 miss | 0.07 | 0.02 | -71.4% | +2.2% | -5.1% | +9.4% | +0.3% |
| 2026-01-08 | — | -0.02 | — | +10.1% | +0.5% | +3.1% | -14.7% |
| 2025-10-09 | — | — | — | +15.7% | +22.1% | -26.7% | -41.0% |
| 2025-07-28 | — | 0.20 | — | -14.3% | -17.1% | +10.3% | +136.2% |
| 2025-04-08 beat | -0.33 | — | +100.0% | -1.7% | -20.7% | +2.2% | -4.3% |
| 2025-01-10 beat | -0.13 | -0.03 | +80.5% | -9.5% | -10.2% | -2.4% | -23.6% |
| 2024-10-10 beat | -0.30 | -0.10 | +66.7% | -0.6% | -2.5% | -1.3% | -6.3% |
| 2024-07-29 beat | -0.10 | 0.40 | +500.0% | +10.9% | +9.8% | -10.0% | -15.4% |
| 2024-04-09 beat | -0.47 | — | +100.0% | -18.1% | -20.5% | -11.2% | -5.3% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.