TM chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.5% | +0.6% | 1.8% | 60% |
| Day 2 | +0.6% | +0.4% | 2.5% | 50% |
| Day 3 | +0.1% | +0.1% | 1.3% | 50% |
| 5-day | +3.5% | +3.3% | 3.1% | 90% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 beat | 3.94 | 7.66 | +94.6% | +0.7% | +1.6% | +0.3% | +4.8% |
| 2026-05-08 beat | 2.69 | 4.00 | +49.0% | -0.5% | -0.8% | +1.7% | -6.3% |
| 2026-02-06 beat | 3.18 | 6.15 | +93.1% | +3.2% | +3.0% | +1.7% | -9.5% |
| 2025-11-05 miss | 5.36 | 4.66 | -13.1% | -1.9% | -2.3% | +4.1% | -1.3% |
| 2025-08-06 miss | 5.48 | 4.38 | -20.0% | -1.2% | -1.4% | +6.1% | +11.7% |
| 2014-02-03 beat | 2.46 | 3.27 | +32.8% | -0.8% | -0.2% | +4.8% | +1.9% |
| 2013-11-06 beat | 2.15 | 2.81 | +30.5% | +1.4% | +0.5% | -1.2% | -5.0% |
| 2013-08-09 beat | 2.59 | 3.69 | +42.4% | +0.7% | +0.6% | -0.1% | -0.6% |
| 2013-05-08 beat | 1.71 | 2.01 | +17.6% | +1.4% | +3.1% | +5.8% | -2.2% |
| 2013-02-05 miss | 1.32 | 0.68 | -48.5% | +1.7% | +1.1% | +6.0% | +4.5% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.