TMO chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.9% | +0.6% | 4.9% | 60% |
| Day 2 | -0.1% | -0.3% | 1.8% | 45% |
| Day 3 | +0.0% | +0.0% | 1.2% | 50% |
| 5-day | +0.4% | +0.1% | 5.9% | 55% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 beat | 5.71 | 6.03 | +5.6% | +9.0% | +8.7% | +0.8% | +10.0% |
| 2026-04-23 beat | 5.24 | 5.44 | +3.8% | -8.0% | -9.2% | +2.6% | -3.9% |
| 2026-01-29 beat | 6.45 | 6.57 | +1.9% | -3.7% | -2.6% | -8.4% | -14.1% |
| 2025-10-22 beat | 5.50 | 5.79 | +5.3% | -0.4% | +1.7% | -1.6% | +1.0% |
| 2025-07-23 beat | 5.23 | 5.36 | +2.5% | +10.7% | +9.1% | +2.3% | +3.7% |
| 2025-04-23 beat | 5.10 | 5.15 | +0.9% | +5.0% | -0.7% | -0.6% | -7.2% |
| 2025-01-30 beat | 5.94 | 6.10 | +2.7% | +3.9% | +6.8% | -5.6% | -13.7% |
| 2024-10-23 beat | 5.25 | 5.28 | +0.5% | -2.0% | -1.7% | -4.5% | -10.5% |
| 2024-07-24 beat | 5.13 | 5.37 | +4.7% | +0.1% | +4.1% | +6.7% | +5.1% |
| 2024-04-24 beat | 4.71 | 5.11 | +8.4% | +0.6% | +0.5% | -0.4% | +1.3% |
| 2024-01-31 beat | 5.65 | 5.67 | +0.4% | -0.7% | -5.0% | +2.5% | +6.9% |
| 2023-10-25 beat | 5.61 | 5.69 | +1.4% | -7.7% | -5.5% | +1.8% | +13.3% |
| 2023-07-26 miss | 5.43 | 5.15 | -5.2% | -2.8% | +0.6% | -3.6% | -6.3% |
| 2023-04-26 miss | 5.03 | 5.03 | -0.1% | -3.7% | -2.8% | +3.2% | -2.3% |
| 2023-02-01 beat | 5.20 | 5.40 | +3.8% | +2.8% | +3.0% | -1.4% | -4.8% |
| 2022-10-26 beat | 4.82 | 5.08 | +5.5% | -2.8% | -2.3% | -2.4% | +9.6% |
| 2022-07-28 beat | 4.98 | 5.51 | +10.6% | +1.4% | +2.7% | -1.3% | -5.7% |
| 2022-04-28 beat | 6.21 | 7.25 | +16.8% | +7.5% | +7.4% | -1.5% | +2.4% |
| 2022-02-02 beat | 5.27 | 6.54 | +24.0% | +2.0% | +1.7% | -2.4% | -9.4% |
| 2021-10-27 beat | 4.70 | 5.76 | +22.7% | +1.4% | +0.6% | +4.9% | +4.3% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.