TPL chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +2.2% | +1.7% | 6.7% | 55% |
| Day 2 | +0.6% | +0.3% | 2.7% | 55% |
| Day 3 | +0.8% | +0.9% | 3.9% | 60% |
| 5-day | +3.9% | +4.0% | 10.0% | 65% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 beat | 2.18 | 2.23 | +2.1% | +3.2% | -6.9% | -2.4% | +1.9% |
| 2026-05-06 beat | 2.02 | 2.07 | +2.5% | +1.3% | -4.9% | -2.7% | -0.7% |
| 2026-02-18 miss | 3.60 | 1.79 | -50.2% | -2.4% | +10.4% | +5.3% | +6.8% |
| 2025-11-05 miss | 1.92 | 1.76 | -8.7% | -0.2% | +10.0% | -2.2% | -10.6% |
| 2025-08-06 miss | 2.32 | 1.68 | -27.4% | +0.8% | -8.7% | +5.2% | +5.2% |
| 2024-08-07 miss | 1.79 | 1.66 | -7.1% | +1.4% | +7.1% | +0.1% | -4.4% |
| 2024-05-08 beat | 1.45 | 1.66 | +14.5% | +3.5% | +9.2% | -1.1% | +17.6% |
| 2024-02-21 beat | 1.50 | 1.64 | +9.1% | +2.9% | +2.7% | +0.8% | +7.8% |
| 2023-11-01 miss | 1.56 | 1.53 | -2.3% | -0.1% | -2.4% | -7.8% | -11.2% |
| 2023-08-02 beat | 1.25 | 1.45 | +16.3% | +2.0% | +10.0% | +12.8% | +18.4% |
| 2023-05-03 miss | 1.54 | 1.25 | -18.8% | -2.0% | -3.6% | -1.2% | -2.6% |
| 2023-02-22 miss | 1.59 | 1.44 | -9.4% | -1.3% | -1.1% | +2.5% | -6.7% |
| 2022-11-02 beat | 1.84 | 1.87 | +1.4% | -1.0% | +2.8% | +12.1% | +6.0% |
| 2022-08-03 miss | 1.76 | 1.71 | -3.0% | -0.1% | -7.2% | +6.3% | +15.0% |
| 2022-05-04 beat | 1.32 | 1.40 | +6.3% | -4.9% | -1.5% | -7.7% | +19.8% |
| 2022-02-23 miss | 1.30 | 1.13 | -13.0% | +0.0% | +8.5% | +11.7% | +32.4% |
| 2021-11-04 beat | 1.06 | 1.20 | +13.5% | +3.1% | +10.3% | -5.2% | -3.1% |
| 2021-08-05 beat | 0.80 | 0.82 | +1.9% | +1.4% | +0.7% | +0.2% | -17.6% |
| 2021-05-06 beat | 0.64 | 0.72 | +12.6% | +1.0% | +9.0% | -3.7% | -12.6% |
| 2021-02-25 beat | 0.49 | 0.64 | +31.7% | -0.1% | -0.7% | +8.7% | +33.7% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.