TPR chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +1.3% | +3.4% | 8.8% | 70% |
| Day 2 | +1.2% | +0.6% | 3.2% | 55% |
| Day 3 | +0.8% | +0.9% | 2.7% | 55% |
| 5-day | +4.4% | +6.7% | 10.9% | 65% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 beat | 1.28 | 1.32 | +3.4% | -13.7% | -16.5% | +1.1% | — |
| 2026-05-07 beat | 1.30 | 1.66 | +27.8% | -9.1% | -12.3% | -0.2% | +8.0% |
| 2026-02-05 beat | 2.23 | 2.69 | +20.7% | +6.1% | +10.2% | +6.6% | +1.6% |
| 2025-11-06 beat | 1.27 | 1.38 | +8.9% | -13.5% | -9.6% | +2.0% | +18.7% |
| 2025-08-14 beat | 1.02 | 1.04 | +2.1% | -15.5% | -15.7% | +2.8% | +15.1% |
| 2025-05-08 beat | 0.88 | 1.03 | +17.1% | +5.9% | +3.7% | +7.4% | +2.2% |
| 2025-02-06 beat | 1.75 | 2.00 | +14.4% | +19.6% | +12.0% | +5.4% | -14.0% |
| 2024-08-15 beat | 0.88 | 0.92 | +4.5% | +7.3% | +3.3% | +2.5% | +10.4% |
| 2024-05-09 beat | 0.68 | 0.81 | +19.9% | -3.5% | +3.6% | +5.3% | +9.5% |
| 2024-02-08 beat | 1.46 | 1.63 | +11.5% | +4.7% | +6.5% | +5.7% | +8.7% |
| 2023-11-09 beat | 0.90 | 0.93 | +3.0% | +5.6% | +3.0% | +6.4% | +19.6% |
| 2023-08-17 miss | 0.97 | 0.95 | -1.7% | -0.8% | +0.8% | -4.4% | -12.2% |
| 2023-05-11 beat | 0.60 | 0.78 | +30.6% | +5.7% | +8.3% | +9.7% | +7.4% |
| 2023-02-09 beat | 1.27 | 1.36 | +6.9% | +7.0% | +3.5% | +0.4% | -8.6% |
| 2022-11-10 beat | 0.76 | 0.79 | +3.9% | +0.3% | +4.2% | +7.2% | +14.7% |
| 2022-08-18 beat | 0.77 | 0.78 | +0.9% | -0.5% | +1.2% | -2.1% | -11.8% |
| 2022-05-12 beat | 0.41 | 0.51 | +23.5% | +6.6% | +15.5% | +1.1% | +1.0% |
| 2022-02-10 beat | 1.19 | 1.33 | +12.2% | -0.1% | +0.0% | -2.1% | -17.1% |
| 2021-11-11 beat | 0.70 | 0.82 | +17.9% | +5.1% | +8.4% | -0.7% | -8.9% |
| 2021-08-19 beat | 0.69 | 0.74 | +7.8% | -2.4% | -3.1% | +4.2% | -5.4% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.