TPR chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.5% | +1.9% | 8.9% | 57% |
| Day 2 | +0.2% | +0.2% | 2.8% | 52% |
| Day 3 | +0.4% | +0.3% | 2.7% | 52% |
| 5-day | +0.9% | +1.1% | 10.9% | 55% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 beat | 1.28 | 1.32 | +3.4% | -13.7% | -16.5% | +1.1% | — |
| 2026-05-07 beat | 1.30 | 1.66 | +27.8% | -9.1% | -12.3% | -0.2% | +8.0% |
| 2026-02-05 beat | 2.23 | 2.69 | +20.7% | +6.1% | +10.2% | +6.6% | +1.6% |
| 2025-11-06 beat | 1.27 | 1.38 | +8.9% | -13.5% | -9.6% | +2.0% | +18.7% |
| 2025-08-14 beat | 1.02 | 1.04 | +2.1% | -15.5% | -15.7% | +2.8% | +15.1% |
| 2025-05-08 beat | 0.88 | 1.03 | +17.1% | +5.9% | +3.7% | +7.4% | +2.2% |
| 2025-02-06 beat | 1.75 | 2.00 | +14.4% | +19.6% | +12.0% | +5.4% | -14.0% |
| 2024-08-15 beat | 0.88 | 0.92 | +4.5% | +7.3% | +3.3% | +2.5% | +10.4% |
| 2024-05-09 beat | 0.68 | 0.81 | +19.9% | -3.5% | +3.6% | +5.3% | +9.5% |
| 2024-02-08 beat | 1.46 | 1.63 | +11.5% | +4.7% | +6.5% | +5.7% | +8.7% |
| 2023-11-09 beat | 0.90 | 0.93 | +3.0% | +5.6% | +3.0% | +6.4% | +19.6% |
| 2023-08-17 miss | 0.97 | 0.95 | -1.7% | -0.8% | +0.8% | -4.4% | -12.2% |
| 2023-05-11 beat | 0.60 | 0.78 | +30.6% | +5.7% | +8.3% | +9.7% | +7.4% |
| 2023-02-09 beat | 1.27 | 1.36 | +6.9% | +7.0% | +3.5% | +0.4% | -8.6% |
| 2022-11-10 beat | 0.76 | 0.79 | +3.9% | +0.3% | +4.2% | +7.2% | +14.7% |
| 2022-08-18 beat | 0.77 | 0.78 | +0.9% | -0.5% | +1.2% | -2.1% | -11.8% |
| 2022-05-12 beat | 0.41 | 0.51 | +23.5% | +6.6% | +15.5% | +1.1% | +1.0% |
| 2022-02-10 beat | 1.19 | 1.33 | +12.2% | -0.1% | +0.0% | -2.1% | -17.1% |
| 2021-11-11 beat | 0.70 | 0.82 | +17.9% | +5.1% | +8.4% | -0.7% | -8.9% |
| 2021-08-19 beat | 0.69 | 0.74 | +7.8% | -2.4% | -3.1% | +4.2% | -5.4% |
| 2021-05-06 beat | 0.31 | 0.51 | +62.9% | -0.8% | -3.3% | -3.2% | -7.4% |
| 2021-02-04 beat | 1.00 | 1.15 | +14.8% | +4.6% | +4.6% | +8.1% | +21.5% |
| 2020-10-29 beat | 0.22 | 0.58 | +159.7% | +11.8% | +6.7% | +8.7% | +24.6% |
| 2020-08-13 beat | -0.60 | -0.25 | +58.5% | +3.3% | -1.1% | -6.9% | +13.5% |
| 2020-04-30 miss | -0.04 | -0.27 | -666.0% | -3.2% | -12.7% | -2.6% | -4.6% |
| 2020-02-06 beat | 0.99 | 1.10 | +11.1% | +5.1% | +2.1% | -0.6% | -36.4% |
| 2019-11-05 beat | 0.37 | 0.40 | +8.3% | -2.3% | +1.6% | -2.1% | -5.6% |
| 2019-08-15 miss | 0.61 | 0.61 | -0.7% | -12.4% | -22.2% | +9.4% | +31.2% |
| 2019-05-09 beat | 0.41 | 0.42 | +1.9% | +17.3% | +8.5% | -6.1% | -10.2% |
| 2019-02-07 miss | 1.11 | 1.07 | -3.5% | -14.2% | -14.8% | +5.0% | +1.1% |
| 2018-10-30 beat | 0.45 | 0.48 | +6.0% | +5.4% | -1.2% | +5.3% | -5.7% |
| 2018-08-14 beat | 0.57 | 0.60 | +5.0% | +7.1% | +12.0% | -2.1% | -6.0% |
| 2018-05-01 beat | 0.50 | 0.54 | +8.2% | -12.8% | -11.7% | -4.0% | -7.9% |
| 2018-02-06 beat | 0.88 | 1.07 | +21.3% | +4.3% | +9.0% | +2.3% | +6.0% |
| 2017-11-07 beat | 0.36 | 0.42 | +16.4% | -1.2% | +1.1% | -4.1% | +0.1% |
| 2017-08-15 beat | 0.49 | 0.50 | +1.6% | -9.9% | -15.2% | +0.8% | +2.4% |
| 2017-05-02 beat | 0.44 | 0.46 | +3.5% | +6.4% | +11.4% | +4.8% | +7.0% |
| 2017-01-31 beat | 0.74 | 0.75 | +1.0% | +1.0% | +3.8% | -1.3% | +2.9% |
| 2016-11-01 beat | 0.45 | 0.45 | +0.8% | +3.1% | +2.2% | -1.7% | -1.1% |
| 2016-08-09 beat | 0.41 | 0.45 | +10.9% | -3.4% | -2.2% | -2.6% | -7.7% |
| 2016-04-26 beat | 0.41 | 0.44 | +6.1% | +0.8% | +4.2% | -2.7% | -5.6% |
| 2016-01-26 beat | 0.66 | 0.68 | +2.7% | +8.0% | +9.8% | +11.5% | +16.7% |
| 2015-10-27 beat | 0.40 | 0.41 | +2.9% | +6.8% | +4.4% | +2.8% | +2.3% |
| 2015-08-04 beat | 0.29 | 0.31 | +5.8% | +5.2% | +3.2% | +3.9% | -5.1% |
| 2015-04-28 beat | 0.35 | 0.36 | +2.9% | -6.6% | -6.3% | -4.0% | -11.2% |
| 2015-01-29 beat | 0.66 | 0.72 | +9.6% | +6.2% | +6.8% | +0.1% | +11.9% |
| 2014-10-28 beat | 0.45 | 0.53 | +17.3% | -4.1% | -5.9% | -2.9% | +7.8% |
| 2014-08-05 beat | 0.53 | 0.59 | +11.2% | +2.9% | +4.3% | +0.5% | +4.1% |
| 2014-04-29 beat | 0.61 | 0.68 | +11.6% | -8.8% | -9.3% | -6.8% | -11.2% |
| 2014-01-22 miss | 1.11 | 1.06 | -4.5% | -7.0% | -6.0% | -2.9% | -3.5% |
| 2013-10-22 beat | 0.76 | 0.77 | +1.0% | -8.1% | -7.5% | +1.3% | +6.7% |
| 2013-07-30 miss | 0.89 | 0.89 | -0.1% | -9.1% | -7.9% | +1.2% | -1.9% |
| 2013-04-23 beat | 0.80 | 0.84 | +5.0% | +10.5% | +9.8% | +6.0% | +6.3% |
| 2013-01-23 miss | 1.28 | 1.23 | -4.2% | -16.0% | -16.4% | +1.6% | -7.8% |
| 2012-10-23 beat | 0.76 | 0.77 | +1.8% | +7.1% | +7.3% | -1.7% | -0.5% |
| 2012-07-31 beat | 0.85 | 0.86 | +1.4% | -18.9% | -18.6% | +13.3% | +14.0% |
| 2012-04-24 beat | 0.75 | 0.77 | +2.2% | -3.9% | -4.3% | +2.4% | -3.9% |
| 2012-01-24 beat | 1.15 | 1.18 | +2.4% | +3.1% | +5.8% | +3.1% | +8.8% |
| 2011-10-25 beat | 0.70 | 0.73 | +4.0% | -0.3% | -1.8% | +2.2% | -4.6% |
| 2011-08-02 beat | 0.65 | 0.68 | +4.0% | -4.6% | -6.5% | -13.0% | -7.9% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.