TPX chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +2.3% | +2.5% | 5.0% | 80% |
| Day 2 | +1.2% | -0.1% | 3.8% | 40% |
| Day 3 | +1.4% | +2.4% | 2.4% | 80% |
| 5-day | +6.0% | +4.5% | 9.5% | 80% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-07 beat | 0.81 | 0.82 | +1.6% | +7.2% | +8.3% | +1.7% | +2.7% |
| 2024-08-06 miss | 0.64 | 0.63 | -1.2% | -5.8% | -0.8% | +4.9% | +4.0% |
| 2024-05-07 beat | 0.48 | 0.50 | +3.6% | +4.6% | +3.9% | +2.4% | -5.1% |
| 2024-02-08 miss | 0.54 | 0.53 | -2.6% | +0.6% | +1.2% | -2.5% | +4.0% |
| 2023-11-02 miss | 0.83 | 0.66 | -20.1% | -7.0% | -8.9% | -0.8% | +19.4% |
| 2023-08-03 beat | 0.56 | 0.58 | +4.1% | +1.0% | +5.6% | -0.7% | +2.5% |
| 2023-05-09 beat | 0.51 | 0.53 | +3.6% | -0.7% | +0.3% | +1.5% | +1.2% |
| 2023-02-09 beat | 0.52 | 0.54 | +4.0% | -1.0% | +1.1% | +2.3% | -7.2% |
| 2022-11-03 beat | 0.75 | 0.78 | +4.4% | +3.8% | +7.7% | +16.7% | +16.8% |
| 2022-07-27 miss | 0.58 | 0.58 | -0.7% | -0.4% | +4.2% | +9.7% | +7.6% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.