TPX chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.7% | +1.5% | 8.4% | 62% |
| Day 2 | +0.5% | -0.2% | 3.0% | 47% |
| Day 3 | +0.4% | +0.7% | 2.6% | 58% |
| 5-day | +2.2% | +4.0% | 9.5% | 65% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-07 beat | 0.81 | 0.82 | +1.6% | +7.2% | +8.3% | +1.7% | +2.7% |
| 2024-08-06 miss | 0.64 | 0.63 | -1.2% | -5.8% | -0.8% | +4.9% | +4.0% |
| 2024-05-07 beat | 0.48 | 0.50 | +3.6% | +4.6% | +3.9% | +2.4% | -5.1% |
| 2024-02-08 miss | 0.54 | 0.53 | -2.6% | +0.6% | +1.2% | -2.5% | +4.0% |
| 2023-11-02 miss | 0.83 | 0.66 | -20.1% | -7.0% | -8.9% | -0.8% | +19.4% |
| 2023-08-03 beat | 0.56 | 0.58 | +4.1% | +1.0% | +5.6% | -0.7% | +2.5% |
| 2023-05-09 beat | 0.51 | 0.53 | +3.6% | -0.7% | +0.3% | +1.5% | +1.2% |
| 2023-02-09 beat | 0.52 | 0.54 | +4.0% | -1.0% | +1.1% | +2.3% | -7.2% |
| 2022-11-03 beat | 0.75 | 0.78 | +4.4% | +3.8% | +7.7% | +16.7% | +16.8% |
| 2022-07-27 miss | 0.58 | 0.58 | -0.7% | -0.4% | +4.2% | +9.7% | +7.6% |
| 2022-04-28 beat | 0.60 | 0.69 | +14.2% | +1.5% | +5.9% | -1.5% | -7.0% |
| 2022-02-22 miss | 0.96 | 0.88 | -8.3% | -13.7% | -19.4% | +5.7% | +1.8% |
| 2021-10-28 beat | 0.85 | 0.88 | +4.0% | -0.1% | -3.6% | +0.0% | -5.6% |
| 2021-07-29 beat | 0.57 | 0.79 | +39.4% | +4.8% | +15.4% | -1.5% | +4.6% |
| 2021-04-29 beat | 0.52 | 0.64 | +23.8% | -5.2% | -4.6% | +0.6% | +0.2% |
| 2021-02-11 beat | 0.52 | 0.67 | +29.4% | +15.4% | +9.5% | +4.1% | +21.7% |
| 2020-10-29 beat | 0.55 | 0.74 | +33.7% | +4.4% | -0.9% | +13.4% | +17.0% |
| 2020-07-30 beat | — | 0.17 | +8990.9% | +7.1% | +3.6% | +6.5% | +6.4% |
| 2020-04-30 beat | 0.18 | 0.34 | +84.0% | -6.7% | -5.0% | +0.2% | +22.6% |
| 2020-02-13 beat | 0.29 | 0.34 | +17.4% | +4.9% | -0.2% | -3.7% | -58.3% |
| 2019-10-31 beat | 0.29 | 0.33 | +14.0% | +3.5% | +11.1% | -6.5% | -8.0% |
| 2019-07-25 beat | 0.17 | 0.20 | +17.7% | +1.7% | +2.2% | -1.3% | -5.6% |
| 2019-05-02 beat | 0.12 | 0.14 | +11.4% | +4.9% | +7.4% | -6.4% | -1.6% |
| 2019-02-14 miss | 0.24 | 0.23 | -7.0% | -1.5% | +2.9% | +3.9% | +0.9% |
| 2018-11-01 miss | 0.30 | 0.26 | -13.8% | -7.9% | +1.2% | +4.8% | +14.3% |
| 2018-07-26 miss | 0.16 | 0.13 | -17.0% | -5.8% | -2.9% | +0.2% | +18.5% |
| 2018-05-03 miss | 0.12 | 0.11 | -11.6% | +8.5% | +2.9% | +1.2% | +3.4% |
| 2018-02-22 miss | 0.20 | 0.20 | -3.6% | -7.7% | -8.8% | -2.8% | -12.1% |
| 2017-11-02 beat | 0.24 | 0.25 | +2.7% | -10.2% | -17.2% | -3.5% | +3.7% |
| 2017-07-27 beat | 0.10 | 0.11 | +7.8% | +7.3% | +8.0% | -4.9% | -0.2% |
| 2017-05-04 beat | 0.18 | 0.24 | +30.3% | +3.1% | +0.4% | +6.2% | +2.3% |
| 2017-02-16 beat | 0.28 | 0.31 | +7.7% | +7.5% | +4.1% | -4.1% | -3.7% |
| 2016-10-27 beat | 0.30 | 0.33 | +8.7% | +6.9% | +7.3% | -1.3% | +14.7% |
| 2016-07-28 beat | 0.17 | 0.23 | +34.1% | +17.4% | +16.8% | +2.9% | +6.4% |
| 2016-04-28 beat | 0.15 | 0.17 | +10.0% | -3.7% | -0.4% | +3.1% | +1.8% |
| 2016-02-04 beat | 0.25 | 0.25 | +0.2% | -8.6% | -7.2% | -4.8% | +11.6% |
| 2015-10-29 beat | 0.27 | 0.28 | +2.6% | -1.0% | +0.4% | +6.8% | +3.8% |
| 2015-07-30 beat | 0.11 | 0.13 | +17.3% | +3.2% | +5.9% | +1.4% | -3.4% |
| 2015-04-28 beat | 0.12 | 0.14 | +14.6% | +1.3% | +1.8% | -3.0% | -2.9% |
| 2015-02-05 beat | 0.21 | 0.22 | +1.8% | -9.6% | -10.2% | +10.9% | +11.7% |
| 2014-10-30 miss | 0.22 | 0.22 | -0.9% | -13.5% | -10.3% | +3.6% | +4.0% |
| 2014-07-24 miss | 0.10 | 0.10 | -4.5% | -5.9% | -8.8% | -2.3% | +3.1% |
| 2014-05-01 beat | 0.13 | 0.13 | +3.2% | +3.9% | +5.3% | +0.0% | +3.1% |
| 2014-02-06 beat | 0.15 | 0.17 | +6.6% | -3.4% | -5.2% | +2.1% | +5.7% |
| 2013-11-06 beat | 0.17 | 0.18 | +7.3% | +13.3% | +12.1% | +4.0% | +14.1% |
| 2013-07-25 miss | 0.10 | 0.09 | -9.8% | -11.7% | -11.7% | +7.6% | +3.8% |
| 2013-05-02 beat | 0.15 | 0.16 | +2.2% | -2.7% | -3.4% | +5.3% | -10.7% |
| 2013-01-24 beat | 0.14 | 0.15 | +9.9% | +9.6% | +6.4% | -4.3% | -7.1% |
| 2012-10-23 beat | 0.17 | 0.18 | +0.4% | -18.5% | -19.5% | +5.4% | +2.4% |
| 2012-07-24 beat | 0.10 | 0.11 | +17.2% | +7.4% | +9.4% | -3.0% | +6.9% |
| 2012-04-19 beat | 0.21 | 0.22 | +1.9% | -16.7% | -20.6% | -10.4% | -27.8% |
| 2012-01-24 beat | 0.21 | 0.21 | +1.9% | -0.8% | +2.9% | +7.2% | +23.8% |
| 2011-10-20 beat | 0.21 | 0.23 | +5.6% | -0.5% | +6.1% | +2.7% | -16.5% |
| 2011-07-26 beat | 0.17 | 0.19 | +13.3% | +8.5% | +9.4% | -3.2% | -26.3% |
| 2011-04-21 beat | 0.17 | 0.17 | +0.1% | +0.9% | +2.9% | +1.7% | +1.6% |
| 2011-01-20 beat | 0.14 | 0.17 | +14.1% | +6.0% | +10.8% | -1.0% | +6.9% |
| 2010-10-19 beat | 0.14 | 0.16 | +14.3% | -3.8% | +0.1% | +5.0% | +4.9% |
| 2010-07-20 beat | 0.10 | 0.12 | +13.6% | +4.9% | -3.7% | +1.7% | -6.5% |
| 2010-04-20 beat | 0.08 | 0.11 | +37.1% | +6.9% | +11.3% | -1.8% | -11.4% |
| 2010-01-26 beat | 0.09 | 0.10 | +4.0% | -4.0% | -3.3% | +10.5% | +15.8% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.