TREX chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -1.5% | -0.7% | 10.1% | 47% |
| Day 2 | -0.3% | -0.2% | 4.0% | 47% |
| Day 3 | -0.0% | -0.1% | 3.1% | 47% |
| 5-day | -2.1% | -3.1% | 11.5% | 33% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 miss | 0.63 | 0.62 | -2.1% | +1.0% | +4.9% | +5.8% | -7.0% |
| 2026-05-07 beat | 0.51 | 0.59 | +16.1% | +9.6% | -1.8% | -1.5% | +7.3% |
| 2026-02-24 beat | -0.01 | 0.04 | +382.3% | +7.7% | +0.6% | -3.6% | -12.0% |
| 2025-11-04 miss | 0.57 | 0.51 | -10.2% | -27.7% | -31.1% | +1.9% | +6.4% |
| 2025-08-04 beat | 0.71 | 0.73 | +2.8% | -2.0% | +2.3% | -7.1% | -5.3% |
| 2025-05-08 beat | 0.59 | 0.60 | +1.6% | +5.1% | -0.9% | +5.3% | +0.7% |
| 2025-02-24 beat | 0.04 | 0.09 | +109.4% | +2.4% | +1.2% | -6.7% | -2.1% |
| 2024-10-28 beat | 0.32 | 0.37 | +15.6% | +5.2% | +6.2% | +2.3% | +5.4% |
| 2024-08-06 beat | 0.78 | 0.80 | +3.1% | -20.3% | -21.5% | +0.6% | +2.8% |
| 2024-05-09 beat | 0.72 | 0.82 | +14.2% | -6.8% | -6.5% | +0.3% | -6.7% |
| 2024-02-26 beat | 0.19 | 0.20 | +4.8% | +3.6% | -1.8% | +0.8% | +6.5% |
| 2023-10-30 beat | 0.50 | 0.57 | +14.5% | +5.3% | +1.6% | +8.8% | +25.0% |
| 2023-07-31 beat | 0.54 | 0.71 | +32.2% | +7.0% | +9.8% | -2.9% | -6.1% |
| 2023-05-08 beat | 0.33 | 0.38 | +13.7% | +8.3% | +8.2% | -8.1% | -3.3% |
| 2023-02-27 beat | 0.22 | 0.23 | +6.8% | +3.1% | -0.5% | -0.2% | -8.4% |
| 2022-10-31 miss | 0.14 | 0.14 | -2.2% | -4.9% | -8.3% | +2.1% | +4.8% |
| 2022-08-08 beat | 0.67 | 0.79 | +17.4% | -12.7% | -15.0% | +4.8% | -11.1% |
| 2022-05-09 beat | 0.54 | 0.62 | +15.2% | +10.8% | +5.3% | +4.1% | +9.4% |
| 2022-02-28 beat | 0.53 | 0.55 | +4.0% | -4.8% | -9.5% | -17.7% | -15.2% |
| 2021-11-08 beat | 0.58 | 0.64 | +10.0% | +3.6% | +14.7% | -1.5% | +3.2% |
| 2021-08-02 beat | 0.53 | 0.53 | +0.5% | -5.4% | +0.5% | +6.5% | +14.1% |
| 2021-05-10 beat | 0.38 | 0.42 | +10.5% | -1.5% | -1.6% | -6.4% | -6.6% |
| 2021-02-22 beat | 0.36 | 0.38 | +4.2% | -3.4% | -9.0% | +2.1% | -3.9% |
| 2020-11-02 beat | 0.38 | 0.41 | +8.8% | +3.5% | -1.2% | -4.4% | +7.4% |
| 2020-08-03 beat | 0.33 | 0.41 | +23.8% | -1.6% | -3.9% | -2.4% | +9.6% |
| 2020-05-04 beat | 0.30 | 0.37 | +21.7% | +6.8% | +9.3% | +3.8% | +4.7% |
| 2020-02-24 beat | 0.26 | 0.31 | +19.4% | +0.9% | +1.0% | -1.8% | -21.4% |
| 2019-10-28 beat | 0.34 | 0.36 | +6.2% | -5.9% | -8.4% | +4.3% | +4.1% |
| 2019-07-29 | 0.32 | 0.32 | — | +7.9% | +19.1% | +0.0% | +3.7% |
| 2019-04-29 miss | 0.30 | 0.27 | -9.0% | -14.4% | -9.5% | -7.6% | -12.8% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.