TRIP chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -3.8% | -2.6% | 11.7% | 33% |
| Day 2 | -0.6% | +0.1% | 5.9% | 50% |
| Day 3 | -0.1% | -0.6% | 4.3% | 40% |
| 5-day | -4.6% | -7.8% | 15.4% | 27% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 miss | 0.38 | 0.35 | -7.4% | -21.8% | -25.5% | +5.3% | -10.5% |
| 2026-05-07 miss | -0.07 | -0.11 | -68.6% | +0.0% | +0.4% | -14.5% | +5.2% |
| 2026-02-12 miss | 0.13 | 0.04 | -69.6% | -4.4% | -15.1% | +4.7% | -7.8% |
| 2025-11-06 beat | 0.55 | 0.65 | +17.9% | +6.4% | -0.1% | -4.2% | -2.9% |
| 2025-08-07 beat | 0.43 | 0.46 | +7.9% | +6.3% | +11.7% | -1.9% | -1.2% |
| 2025-05-07 beat | 0.05 | 0.14 | +174.6% | +1.9% | +12.5% | +9.4% | -1.7% |
| 2025-02-20 beat | 0.21 | 0.30 | +40.9% | -2.8% | -6.8% | -12.4% | -9.8% |
| 2024-11-06 beat | 0.44 | 0.50 | +12.5% | -6.9% | -11.2% | -5.7% | -9.4% |
| 2024-08-06 beat | 0.37 | 0.39 | +5.1% | -12.9% | -16.6% | -0.1% | +1.2% |
| 2024-05-08 beat | 0.04 | 0.12 | +206.9% | -31.7% | -28.7% | +4.0% | +2.3% |
| 2024-02-14 beat | 0.22 | 0.38 | +73.4% | +6.6% | +9.2% | -1.2% | +0.6% |
| 2023-11-06 beat | 0.47 | 0.52 | +10.6% | +8.8% | +11.0% | -0.4% | -0.2% |
| 2023-08-02 miss | 0.36 | 0.34 | -4.7% | -5.2% | -8.9% | +1.7% | -2.9% |
| 2023-05-03 miss | 0.06 | 0.05 | -21.4% | -13.9% | -8.6% | +1.1% | +4.2% |
| 2023-02-14 beat | 0.04 | 0.16 | +294.5% | +7.2% | +0.3% | -11.2% | -26.6% |
| 2022-11-07 miss | 0.38 | 0.28 | -26.2% | -22.6% | -17.3% | +8.4% | -5.3% |
| 2022-08-04 beat | 0.26 | 0.37 | +43.5% | +3.4% | +18.9% | +14.6% | -1.6% |
| 2022-05-04 miss | -0.08 | -0.09 | -13.9% | +6.6% | +5.1% | -11.6% | -3.6% |
| 2022-02-16 miss | 0.07 | -0.01 | -113.9% | -8.5% | -2.5% | -7.4% | -12.5% |
| 2021-11-08 miss | 0.24 | 0.16 | -32.6% | -9.6% | -10.2% | -2.5% | -14.6% |
| 2021-08-05 beat | -0.11 | -0.07 | +38.9% | +1.5% | -1.9% | -6.1% | -6.8% |
| 2021-05-06 miss | -0.32 | -0.41 | -27.6% | -5.3% | -1.2% | -4.5% | -5.7% |
| 2021-02-19 beat | -0.25 | -0.24 | +4.4% | +0.5% | +12.0% | +10.4% | +10.5% |
| 2020-11-05 beat | -0.25 | -0.17 | +32.6% | -1.0% | -2.8% | +27.5% | +47.6% |
| 2020-08-06 miss | -0.63 | -0.76 | -21.1% | -1.5% | -2.4% | +5.8% | +4.6% |
| 2020-05-07 miss | 0.16 | 0.07 | -56.7% | -3.6% | -4.3% | -12.6% | +33.2% |
| 2020-02-12 beat | 0.34 | 0.38 | +10.4% | +0.7% | -2.7% | -4.6% | -43.3% |
| 2019-11-06 miss | 0.69 | 0.58 | -15.5% | -11.3% | -22.4% | -1.9% | -8.9% |
| 2019-08-07 miss | 0.51 | 0.45 | -11.9% | +1.4% | +4.5% | -11.1% | -8.4% |
| 2019-05-07 beat | 0.31 | 0.36 | +14.5% | -6.4% | -11.4% | -3.0% | -7.0% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.