TSEM chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +3.1% | +2.6% | 7.5% | 67% |
| Day 2 | -0.4% | -0.1% | 3.3% | 50% |
| Day 3 | +0.1% | -0.3% | 2.8% | 40% |
| 5-day | +2.1% | +1.8% | 7.9% | 63% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 beat | 0.76 | 0.88 | +16.1% | -3.8% | +2.2% | +4.2% | -13.7% |
| 2026-05-13 beat | 0.56 | 0.65 | +15.7% | +15.0% | +22.6% | -2.3% | -2.9% |
| 2026-02-11 beat | 0.68 | 0.78 | +14.2% | +5.5% | -1.6% | -6.4% | -7.2% |
| 2025-11-10 beat | 0.54 | 0.55 | +1.4% | +3.5% | +16.7% | -2.8% | +29.0% |
| 2025-08-04 beat | 0.45 | 0.50 | +10.6% | +4.0% | +14.1% | -9.1% | +22.1% |
| 2025-05-14 beat | 0.38 | 0.45 | +19.1% | -2.1% | +5.1% | -2.8% | -9.6% |
| 2025-02-10 beat | 0.53 | 0.59 | +10.5% | -5.4% | -3.5% | +2.4% | -18.3% |
| 2024-11-13 beat | 0.53 | 0.57 | +8.2% | +8.5% | +12.3% | -3.7% | +3.2% |
| 2024-07-24 beat | 0.45 | 0.53 | +17.8% | -4.9% | +4.2% | -5.2% | -6.2% |
| 2024-05-09 beat | 0.39 | 0.46 | +17.2% | +4.1% | +6.4% | +1.5% | +5.7% |
| 2024-02-14 beat | 0.52 | 0.55 | +6.3% | +3.6% | +11.4% | +5.1% | -2.8% |
| 2023-11-13 beat | 0.50 | 0.54 | +8.0% | -7.5% | +3.9% | +9.2% | +17.8% |
| 2023-07-26 beat | 0.43 | 0.46 | +7.8% | +11.4% | +5.6% | +1.4% | -22.9% |
| 2023-05-15 beat | 0.41 | 0.64 | +54.8% | +1.2% | +1.5% | -0.9% | +0.2% |
| 2023-02-16 beat | 0.57 | 0.91 | +59.3% | -0.6% | +0.9% | -0.2% | -1.7% |
| 2022-11-14 beat | 0.61 | 0.72 | +18.4% | +3.8% | +3.0% | +1.4% | +9.2% |
| 2022-08-02 beat | 0.56 | 0.58 | +2.0% | +0.3% | +0.1% | +1.3% | -1.3% |
| 2022-05-16 beat | 0.51 | 0.54 | +7.0% | -0.9% | -1.3% | -0.3% | +0.7% |
| 2022-02-17 beat | 0.47 | 0.55 | +17.0% | -0.3% | -0.8% | -0.1% | +3.0% |
| 2021-11-08 beat | 0.37 | 0.41 | +10.8% | +4.5% | +4.6% | +0.0% | +4.6% |
| 2021-08-02 beat | 0.33 | 0.34 | +3.0% | +5.5% | +5.3% | +0.3% | +0.3% |
| 2021-05-12 miss | 0.31 | 0.31 | -0.6% | -5.7% | -8.3% | +4.9% | +9.1% |
| 2021-02-17 beat | 0.33 | 0.34 | +3.5% | +0.0% | -1.6% | -3.2% | -11.1% |
| 2020-11-12 beat | 0.18 | 0.18 | +0.9% | -0.8% | -2.1% | +4.1% | +12.6% |
| 2020-07-29 miss | 0.23 | 0.22 | -4.8% | -6.7% | -11.6% | +6.1% | -4.7% |
| 2020-05-13 beat | 0.19 | 0.20 | +7.2% | +8.2% | -1.3% | +3.6% | +0.1% |
| 2020-02-18 miss | 0.26 | 0.22 | -13.8% | -6.2% | -9.5% | -10.1% | -35.2% |
| 2019-11-13 beat | 0.25 | 0.25 | +2.0% | -9.0% | +0.8% | -5.1% | +2.8% |
| 2019-07-29 beat | 0.22 | 0.24 | +7.5% | +10.1% | +10.6% | -8.0% | -10.6% |
| 2019-05-15 beat | 0.29 | 0.30 | +2.9% | +0.7% | +3.9% | -12.1% | -15.5% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.