TU chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.4% | +0.6% | 3.2% | 60% |
| Day 2 | -0.1% | +0.3% | 1.4% | 57% |
| Day 3 | +0.0% | +0.1% | 1.3% | 53% |
| 5-day | +0.7% | +0.3% | 4.1% | 53% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 miss | 0.14 | 0.11 | -19.9% | -6.7% | -11.2% | +1.7% | +1.3% |
| 2026-05-08 beat | 0.16 | 0.17 | +6.7% | -1.2% | -1.1% | -4.2% | -3.8% |
| 2026-02-12 miss | 0.18 | 0.15 | -18.6% | -2.3% | -2.2% | -2.4% | -4.0% |
| 2025-11-07 miss | 0.19 | 0.17 | -10.9% | +0.5% | +1.3% | -1.7% | -10.1% |
| 2025-08-01 miss | 0.17 | 0.16 | -7.9% | +0.8% | -3.1% | +3.1% | +4.7% |
| 2025-05-09 beat | 0.16 | 0.19 | +20.1% | +4.4% | +7.1% | -1.2% | +0.5% |
| 2025-02-13 beat | 0.16 | 0.17 | +12.2% | +2.2% | +4.5% | +2.2% | -1.4% |
| 2024-11-08 beat | 0.17 | 0.20 | +16.6% | +3.6% | +3.2% | -3.1% | +0.6% |
| 2024-08-02 beat | 0.16 | 0.18 | +13.9% | +0.4% | +1.5% | -1.3% | -1.3% |
| 2024-05-09 beat | 0.17 | 0.19 | +9.2% | +0.2% | +0.1% | +0.3% | -2.0% |
| 2024-02-09 beat | 0.17 | 0.18 | +4.6% | +2.6% | +2.9% | +1.1% | -2.4% |
| 2023-11-03 beat | 0.18 | 0.18 | +1.4% | +1.5% | +3.0% | -2.9% | +4.9% |
| 2023-08-04 miss | 0.17 | 0.14 | -16.8% | -1.0% | -0.7% | +3.1% | +0.2% |
| 2023-05-04 beat | 0.19 | 0.20 | +3.3% | +0.3% | -1.0% | -1.6% | -8.2% |
| 2023-02-09 miss | 0.21 | 0.17 | -19.0% | -1.2% | -3.7% | +0.9% | -3.7% |
| 2022-11-04 beat | 0.24 | 0.25 | +3.2% | +3.0% | +4.5% | +2.8% | -1.5% |
| 2022-08-05 beat | 0.23 | 0.25 | +10.0% | -0.2% | -0.6% | +5.5% | -0.8% |
| 2022-05-06 miss | 0.24 | 0.23 | -1.8% | +0.1% | +1.7% | -3.2% | +1.5% |
| 2022-02-10 miss | 0.20 | 0.18 | -10.0% | -0.7% | +0.7% | +1.8% | +3.4% |
| 2021-11-05 beat | 0.23 | 0.23 | +3.0% | -0.1% | +2.3% | -0.6% | +1.6% |
| 2021-07-30 beat | 0.20 | 0.21 | +4.5% | +0.0% | +0.5% | +1.7% | +4.5% |
| 2021-05-07 miss | 0.23 | 0.22 | -2.1% | +0.0% | +0.9% | +0.5% | +6.7% |
| 2021-02-11 miss | 0.19 | 0.17 | -9.8% | +0.0% | -0.8% | -2.4% | -0.6% |
| 2020-11-06 miss | 0.23 | 0.21 | -8.3% | +0.8% | +1.1% | +5.6% | +11.7% |
| 2020-07-31 miss | 0.19 | 0.19 | -3.8% | +0.9% | +0.1% | +4.0% | +6.0% |
| 2020-05-07 miss | 0.24 | 0.23 | -5.0% | +1.4% | +0.7% | -1.5% | +17.2% |
| 2020-02-13 miss | 0.26 | 0.25 | -2.0% | -1.2% | -1.6% | -4.6% | -29.5% |
| 2019-11-07 beat | 0.28 | 0.29 | +1.4% | +0.6% | +4.2% | +1.5% | +3.8% |
| 2019-08-02 miss | 0.27 | 0.26 | -4.7% | +0.0% | -0.1% | -0.5% | +0.9% |
| 2019-05-09 miss | 0.28 | 0.28 | -0.8% | +0.1% | -0.7% | +1.3% | +4.0% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.