TWLO chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -1.0% | +1.1% | 16.0% | 55% |
| Day 2 | -0.4% | +1.2% | 4.6% | 60% |
| Day 3 | -0.9% | -1.2% | 3.4% | 45% |
| 5-day | -0.5% | -3.0% | 16.8% | 40% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 beat | 1.32 | 1.47 | +11.1% | +21.8% | +24.9% | -1.3% | -6.4% |
| 2026-04-30 beat | 1.27 | 1.50 | +18.0% | +20.1% | +23.8% | +10.0% | +25.1% |
| 2026-02-12 beat | 1.23 | 1.33 | +8.2% | -3.2% | +2.3% | -4.0% | +12.3% |
| 2025-10-30 beat | 1.07 | 1.25 | +17.0% | +12.4% | +19.5% | -5.3% | -3.8% |
| 2025-08-07 beat | 1.05 | 1.19 | +13.3% | -15.5% | -19.4% | +7.1% | +8.4% |
| 2025-05-01 beat | 0.96 | 1.14 | +18.5% | +4.9% | +2.3% | +5.6% | +17.4% |
| 2025-02-13 miss | 1.03 | 1.00 | -3.2% | -10.5% | -15.0% | -5.7% | -20.7% |
| 2024-10-30 beat | 0.86 | 1.02 | +19.1% | +14.1% | +14.3% | +14.6% | +30.3% |
| 2024-08-01 beat | 0.70 | 0.87 | +24.2% | +6.1% | +11.7% | -3.9% | -2.6% |
| 2024-05-07 beat | 0.59 | 0.80 | +34.6% | -5.0% | -7.5% | +4.8% | -2.7% |
| 2024-02-14 beat | 0.58 | 0.86 | +49.5% | -12.7% | -15.4% | -5.1% | -0.7% |
| 2023-11-08 beat | 0.36 | 0.58 | +61.3% | +2.5% | +0.3% | +9.9% | +27.1% |
| 2023-08-08 beat | 0.30 | 0.54 | +80.5% | +9.8% | +2.2% | +1.1% | +9.7% |
| 2023-05-09 beat | 0.21 | 0.47 | +123.2% | -18.1% | -12.6% | -1.8% | +30.6% |
| 2023-02-15 beat | -0.08 | 0.22 | +364.1% | +11.2% | +14.2% | -15.0% | -17.1% |
| 2022-11-03 beat | -0.35 | -0.27 | +22.5% | -26.0% | -34.6% | +29.3% | +6.6% |
| 2022-08-04 beat | -0.20 | -0.11 | +44.7% | -13.3% | -13.5% | +2.3% | -22.4% |
| 2022-05-04 beat | -0.21 | — | +101.1% | +3.1% | -1.5% | -15.0% | -13.2% |
| 2022-02-09 beat | -0.22 | -0.20 | +7.5% | +12.8% | +1.9% | -17.4% | -39.2% |
| 2021-10-27 beat | -0.14 | 0.01 | +107.0% | -17.2% | -17.6% | +10.0% | +2.9% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.