TXT chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -3.5% | -5.0% | 5.3% | 30% |
| Day 2 | -0.4% | +0.2% | 2.2% | 50% |
| Day 3 | -0.1% | +0.1% | 1.8% | 50% |
| 5-day | -4.1% | -4.9% | 5.3% | 20% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 beat | 1.55 | 1.62 | +4.8% | -5.4% | -6.4% | -0.9% | -7.4% |
| 2026-04-30 beat | 1.30 | 1.45 | +11.3% | +8.2% | +6.9% | -4.6% | -6.6% |
| 2026-01-28 beat | 1.70 | 1.73 | +1.5% | -3.9% | -7.9% | +4.5% | +13.7% |
| 2025-10-23 beat | 1.46 | 1.55 | +6.4% | +0.6% | -3.8% | -0.1% | +2.3% |
| 2025-07-24 beat | 1.45 | 1.55 | +7.2% | -0.6% | -7.2% | -3.9% | +0.7% |
| 2025-04-24 beat | 1.14 | 1.28 | +12.6% | -0.1% | +2.6% | +3.4% | +7.3% |
| 2025-01-22 beat | 1.25 | 1.34 | +6.8% | -4.2% | -3.4% | -2.8% | -7.7% |
| 2024-10-24 miss | 1.50 | 1.40 | -6.4% | -5.6% | -6.2% | -1.3% | +4.8% |
| 2024-07-18 beat | 1.47 | 1.54 | +4.6% | -0.6% | +0.6% | -1.4% | -5.1% |
| 2024-04-25 miss | 1.23 | 1.20 | -2.4% | -9.8% | -9.7% | +0.6% | +4.4% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-14); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.