UAL chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.6% | -0.9% | 6.0% | 45% |
| Day 2 | +0.1% | -0.2% | 2.8% | 47% |
| Day 3 | -0.0% | -0.2% | 2.1% | 43% |
| 5-day | -0.7% | -0.7% | 8.5% | 43% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-15 beat | 1.85 | 1.99 | +7.6% | -3.6% | -1.8% | -2.9% | +5.5% |
| 2026-04-21 beat | 1.08 | 1.19 | +10.0% | -1.2% | -5.6% | -3.4% | +8.6% |
| 2026-01-20 beat | 2.94 | 3.10 | +5.4% | +3.1% | +2.2% | -5.5% | +1.9% |
| 2025-10-15 beat | 2.68 | 2.78 | +3.8% | -1.1% | -5.6% | -2.6% | -3.2% |
| 2025-07-16 beat | 3.81 | 3.87 | +1.5% | +3.9% | +3.1% | -1.6% | +10.6% |
| 2025-04-15 beat | 0.74 | 0.91 | +23.8% | +3.9% | +0.0% | +3.1% | +16.3% |
| 2025-01-21 beat | 3.03 | 3.26 | +7.6% | +4.8% | -2.3% | +0.3% | -11.2% |
| 2024-10-15 beat | 3.17 | 3.33 | +5.0% | +2.1% | +12.4% | +2.0% | +26.6% |
| 2024-07-17 beat | 3.93 | 4.14 | +5.4% | +2.1% | -1.2% | +0.7% | -9.3% |
| 2024-04-16 beat | -0.57 | -0.15 | +73.7% | +7.1% | +17.4% | +8.1% | +12.4% |
| 2024-01-22 beat | 1.70 | 2.00 | +17.4% | +6.7% | +5.3% | +2.9% | +11.8% |
| 2023-10-17 beat | 3.41 | 3.65 | +7.1% | -5.1% | -9.7% | -3.8% | +8.4% |
| 2023-07-19 beat | 4.06 | 5.03 | +23.8% | +1.9% | +3.2% | -5.9% | -13.2% |
| 2023-04-18 beat | -0.73 | -0.63 | +14.2% | +1.3% | +7.5% | -9.0% | +4.0% |
| 2023-01-17 beat | 2.14 | 2.46 | +14.8% | +3.7% | -4.6% | +2.9% | +0.3% |
| 2022-10-18 beat | 2.28 | 2.81 | +23.1% | +5.6% | +5.0% | +8.6% | +10.6% |
| 2022-07-20 miss | 1.90 | 1.43 | -24.8% | -6.9% | -10.2% | -1.9% | +0.2% |
| 2022-04-20 miss | -4.22 | -4.24 | -0.5% | +8.4% | +9.3% | +1.9% | -14.4% |
| 2022-01-19 beat | -2.10 | -1.60 | +23.8% | -0.1% | -3.4% | -4.5% | +10.6% |
| 2021-10-19 beat | -1.68 | -1.02 | +39.1% | +1.5% | -0.6% | -0.3% | +3.2% |
| 2021-07-20 miss | -3.86 | -3.91 | -1.2% | +1.7% | +3.8% | +2.2% | -8.7% |
| 2021-04-19 miss | -7.12 | -7.50 | -5.3% | -2.8% | -8.5% | +6.3% | +10.9% |
| 2021-01-20 miss | -6.46 | -7.00 | -8.3% | -3.1% | -5.7% | -0.1% | +16.7% |
| 2020-10-14 miss | -7.55 | -8.16 | -8.0% | -1.2% | -3.8% | +8.7% | +13.8% |
| 2020-07-21 miss | -9.25 | -9.31 | -0.7% | -0.8% | -4.2% | +2.8% | +7.5% |
| 2020-04-30 beat | -3.04 | -2.57 | +15.5% | -5.0% | -10.0% | -4.5% | +12.4% |
| 2020-01-21 beat | 2.64 | 2.67 | +1.0% | +1.1% | -2.9% | -9.8% | -6.4% |
| 2019-10-15 beat | 3.96 | 4.07 | +2.8% | +1.7% | +2.1% | +0.2% | +3.1% |
| 2019-07-16 beat | 4.12 | 4.21 | +2.2% | +0.1% | +0.9% | +0.3% | -13.9% |
| 2019-04-16 beat | 0.96 | 1.15 | +20.1% | +3.3% | +4.8% | -2.7% | -8.7% |
| 2019-01-15 beat | 2.06 | 2.41 | +17.2% | +7.0% | +6.4% | -2.7% | +2.3% |
| 2018-10-16 miss | 3.07 | 3.06 | -0.3% | +5.4% | +6.0% | -7.1% | +3.9% |
| 2018-07-17 beat | 3.07 | 3.23 | +5.1% | +4.1% | +8.8% | +2.0% | +3.7% |
| 2018-04-17 beat | 0.47 | 0.50 | +5.3% | +3.2% | +4.8% | -2.9% | -1.5% |
| 2018-01-23 beat | 1.34 | 1.40 | +4.6% | -8.4% | -11.4% | -1.8% | -2.1% |
| 2017-10-18 beat | 2.16 | 2.22 | +2.9% | -2.4% | -12.1% | +0.3% | -2.6% |
| 2017-07-18 beat | 2.66 | 2.75 | +3.4% | -3.4% | -5.9% | -5.4% | -12.9% |
| 2017-04-17 beat | 0.38 | 0.41 | +8.8% | +0.3% | -4.3% | +4.8% | +12.4% |
| 2017-01-17 beat | 1.73 | 1.78 | +2.8% | -1.0% | +0.4% | -0.6% | +2.3% |
| 2016-10-17 beat | 3.06 | 3.11 | +1.6% | -0.9% | +1.2% | +1.8% | +22.0% |
| 2016-07-19 beat | 2.56 | 2.61 | +1.9% | +0.9% | +0.9% | -1.8% | -1.4% |
| 2016-04-20 beat | 1.18 | 1.23 | +4.2% | -5.6% | -10.0% | -8.9% | -15.7% |
| 2016-01-21 miss | 2.58 | 2.54 | -1.4% | +0.0% | +0.5% | +1.7% | +22.4% |
| 2015-10-22 miss | 4.56 | 4.53 | -0.7% | +1.0% | +2.7% | +7.5% | +4.9% |
| 2015-07-23 beat | 3.31 | 3.31 | +0.1% | +2.9% | -0.7% | +0.3% | -2.8% |
| 2015-04-23 beat | 1.44 | 1.52 | +5.7% | -2.0% | -1.9% | -4.9% | -14.5% |
| 2015-01-22 miss | 1.21 | 1.20 | -0.8% | +2.6% | +4.5% | +1.6% | -4.8% |
| 2014-10-23 beat | 2.68 | 2.75 | +2.5% | -4.9% | +0.7% | +4.7% | +12.0% |
| 2014-07-24 beat | 2.19 | 2.34 | +7.0% | +6.4% | -2.3% | +3.3% | +7.9% |
| 2014-04-24 beat | -1.37 | -1.33 | +2.8% | -4.1% | -9.8% | -1.5% | +4.9% |
| 2014-01-23 beat | 0.65 | 0.78 | +20.2% | -2.2% | -1.5% | -4.1% | -4.8% |
| 2013-10-24 miss | 1.54 | 1.51 | -1.7% | -0.7% | +1.1% | +8.5% | +23.1% |
| 2013-07-25 miss | 1.42 | 1.35 | -4.6% | +0.3% | -1.9% | +2.9% | -13.4% |
| 2013-04-25 beat | -1.06 | -0.98 | +7.6% | -0.7% | -1.6% | +5.5% | +11.3% |
| 2013-01-24 beat | -0.58 | -0.58 | +0.7% | +1.3% | +2.2% | -5.4% | +2.9% |
| 2012-10-25 miss | 1.50 | 1.35 | -9.8% | -3.0% | -5.0% | +5.1% | +4.8% |
| 2012-07-26 miss | 1.69 | 1.41 | -16.8% | -4.4% | -5.9% | -5.4% | +0.4% |
| 2012-04-26 beat | -1.05 | -0.87 | +17.3% | +0.8% | -3.7% | -2.5% | +6.6% |
| 2012-01-26 beat | 0.20 | 0.30 | +53.5% | +4.5% | +6.3% | +11.0% | -7.5% |
| 2011-10-27 miss | 2.07 | 2.00 | -3.6% | +1.0% | -1.1% | -6.3% | -17.6% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.