UGI chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.1% | -1.2% | 6.7% | 40% |
| Day 2 | -0.0% | +0.0% | 2.4% | 45% |
| Day 3 | -0.7% | -0.3% | 1.4% | 30% |
| 5-day | -0.6% | -1.1% | 7.4% | 40% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 miss | -0.13 | -0.20 | -53.9% | -0.9% | -3.5% | +2.9% | +10.7% |
| 2026-05-06 miss | 2.11 | 2.09 | -0.9% | -1.5% | -7.8% | +5.3% | +7.4% |
| 2026-02-04 | 1.26 | 1.26 | — | -2.2% | -6.3% | +1.1% | -2.9% |
| 2025-11-20 beat | -0.41 | -0.23 | +43.9% | -0.4% | +7.1% | +4.7% | +1.8% |
| 2025-08-06 beat | -0.09 | -0.01 | +89.3% | -4.9% | -2.0% | +0.8% | -3.3% |
| 2025-05-07 beat | 1.81 | 2.21 | +22.3% | +1.4% | +4.1% | +1.1% | +1.7% |
| 2025-02-05 beat | 1.19 | 1.37 | +14.8% | +0.8% | +2.0% | +1.1% | +1.5% |
| 2024-11-21 beat | -0.29 | -0.17 | +41.4% | +1.9% | +15.0% | +0.9% | -2.1% |
| 2024-08-07 beat | -0.06 | 0.06 | +205.9% | -2.7% | -3.9% | +3.1% | +2.1% |
| 2024-05-01 beat | 1.64 | 1.97 | +20.1% | -4.0% | -6.4% | +2.8% | +4.4% |
| 2024-01-31 beat | 1.03 | 1.20 | +16.5% | +2.7% | +13.4% | -6.7% | -0.8% |
| 2023-11-16 beat | -0.06 | 0.02 | +130.8% | +2.6% | +3.8% | -2.5% | +3.7% |
| 2023-08-02 miss | 0.02 | — | -100.0% | -2.5% | -5.3% | -5.9% | -0.2% |
| 2023-05-03 miss | 1.81 | 1.68 | -7.0% | -0.7% | -7.9% | -3.1% | -7.1% |
| 2023-02-01 beat | 0.95 | 1.14 | +20.3% | +1.0% | +5.3% | -9.6% | -12.9% |
| 2022-11-17 beat | -0.05 | — | +100.0% | +3.9% | +5.4% | -0.5% | -5.8% |
| 2022-08-03 miss | 0.12 | 0.06 | -49.1% | -0.2% | -5.1% | +0.0% | -4.8% |
| 2022-05-04 beat | 1.84 | 1.91 | +3.8% | -0.5% | +0.0% | +2.1% | +17.8% |
| 2022-02-02 miss | 1.24 | 0.93 | -24.9% | -1.4% | -4.6% | -10.4% | -21.2% |
| 2021-11-18 miss | -0.26 | -0.34 | -31.9% | -0.4% | -0.5% | -1.1% | +3.2% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.