UGI chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.1% | +0.6% | 5.9% | 50% |
| Day 2 | +0.4% | +0.0% | 2.7% | 43% |
| Day 3 | -0.3% | -0.2% | 1.5% | 43% |
| 5-day | +0.0% | -0.8% | 6.5% | 47% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 miss | -0.13 | -0.20 | -53.9% | -0.9% | -3.5% | +2.9% | +10.7% |
| 2026-05-06 miss | 2.11 | 2.09 | -0.9% | -1.5% | -7.8% | +5.3% | +7.4% |
| 2026-02-04 | 1.26 | 1.26 | — | -2.2% | -6.3% | +1.1% | -2.9% |
| 2025-11-20 beat | -0.41 | -0.23 | +43.9% | -0.4% | +7.1% | +4.7% | +1.8% |
| 2025-08-06 beat | -0.09 | -0.01 | +89.3% | -4.9% | -2.0% | +0.8% | -3.3% |
| 2025-05-07 beat | 1.81 | 2.21 | +22.3% | +1.4% | +4.1% | +1.1% | +1.7% |
| 2025-02-05 beat | 1.19 | 1.37 | +14.8% | +0.8% | +2.0% | +1.1% | +1.5% |
| 2024-11-21 beat | -0.29 | -0.17 | +41.4% | +1.9% | +15.0% | +0.9% | -2.1% |
| 2024-08-07 beat | -0.06 | 0.06 | +205.9% | -2.7% | -3.9% | +3.1% | +2.1% |
| 2024-05-01 beat | 1.64 | 1.97 | +20.1% | -4.0% | -6.4% | +2.8% | +4.4% |
| 2024-01-31 beat | 1.03 | 1.20 | +16.5% | +2.7% | +13.4% | -6.7% | -0.8% |
| 2023-11-16 beat | -0.06 | 0.02 | +130.8% | +2.6% | +3.8% | -2.5% | +3.7% |
| 2023-08-02 miss | 0.02 | — | -100.0% | -2.5% | -5.3% | -5.9% | -0.2% |
| 2023-05-03 miss | 1.81 | 1.68 | -7.0% | -0.7% | -7.9% | -3.1% | -7.1% |
| 2023-02-01 beat | 0.95 | 1.14 | +20.3% | +1.0% | +5.3% | -9.6% | -12.9% |
| 2022-11-17 beat | -0.05 | — | +100.0% | +3.9% | +5.4% | -0.5% | -5.8% |
| 2022-08-03 miss | 0.12 | 0.06 | -49.1% | -0.2% | -5.1% | +0.0% | -4.8% |
| 2022-05-04 beat | 1.84 | 1.91 | +3.8% | -0.5% | +0.0% | +2.1% | +17.8% |
| 2022-02-02 miss | 1.24 | 0.93 | -24.9% | -1.4% | -4.6% | -10.4% | -21.2% |
| 2021-11-18 miss | -0.26 | -0.34 | -31.9% | -0.4% | -0.5% | -1.1% | +3.2% |
| 2021-08-04 beat | 0.07 | 0.13 | +80.9% | +1.7% | +1.8% | +1.3% | -0.2% |
| 2021-05-05 beat | 1.73 | 1.99 | +15.2% | +1.3% | +1.1% | +2.1% | +5.6% |
| 2021-02-03 beat | 1.10 | 1.18 | +7.2% | +0.1% | +1.7% | +5.2% | +11.6% |
| 2020-11-18 beat | -0.31 | -0.14 | +54.2% | +1.4% | +1.7% | +3.1% | -4.8% |
| 2020-08-03 beat | -0.16 | 0.08 | +149.2% | +1.4% | +1.7% | +3.6% | +3.9% |
| 2020-05-06 beat | 1.52 | 1.56 | +2.6% | -2.2% | +1.1% | +1.4% | +30.7% |
| 2020-02-05 beat | 1.00 | 1.17 | +16.6% | +1.0% | +1.9% | -2.7% | -21.4% |
| 2019-11-11 miss | -0.03 | -0.10 | -214.8% | -6.1% | -10.4% | +5.5% | +6.3% |
| 2019-08-05 miss | 0.19 | 0.13 | -31.3% | -0.6% | -3.5% | -1.3% | +0.8% |
| 2019-05-06 miss | 1.56 | 1.43 | -8.5% | -0.6% | -1.9% | +0.4% | -0.4% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.