UNP chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.6% | +0.0% | 4.4% | 50% |
| Day 2 | -0.2% | -0.2% | 1.8% | 45% |
| Day 3 | +0.6% | +0.7% | 1.3% | 75% |
| 5-day | +0.9% | +0.5% | 4.1% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 beat | 3.24 | 3.41 | +5.2% | +5.9% | +4.0% | -4.9% | +1.2% |
| 2026-04-23 beat | 2.86 | 2.93 | +2.4% | +5.4% | +8.8% | -0.7% | -2.0% |
| 2026-01-27 miss | 2.87 | 2.86 | -0.3% | +1.8% | +0.7% | +3.8% | +14.1% |
| 2025-10-23 beat | 3.00 | 3.08 | +2.8% | -0.9% | -2.3% | -0.5% | +2.8% |
| 2025-07-24 beat | 2.91 | 3.03 | +4.2% | -2.2% | -4.5% | +0.7% | +3.3% |
| 2025-04-24 miss | 2.73 | 2.70 | -1.1% | -5.2% | -2.0% | -0.6% | +3.1% |
| 2025-01-23 beat | 2.79 | 2.98 | +6.8% | +4.6% | +5.2% | +0.8% | -2.3% |
| 2024-10-24 miss | 2.78 | 2.75 | -1.1% | -4.9% | -4.4% | +0.6% | +5.0% |
| 2024-07-25 beat | 2.71 | 2.74 | +1.1% | -0.6% | -0.9% | +3.9% | +4.9% |
| 2024-04-25 beat | 2.52 | 2.69 | +6.7% | +3.6% | +5.0% | -2.4% | -4.7% |
| 2024-01-25 beat | 2.57 | 2.71 | +5.4% | +0.7% | -0.3% | +3.2% | +4.6% |
| 2023-10-19 beat | 2.43 | 2.51 | +3.2% | +6.1% | +2.1% | -3.8% | +4.2% |
| 2023-07-26 miss | 2.75 | 2.57 | -6.7% | +9.9% | +10.4% | -3.3% | -6.5% |
| 2023-04-20 miss | 2.57 | 2.53 | -1.5% | +0.2% | +0.3% | -4.5% | -1.8% |
| 2023-01-24 miss | 2.77 | 2.67 | -3.7% | -2.4% | -3.3% | +0.5% | -4.9% |
| 2022-10-20 miss | 3.06 | 3.05 | -0.3% | -3.8% | -6.8% | +5.1% | +12.9% |
| 2022-07-21 beat | 2.84 | 2.93 | +3.3% | -0.9% | -1.2% | +5.6% | +12.6% |
| 2022-04-21 beat | 2.57 | 2.57 | +0.2% | -0.6% | -1.1% | -2.1% | -12.6% |
| 2022-01-20 beat | 2.61 | 2.66 | +1.7% | -0.9% | +1.1% | +1.0% | +3.8% |
| 2021-10-21 beat | 2.50 | 2.57 | +2.9% | +0.7% | +1.4% | +4.8% | +4.3% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-14); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.