UPST chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +5.0% | -6.8% | 24.2% | 30% |
| Day 2 | -0.6% | -0.3% | 6.8% | 50% |
| Day 3 | -0.4% | -0.6% | 4.6% | 40% |
| 5-day | +3.5% | -2.1% | 23.1% | 40% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 beat | 0.55 | 0.57 | +2.7% | +14.1% | -0.4% | -3.6% | -5.6% |
| 2026-05-05 miss | 0.43 | 0.30 | -29.0% | -10.2% | -7.9% | -6.0% | +3.6% |
| 2026-02-10 beat | 0.46 | 0.50 | +7.6% | -3.7% | -15.0% | -7.4% | -20.4% |
| 2025-11-04 beat | 0.42 | 0.52 | +23.4% | -14.8% | -9.7% | -5.1% | +12.0% |
| 2025-08-05 beat | 0.25 | 0.36 | +41.6% | -2.7% | -18.7% | -0.5% | -0.4% |
| 2025-05-06 beat | 0.17 | 0.30 | +75.9% | -16.3% | -9.6% | +10.5% | +17.0% |
| 2025-02-11 beat | -0.04 | 0.26 | +750.2% | +23.9% | +31.8% | -10.8% | -45.3% |
| 2024-11-07 beat | -0.15 | -0.06 | +59.1% | +17.7% | +46.0% | -15.6% | -8.6% |
| 2024-08-06 beat | -0.39 | -0.17 | +56.7% | +25.7% | +39.5% | +8.3% | +3.3% |
| 2024-05-07 beat | -0.39 | -0.31 | +20.0% | -14.6% | -5.6% | +21.6% | +6.4% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-14); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.