USDP chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -1.9% | -1.5% | 2.6% | 20% |
| Day 2 | -1.0% | -0.1% | 4.7% | 50% |
| Day 3 | +0.8% | +1.1% | 1.3% | 70% |
| 5-day | -3.0% | -0.6% | 9.0% | 30% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-08-08 beat | -0.01 | 0.14 | +1500.0% | -1.7% | -2.3% | -12.4% | -26.8% |
| 2023-05-04 miss | -0.02 | -0.13 | -529.5% | -1.0% | -7.5% | -16.1% | -44.1% |
| 2023-04-04 beat | 0.11 | 0.30 | +174.8% | +0.6% | -0.1% | +0.0% | -39.6% |
| 2022-11-02 miss | 0.22 | 0.07 | -69.2% | +0.7% | -1.7% | +0.8% | -18.0% |
| 2022-08-05 beat | 0.06 | 0.12 | +100.0% | +0.2% | +1.2% | +4.1% | -7.3% |
| 2022-05-05 beat | 0.15 | 0.32 | +113.3% | +0.0% | -5.1% | -0.5% | -1.0% |
| 2022-03-03 miss | 0.18 | 0.12 | -33.3% | -0.4% | +0.4% | -0.5% | +13.5% |
| 2021-11-03 miss | 0.20 | 0.13 | -35.0% | +0.0% | -1.4% | +9.0% | -7.2% |
| 2019-08-06 miss | 0.16 | 0.03 | -81.2% | -1.6% | -2.2% | +3.6% | -10.1% |
| 2019-05-07 miss | 0.16 | 0.04 | -75.0% | +0.0% | -0.6% | -0.3% | +1.2% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-14); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.