USDP chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.0% | -0.1% | 3.3% | 44% |
| Day 2 | -0.6% | -0.6% | 4.1% | 44% |
| Day 3 | +0.4% | +0.2% | 1.3% | 52% |
| 5-day | -0.0% | -0.2% | 7.4% | 44% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-08-08 beat | -0.01 | 0.14 | +1500.0% | -1.7% | -2.3% | -12.4% | -26.8% |
| 2023-05-04 miss | -0.02 | -0.13 | -529.5% | -1.0% | -7.5% | -16.1% | -44.1% |
| 2023-04-04 beat | 0.11 | 0.30 | +174.8% | +0.6% | -0.1% | +0.0% | -39.6% |
| 2022-11-02 miss | 0.22 | 0.07 | -69.2% | +0.7% | -1.7% | +0.8% | -18.0% |
| 2022-08-05 beat | 0.06 | 0.12 | +100.0% | +0.2% | +1.2% | +4.1% | -7.3% |
| 2022-05-05 beat | 0.15 | 0.32 | +113.3% | +0.0% | -5.1% | -0.5% | -1.0% |
| 2022-03-03 miss | 0.18 | 0.12 | -33.3% | -0.4% | +0.4% | -0.5% | +13.5% |
| 2021-11-03 miss | 0.20 | 0.13 | -35.0% | +0.0% | -1.4% | +9.0% | -7.2% |
| 2019-08-06 miss | 0.16 | 0.03 | -81.2% | -1.6% | -2.2% | +3.6% | -10.1% |
| 2019-05-07 miss | 0.16 | 0.04 | -75.0% | +0.0% | -0.6% | -0.3% | +1.2% |
| 2019-03-07 miss | 0.19 | 0.07 | -63.2% | -0.1% | +0.7% | -1.6% | -3.0% |
| 2018-11-06 miss | 0.28 | 0.21 | -25.0% | +0.5% | -0.1% | -2.6% | +0.0% |
| 2018-08-07 miss | 0.26 | 0.25 | -3.9% | +0.5% | -1.0% | -2.5% | -4.4% |
| 2018-05-08 beat | 0.23 | 0.24 | +3.0% | +0.0% | +1.4% | -0.4% | -2.7% |
| 2018-03-09 miss | 0.25 | 0.08 | -68.1% | -0.9% | -0.9% | -4.0% | -7.5% |
| 2017-11-08 miss | 0.24 | 0.24 | -0.2% | -0.5% | +0.0% | -4.2% | -4.2% |
| 2017-08-08 beat | 0.28 | 0.34 | +23.1% | +0.0% | -1.8% | -2.8% | -14.0% |
| 2017-05-03 miss | 0.32 | 0.22 | -30.3% | +0.0% | -6.5% | +5.0% | -1.2% |
| 2017-03-09 miss | 0.32 | 0.17 | -46.3% | +1.2% | +4.7% | -3.7% | +3.7% |
| 2016-11-03 beat | 0.31 | 0.49 | +59.2% | -0.8% | -0.6% | +10.8% | +15.9% |
| 2016-08-04 beat | 0.20 | 0.23 | +12.8% | -0.5% | +1.5% | +4.1% | +6.3% |
| 2016-05-05 miss | 0.34 | 0.31 | -10.2% | +0.3% | +4.4% | -0.3% | -11.8% |
| 2016-03-10 beat | 0.12 | 0.88 | +662.4% | -0.1% | +2.3% | +12.4% | +15.7% |
| 2015-11-13 beat | 0.19 | 0.25 | +31.9% | +1.2% | +7.4% | +2.1% | -28.8% |
| 2015-08-12 beat | 0.28 | 0.39 | +38.4% | +1.4% | +3.2% | -0.7% | -15.3% |
| 2015-05-14 beat | 0.29 | 0.62 | +113.1% | -0.3% | +4.0% | -6.1% | -14.8% |
| 2015-03-31 beat | 0.25 | 0.52 | +105.6% | -0.1% | +0.4% | +4.7% | +3.1% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.