USFD chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +1.4% | +0.9% | 5.2% | 65% |
| Day 2 | +1.1% | +0.9% | 2.3% | 65% |
| Day 3 | -0.6% | -0.6% | 1.3% | 25% |
| 5-day | +1.9% | +1.3% | 7.5% | 70% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 beat | 1.36 | 1.44 | +5.7% | +4.8% | +6.4% | +2.9% | -2.7% |
| 2026-05-07 miss | 0.81 | 0.78 | -3.6% | -5.5% | -5.6% | -3.4% | -0.1% |
| 2026-02-12 beat | 1.01 | 1.04 | +3.4% | -0.6% | +13.4% | -5.2% | -10.0% |
| 2025-11-06 beat | 1.03 | 1.07 | +3.7% | -1.5% | -3.6% | +1.0% | +4.8% |
| 2025-08-07 beat | 1.13 | 1.19 | +5.0% | -1.0% | -5.3% | -3.8% | -2.4% |
| 2025-05-08 miss | 0.69 | 0.68 | -2.0% | +0.7% | +3.9% | +5.6% | +7.1% |
| 2025-02-13 beat | 0.80 | 0.84 | +4.4% | -1.0% | +1.7% | -1.4% | -7.2% |
| 2024-11-07 beat | 0.83 | 0.85 | +3.0% | +0.0% | +1.2% | -0.9% | +4.5% |
| 2024-08-08 beat | 0.93 | 0.93 | +0.4% | +2.5% | +0.4% | +11.1% | +11.3% |
| 2024-05-09 miss | 0.54 | 0.54 | -0.0% | -0.6% | +4.6% | +0.2% | -3.1% |
| 2024-02-15 miss | 0.66 | 0.64 | -3.6% | -2.5% | +3.5% | +5.1% | +9.6% |
| 2023-11-09 beat | 0.69 | 0.70 | +1.9% | +0.0% | +0.5% | +2.6% | +9.1% |
| 2023-08-10 beat | 0.76 | 0.79 | +4.0% | -3.1% | -3.0% | -4.0% | -5.0% |
| 2023-05-11 beat | 0.42 | 0.50 | +20.0% | +2.1% | +5.0% | +4.0% | +6.7% |
| 2023-02-16 beat | 0.53 | 0.55 | +3.2% | +0.8% | +3.6% | -1.1% | -9.4% |
| 2022-11-10 miss | 0.61 | 0.60 | -1.4% | +4.4% | +10.4% | +3.3% | +7.3% |
| 2022-08-11 miss | 0.68 | 0.67 | -1.7% | +0.7% | +0.6% | -0.4% | -1.6% |
| 2022-05-12 beat | 0.34 | 0.36 | +5.2% | -4.2% | -3.6% | -2.5% | -13.3% |
| 2022-02-17 miss | 0.40 | 0.38 | -4.4% | -4.6% | -1.1% | +1.1% | -5.2% |
| 2021-11-08 beat | 0.48 | 0.48 | +0.4% | -4.0% | -5.4% | -5.3% | -6.6% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.