USFD chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.9% | +0.5% | 5.8% | 56% |
| Day 2 | +0.8% | +0.4% | 2.3% | 56% |
| Day 3 | -0.4% | -0.6% | 1.7% | 27% |
| 5-day | +2.6% | +1.1% | 10.3% | 66% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 beat | 1.36 | 1.44 | +5.7% | +4.8% | +6.4% | +2.9% | -2.7% |
| 2026-05-07 miss | 0.81 | 0.78 | -3.6% | -5.5% | -5.6% | -3.4% | -0.1% |
| 2026-02-12 beat | 1.01 | 1.04 | +3.4% | -0.6% | +13.4% | -5.2% | -10.0% |
| 2025-11-06 beat | 1.03 | 1.07 | +3.7% | -1.5% | -3.6% | +1.0% | +4.8% |
| 2025-08-07 beat | 1.13 | 1.19 | +5.0% | -1.0% | -5.3% | -3.8% | -2.4% |
| 2025-05-08 miss | 0.69 | 0.68 | -2.0% | +0.7% | +3.9% | +5.6% | +7.1% |
| 2025-02-13 beat | 0.80 | 0.84 | +4.4% | -1.0% | +1.7% | -1.4% | -7.2% |
| 2024-11-07 beat | 0.83 | 0.85 | +3.0% | +0.0% | +1.2% | -0.9% | +4.5% |
| 2024-08-08 beat | 0.93 | 0.93 | +0.4% | +2.5% | +0.4% | +11.1% | +11.3% |
| 2024-05-09 miss | 0.54 | 0.54 | -0.0% | -0.6% | +4.6% | +0.2% | -3.1% |
| 2024-02-15 miss | 0.66 | 0.64 | -3.6% | -2.5% | +3.5% | +5.1% | +9.6% |
| 2023-11-09 beat | 0.69 | 0.70 | +1.9% | +0.0% | +0.5% | +2.6% | +9.1% |
| 2023-08-10 beat | 0.76 | 0.79 | +4.0% | -3.1% | -3.0% | -4.0% | -5.0% |
| 2023-05-11 beat | 0.42 | 0.50 | +20.0% | +2.1% | +5.0% | +4.0% | +6.7% |
| 2023-02-16 beat | 0.53 | 0.55 | +3.2% | +0.8% | +3.6% | -1.1% | -9.4% |
| 2022-11-10 miss | 0.61 | 0.60 | -1.4% | +4.4% | +10.4% | +3.3% | +7.3% |
| 2022-08-11 miss | 0.68 | 0.67 | -1.7% | +0.7% | +0.6% | -0.4% | -1.6% |
| 2022-05-12 beat | 0.34 | 0.36 | +5.2% | -4.2% | -3.6% | -2.5% | -13.3% |
| 2022-02-17 miss | 0.40 | 0.38 | -4.4% | -4.6% | -1.1% | +1.1% | -5.2% |
| 2021-11-08 beat | 0.48 | 0.48 | +0.4% | -4.0% | -5.4% | -5.3% | -6.6% |
| 2021-08-09 beat | 0.35 | 0.58 | +67.8% | +6.3% | -0.7% | -1.4% | -2.6% |
| 2021-05-10 beat | 0.04 | 0.12 | +230.1% | +0.0% | -2.7% | -1.2% | -1.3% |
| 2021-02-16 miss | 0.09 | 0.05 | -46.8% | -4.5% | -2.4% | +3.6% | +8.5% |
| 2020-11-02 miss | 0.17 | 0.15 | -11.4% | -3.5% | +2.5% | +40.3% | +51.9% |
| 2020-08-04 beat | -0.35 | -0.25 | +27.7% | +2.3% | +7.8% | +12.9% | +12.9% |
| 2020-05-05 miss | 0.16 | 0.15 | -3.4% | -2.0% | -5.5% | -7.1% | +12.0% |
| 2020-02-11 beat | 0.65 | 0.66 | +0.9% | +0.7% | -2.6% | +0.5% | -49.5% |
| 2019-11-05 miss | 0.61 | 0.61 | -0.3% | +5.5% | +1.5% | -4.4% | -1.5% |
| 2019-08-06 beat | 0.63 | 0.64 | +1.3% | +2.7% | +7.9% | +1.3% | +7.5% |
| 2019-05-07 beat | 0.36 | 0.37 | +4.1% | -0.4% | +4.0% | +0.3% | -5.8% |
| 2019-02-12 miss | 0.59 | 0.56 | -4.8% | -6.3% | -1.8% | +2.5% | +0.0% |
| 2018-11-06 beat | 0.51 | 0.55 | +8.5% | +9.3% | +13.0% | -0.1% | +0.6% |
| 2018-07-30 miss | 0.58 | 0.57 | -1.1% | -10.1% | -17.5% | -1.1% | -3.5% |
| 2018-05-08 beat | 0.32 | 0.35 | +10.4% | -0.7% | -1.4% | +5.1% | +11.8% |
| 2018-02-15 beat | 0.43 | 0.44 | +2.5% | +4.4% | +9.6% | -0.1% | +4.9% |
| 2017-11-07 beat | 0.37 | 0.39 | +4.6% | +0.9% | -3.4% | +3.0% | +17.6% |
| 2017-08-09 beat | 0.37 | 0.37 | +0.7% | -0.4% | -4.6% | -1.7% | -0.7% |
| 2017-05-09 beat | 0.18 | 0.18 | +2.2% | -1.4% | +0.4% | +0.4% | +3.1% |
| 2017-02-15 beat | 0.50 | 0.53 | +6.4% | +1.1% | +0.0% | +1.6% | -1.0% |
| 2016-11-08 beat | 0.36 | 0.39 | +7.5% | +0.0% | +1.6% | +1.7% | +4.9% |
| 2016-08-09 beat | 0.34 | 0.45 | +33.4% | +1.7% | +2.4% | +0.5% | -0.9% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.