USPH chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -2.0% | -2.2% | 11.4% | 20% |
| Day 2 | +1.4% | +1.5% | 3.4% | 70% |
| Day 3 | +0.6% | +0.2% | 1.8% | 60% |
| 5-day | +0.6% | +1.8% | 11.6% | 60% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 miss | 0.84 | 0.75 | -11.2% | -2.7% | -1.6% | +8.2% | +3.8% |
| 2026-05-06 miss | 0.52 | 0.46 | -11.0% | -8.5% | -19.9% | +10.3% | +3.9% |
| 2026-02-26 miss | 0.67 | 0.67 | -0.6% | -3.0% | -2.9% | +4.1% | -5.8% |
| 2025-11-05 beat | 0.66 | 0.66 | +0.1% | -6.6% | -11.9% | -8.2% | -2.9% |
| 2025-08-06 beat | 0.69 | 0.81 | +16.7% | +9.4% | +15.2% | +2.7% | +1.3% |
| 2025-05-07 beat | 0.45 | 0.48 | +6.2% | -2.3% | -0.1% | +10.4% | +10.8% |
| 2025-02-26 miss | 0.70 | 0.51 | -26.8% | -6.4% | -6.0% | +0.7% | -12.7% |
| 2024-11-05 beat | 0.68 | 0.69 | +0.9% | +5.9% | +17.7% | -5.4% | -1.1% |
| 2024-08-13 miss | 0.82 | 0.73 | -10.8% | -7.8% | -9.3% | +1.8% | +3.6% |
| 2024-05-07 miss | 0.56 | 0.51 | -8.6% | -2.8% | -1.6% | +3.9% | -6.7% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.