V chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.5% | +0.1% | 3.6% | 50% |
| Day 2 | +0.1% | +0.2% | 1.6% | 53% |
| Day 3 | +0.3% | +0.5% | 1.5% | 57% |
| 5-day | +1.1% | +0.4% | 4.4% | 53% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 beat | 3.23 | 3.32 | +2.8% | -2.6% | +0.6% | -0.1% | +3.0% |
| 2026-04-28 beat | 3.10 | 3.31 | +6.8% | +8.8% | +8.3% | -4.8% | -2.5% |
| 2026-01-29 beat | 3.14 | 3.17 | +0.9% | +0.1% | -3.0% | +3.0% | -0.3% |
| 2025-10-28 beat | 2.97 | 2.98 | +0.3% | -0.3% | -1.6% | -0.4% | -2.0% |
| 2025-07-29 beat | 2.85 | 2.98 | +4.7% | +0.1% | -0.1% | -3.2% | -0.3% |
| 2025-04-29 beat | 2.68 | 2.76 | +3.0% | -2.1% | +1.2% | +1.3% | +5.7% |
| 2025-01-30 beat | 2.66 | 2.75 | +3.3% | +1.0% | -0.4% | +1.8% | +3.1% |
| 2024-10-29 beat | 2.58 | 2.71 | +5.2% | +3.7% | +2.9% | +5.9% | +8.6% |
| 2024-07-23 beat | 2.42 | 2.42 | +0.1% | -3.3% | -4.0% | +4.5% | +5.4% |
| 2024-04-23 beat | 2.43 | 2.51 | +3.2% | +3.1% | +0.3% | -2.8% | -0.3% |
| 2024-01-25 beat | 2.34 | 2.41 | +3.0% | -2.4% | -1.7% | +3.4% | +5.7% |
| 2023-10-24 beat | 2.24 | 2.33 | +3.8% | -1.0% | +0.9% | +0.7% | +7.4% |
| 2023-07-25 beat | 2.12 | 2.16 | +2.0% | -3.0% | -0.7% | +0.2% | +1.0% |
| 2023-04-25 beat | 1.99 | 2.09 | +5.2% | +0.7% | -0.6% | -1.0% | -2.1% |
| 2023-01-26 beat | 2.01 | 2.18 | +8.5% | +1.5% | +3.0% | -0.6% | -5.0% |
| 2022-10-25 beat | 1.87 | 1.93 | +3.5% | +1.1% | +4.6% | -1.2% | +5.1% |
| 2022-07-26 beat | 1.75 | 1.98 | +13.3% | -0.8% | -1.0% | -0.9% | -0.3% |
| 2022-04-26 beat | 1.65 | 1.79 | +8.4% | +8.1% | +6.5% | +0.2% | -2.6% |
| 2022-01-27 beat | 1.70 | 1.81 | +6.3% | +7.0% | +10.6% | +0.2% | -8.3% |
| 2021-10-26 beat | 1.54 | 1.62 | +5.3% | -3.0% | -6.9% | -3.6% | -8.4% |
| 2021-07-27 beat | 1.35 | 1.49 | +10.5% | -0.4% | -1.6% | -4.2% | -6.6% |
| 2021-04-27 beat | 1.27 | 1.38 | +8.6% | +0.5% | +1.5% | -1.8% | -2.8% |
| 2021-01-28 beat | 1.28 | 1.42 | +11.3% | -0.2% | -2.5% | +8.0% | +11.7% |
| 2020-10-28 beat | 1.10 | 1.12 | +1.9% | +1.2% | +2.2% | +6.9% | +13.8% |
| 2020-07-28 beat | 1.04 | 1.06 | +2.3% | -1.9% | +0.9% | -1.2% | +6.3% |
| 2020-04-30 beat | 1.35 | 1.39 | +2.8% | -2.4% | -1.8% | +5.4% | +11.8% |
| 2020-01-30 miss | 1.47 | 1.46 | -0.4% | -3.2% | -4.4% | +1.9% | -6.7% |
| 2019-10-24 beat | 1.43 | 1.47 | +2.8% | -0.7% | +1.0% | +1.7% | +1.8% |
| 2019-07-23 beat | 1.32 | 1.37 | +3.5% | -0.1% | +1.3% | -2.9% | -1.8% |
| 2019-04-24 beat | 1.24 | 1.31 | +5.7% | -0.6% | -0.3% | +0.1% | +1.0% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.