VALE chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.2% | -0.3% | 3.2% | 47% |
| Day 2 | -0.3% | +0.4% | 3.3% | 57% |
| Day 3 | -0.3% | +0.1% | 2.5% | 50% |
| 5-day | -1.1% | -2.1% | 6.7% | 33% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 miss | 0.49 | 0.36 | -26.2% | +1.1% | +0.5% | -2.3% | +0.2% |
| 2026-04-28 miss | 0.50 | 0.44 | -11.7% | -3.7% | -6.3% | +4.0% | +2.5% |
| 2026-02-11 miss | 0.63 | 0.34 | -45.2% | +0.9% | -2.0% | -1.9% | -11.7% |
| 2025-10-30 beat | 0.52 | 0.64 | +22.9% | +0.1% | +1.7% | +0.5% | +6.6% |
| 2025-07-31 beat | 0.36 | 0.50 | +37.9% | +3.8% | +1.9% | +5.3% | +4.7% |
| 2025-04-24 miss | 0.41 | 0.35 | -14.5% | -2.1% | -2.6% | -1.4% | +0.4% |
| 2025-02-18 miss | 0.52 | 0.20 | -61.0% | -0.7% | -0.7% | +0.2% | +4.1% |
| 2024-10-23 miss | 0.45 | 0.37 | -16.6% | -0.1% | +0.8% | +2.0% | -4.5% |
| 2024-07-25 miss | 0.53 | 0.43 | -17.9% | +0.3% | +0.3% | -2.1% | -2.4% |
| 2024-04-23 miss | 0.53 | 0.42 | -19.3% | +1.7% | +1.3% | -1.4% | +1.7% |
| 2024-02-22 miss | 0.93 | 0.67 | -28.3% | +1.8% | -0.3% | +0.1% | -9.7% |
| 2023-10-26 beat | 0.67 | 0.67 | +0.3% | +1.3% | +3.5% | +7.7% | +11.9% |
| 2023-07-27 miss | 0.58 | 0.23 | -60.5% | -1.8% | -3.7% | -2.9% | -9.3% |
| 2023-04-26 miss | 0.56 | 0.38 | -31.2% | -0.5% | +3.2% | -6.8% | -7.5% |
| 2023-02-16 beat | 0.60 | 0.71 | +19.4% | -0.2% | -0.4% | -4.2% | -7.6% |
| 2022-10-27 beat | 0.60 | 1.05 | +75.1% | -4.6% | -5.5% | +13.8% | +27.3% |
| 2022-07-28 beat | 0.83 | 0.94 | +13.8% | -2.7% | -1.5% | -1.9% | -1.6% |
| 2022-04-27 miss | 0.87 | 0.80 | -7.5% | +0.0% | +3.7% | -5.8% | +6.4% |
| 2022-02-23 beat | 0.81 | 1.46 | +80.5% | -4.8% | -1.2% | +16.2% | +16.8% |
| 2021-10-28 beat | 1.08 | 1.26 | +17.3% | -2.5% | -3.6% | -8.8% | -2.8% |
| 2021-07-28 beat | 1.45 | 1.59 | +9.3% | +0.5% | -0.3% | -8.3% | -15.0% |
| 2021-04-26 beat | 1.05 | 1.13 | +7.8% | +0.7% | +1.8% | +0.4% | +2.0% |
| 2021-02-25 beat | 1.01 | 1.27 | +25.8% | +1.3% | -2.9% | +5.0% | +0.4% |
| 2020-10-28 miss | 0.66 | 0.64 | -3.6% | -0.6% | +2.3% | +5.2% | +35.2% |
| 2020-07-29 miss | 0.29 | 0.29 | -0.5% | -1.3% | -2.0% | -2.7% | -4.6% |
| 2020-04-28 miss | 0.21 | 0.09 | -57.1% | +2.0% | +8.0% | -11.2% | +11.4% |
| 2020-02-20 miss | 0.47 | 0.36 | -22.7% | -3.5% | -3.6% | -14.0% | -42.4% |
| 2019-10-24 miss | 0.53 | 0.37 | -30.1% | +3.0% | +4.6% | +0.8% | -0.1% |
| 2019-07-31 miss | 0.57 | 0.29 | -49.1% | -2.0% | -3.6% | -4.4% | -12.1% |
| 2019-05-09 beat | 0.37 | 0.65 | +76.3% | +0.6% | +1.8% | -7.1% | +6.3% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.