VIV chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -2.2% | -3.9% | 4.5% | 40% |
| Day 2 | -0.1% | +0.6% | 2.5% | 60% |
| Day 3 | -0.8% | -0.8% | 2.3% | 40% |
| 5-day | -2.9% | -1.4% | 6.6% | 40% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 miss | 1.14 | 0.98 | -14.1% | -3.6% | -6.8% | -6.3% | -11.7% |
| 2026-05-11 miss | 1.16 | 0.78 | -32.8% | -4.1% | -5.5% | -4.4% | -13.0% |
| 2026-02-23 beat | 1.01 | 1.18 | +17.3% | +3.0% | +3.2% | +0.6% | -3.6% |
| 2025-10-30 miss | 0.97 | 0.59 | -39.2% | -0.6% | -5.6% | +5.2% | +10.2% |
| 2025-07-28 miss | 0.83 | 0.42 | -49.4% | -0.5% | +0.4% | +5.9% | +14.9% |
| 2025-05-12 beat | 0.60 | 0.65 | +8.3% | +3.0% | +5.9% | -3.2% | +5.3% |
| 2025-02-25 beat | 0.96 | 1.08 | +12.5% | -6.5% | -6.9% | -2.2% | +2.6% |
| 2024-11-05 beat | 0.86 | 1.02 | +18.6% | +1.0% | +1.1% | -3.1% | -8.3% |
| 2024-07-29 miss | 0.86 | 0.74 | -13.9% | -1.4% | -2.7% | +3.8% | +11.6% |
| 2024-05-07 miss | 0.57 | 0.54 | -5.3% | -5.1% | -5.0% | -3.6% | -8.5% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.