VRT chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.8% | -2.0% | 12.1% | 40% |
| Day 2 | +2.2% | +1.8% | 4.4% | 70% |
| Day 3 | +1.4% | +1.2% | 2.6% | 70% |
| 5-day | +3.7% | +1.6% | 12.7% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 beat | 1.43 | 1.52 | +6.4% | -8.7% | -17.3% | +24.6% | +20.7% |
| 2026-04-22 beat | 1.01 | 1.17 | +15.7% | -2.3% | -2.3% | +0.3% | +6.0% |
| 2026-02-11 beat | 1.30 | 1.36 | +4.9% | +16.8% | +24.5% | -2.2% | +4.2% |
| 2025-10-22 beat | 0.99 | 1.24 | +25.0% | +4.5% | -1.8% | +16.1% | -7.0% |
| 2025-07-30 beat | 0.83 | 0.95 | +13.9% | +3.1% | +1.0% | -3.1% | -6.9% |
| 2025-04-23 beat | 0.62 | 0.64 | +3.9% | +19.0% | +8.6% | +9.5% | +33.6% |
| 2025-02-12 beat | 0.82 | 0.99 | +20.6% | -9.9% | -9.7% | -5.8% | -21.4% |
| 2024-10-23 beat | 0.69 | 0.76 | +10.2% | -4.9% | -3.7% | +3.8% | +30.6% |
| 2024-07-24 beat | 0.57 | 0.67 | +17.0% | -2.9% | -13.6% | +0.1% | -2.3% |
| 2024-04-24 beat | 0.36 | 0.43 | +19.8% | +13.4% | +6.8% | +4.7% | +19.7% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.