VSEC chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +4.9% | +6.2% | 10.4% | 65% |
| Day 2 | -1.6% | -1.2% | 3.7% | 35% |
| Day 3 | -1.1% | -1.8% | 3.4% | 40% |
| 5-day | +2.8% | +4.6% | 10.0% | 60% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 beat | 0.93 | 1.75 | +87.5% | +3.4% | +4.5% | +2.4% | -9.6% |
| 2026-05-05 beat | 0.89 | 1.17 | +31.4% | +5.6% | +16.9% | -13.0% | -13.0% |
| 2026-02-25 beat | 0.89 | 1.16 | +29.9% | -0.3% | +3.2% | -5.5% | -24.6% |
| 2025-10-27 beat | 0.84 | 0.99 | +17.8% | +2.9% | +1.8% | -2.2% | -1.2% |
| 2025-07-30 beat | 0.70 | 0.97 | +38.2% | +3.2% | +10.6% | -0.8% | +3.7% |
| 2025-05-06 beat | 0.58 | 0.78 | +35.3% | +4.2% | +7.8% | +2.7% | +5.0% |
| 2025-02-26 beat | 0.72 | 0.90 | +25.4% | +9.5% | +16.7% | -1.9% | -1.0% |
| 2024-11-06 beat | 0.60 | 0.71 | +18.0% | +2.4% | +9.6% | +4.2% | +1.9% |
| 2024-07-31 beat | 0.64 | 0.64 | +0.3% | -2.5% | -5.4% | -1.8% | +10.5% |
| 2024-05-08 beat | 0.72 | 0.87 | +21.2% | -4.5% | -5.3% | -6.2% | +4.0% |
| 2024-03-06 beat | 0.80 | 0.85 | +6.2% | +2.6% | -1.0% | +0.2% | +6.8% |
| 2023-11-01 beat | 0.76 | 0.92 | +21.1% | +2.8% | +8.3% | -0.3% | +5.7% |
| 2023-07-26 beat | 0.78 | 0.82 | +5.5% | +0.3% | -2.9% | +1.6% | +2.3% |
| 2023-05-01 beat | 0.63 | 0.83 | +32.8% | +16.6% | +23.7% | -11.0% | -9.0% |
| 2023-03-08 miss | 0.75 | 0.68 | -9.6% | -10.0% | -19.9% | -6.2% | -3.0% |
| 2022-10-26 beat | 0.70 | 0.76 | +9.3% | +0.0% | -2.0% | +9.6% | +11.6% |
| 2022-07-27 beat | 0.60 | 0.75 | +26.1% | -0.4% | +10.7% | +1.3% | +7.1% |
| 2022-04-27 beat | 0.54 | 0.72 | +33.0% | +13.4% | +17.5% | -13.0% | -13.8% |
| 2022-03-09 miss | 0.76 | 0.53 | -30.4% | -5.4% | -7.2% | +0.7% | -11.2% |
| 2021-10-27 beat | 0.73 | 0.76 | +4.1% | -0.9% | +10.5% | +2.5% | +1.3% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.