WAB chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.8% | +1.9% | 5.3% | 60% |
| Day 2 | +1.0% | +0.9% | 2.4% | 63% |
| Day 3 | -0.2% | -0.1% | 2.0% | 47% |
| 5-day | +1.9% | +1.6% | 6.1% | 67% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 beat | 2.61 | 2.76 | +5.9% | +4.8% | +10.0% | +0.6% | +0.8% |
| 2026-04-22 beat | 2.52 | 2.71 | +7.5% | -1.6% | +1.5% | -0.1% | -2.4% |
| 2026-02-11 beat | 2.08 | 2.10 | +0.9% | +3.3% | +3.2% | +2.9% | -6.9% |
| 2025-10-22 beat | 2.28 | 2.32 | +2.0% | -2.1% | -2.3% | +4.2% | +1.4% |
| 2025-07-24 beat | 2.18 | 2.27 | +4.1% | -3.1% | -6.4% | -4.3% | -2.5% |
| 2025-04-23 beat | 2.03 | 2.28 | +12.5% | +6.9% | +5.9% | +1.5% | +10.0% |
| 2025-02-12 miss | 1.73 | 1.68 | -3.0% | -7.7% | -9.1% | +1.5% | -5.6% |
| 2024-10-23 beat | 1.88 | 2.00 | +6.2% | -1.3% | -1.2% | +1.1% | +5.7% |
| 2024-07-24 beat | 1.87 | 1.96 | +5.1% | -0.9% | -6.4% | +2.5% | +3.8% |
| 2024-04-24 beat | 1.48 | 1.89 | +27.4% | +9.3% | +10.0% | -1.7% | +3.7% |
| 2024-02-14 miss | 1.58 | 1.54 | -2.5% | -1.8% | -1.0% | +2.0% | +3.5% |
| 2023-10-25 beat | 1.46 | 1.70 | +16.3% | +2.6% | +4.1% | +1.7% | +12.5% |
| 2023-07-27 beat | 1.33 | 1.41 | +5.7% | +0.5% | +3.9% | -0.7% | -4.9% |
| 2023-04-26 beat | 1.20 | 1.28 | +7.1% | +0.2% | -4.2% | +1.3% | -2.7% |
| 2023-02-15 beat | 1.28 | 1.30 | +1.4% | +2.3% | +2.1% | -1.3% | -11.7% |
| 2022-11-01 beat | 1.21 | 1.22 | +1.0% | +0.0% | +0.5% | +4.6% | +9.9% |
| 2022-08-05 beat | 1.22 | 1.23 | +1.1% | -1.0% | +3.1% | +1.2% | -8.2% |
| 2022-04-27 beat | 1.12 | 1.13 | +1.0% | +1.2% | +4.1% | +5.2% | +0.8% |
| 2022-02-16 beat | 1.17 | 1.18 | +1.1% | -0.6% | +6.4% | -2.6% | +0.7% |
| 2021-10-27 beat | 1.12 | 1.14 | +1.4% | -1.6% | -3.0% | +4.1% | +4.6% |
| 2021-07-29 beat | 0.96 | 1.06 | +10.5% | +1.5% | +2.1% | +1.3% | +6.0% |
| 2021-04-29 beat | 0.86 | 0.89 | +3.6% | +1.5% | -2.2% | -2.5% | -1.1% |
| 2021-02-18 miss | 1.03 | 0.98 | -5.0% | -4.1% | -9.2% | +0.7% | +5.0% |
| 2020-10-29 beat | 0.90 | 0.95 | +5.2% | +5.8% | +4.6% | +6.2% | +24.8% |
| 2020-07-28 beat | 0.76 | 0.87 | +13.8% | +1.8% | +3.6% | -4.0% | +3.9% |
| 2020-05-04 beat | 0.95 | 0.97 | +1.8% | -1.4% | -3.2% | +3.8% | +24.5% |
| 2020-02-18 miss | 1.06 | 1.04 | -2.2% | -0.3% | +3.8% | -9.3% | -48.7% |
| 2019-10-31 beat | 1.01 | 1.03 | +1.7% | +5.6% | +1.6% | +13.3% | +11.8% |
| 2019-07-30 beat | 0.97 | 1.06 | +9.1% | +0.4% | +9.5% | -6.0% | -14.9% |
| 2019-04-25 beat | 0.84 | 1.06 | +25.7% | +0.9% | -6.7% | +4.9% | -8.4% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.