WAL chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +2.1% | +2.5% | 6.8% | 70% |
| Day 2 | +0.5% | +0.6% | 2.8% | 53% |
| Day 3 | +0.2% | +0.6% | 2.8% | 60% |
| 5-day | +3.1% | +2.1% | 9.0% | 57% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-21 miss | 2.35 | 2.28 | -3.3% | -2.5% | +3.6% | -3.2% | -5.1% |
| 2026-04-21 miss | 1.36 | 1.25 | -8.6% | -0.9% | +0.7% | +1.7% | +0.2% |
| 2026-01-26 beat | 2.38 | 2.59 | +8.9% | +2.9% | +1.2% | +2.1% | +0.7% |
| 2025-10-21 beat | 2.07 | 2.15 | +3.8% | +3.7% | +3.2% | -3.3% | -3.5% |
| 2025-07-17 miss | 2.01 | 1.99 | -1.2% | -3.2% | -4.0% | +1.2% | +2.0% |
| 2025-04-21 miss | 1.78 | 1.76 | -0.8% | +2.4% | +0.7% | +8.6% | +10.0% |
| 2025-01-27 miss | 1.91 | 1.88 | -1.6% | -0.7% | -5.1% | -2.9% | -3.4% |
| 2024-10-17 miss | 1.89 | 1.70 | -10.0% | -6.0% | -8.9% | -4.0% | +4.4% |
| 2024-07-18 miss | 1.70 | 1.70 | -0.2% | +2.1% | +7.9% | +6.1% | +3.2% |
| 2024-04-18 beat | 1.67 | 1.72 | +3.3% | -2.8% | +3.0% | +2.2% | +12.1% |
| 2024-01-25 miss | 1.91 | 1.18 | -38.1% | +0.0% | +2.5% | -10.6% | -12.7% |
| 2023-10-19 miss | 1.91 | 1.84 | -3.5% | +1.0% | -8.4% | -5.0% | +17.2% |
| 2023-07-18 beat | 1.95 | 1.96 | +0.8% | -3.1% | +7.8% | +13.6% | +2.8% |
| 2023-04-18 beat | 2.03 | 2.30 | +13.2% | +20.5% | +24.1% | -6.5% | -12.8% |
| 2023-01-24 beat | 2.66 | 2.67 | +0.5% | -2.3% | +4.9% | +8.8% | +4.6% |
| 2022-10-20 miss | 2.61 | 2.42 | -7.2% | -1.1% | +5.0% | +8.2% | +9.1% |
| 2022-07-21 beat | 2.30 | 2.39 | +4.0% | +0.8% | -4.6% | +3.0% | +8.8% |
| 2022-04-21 beat | 2.05 | 2.23 | +8.5% | -2.2% | +2.4% | -2.5% | -1.7% |
| 2022-01-27 beat | 2.32 | 2.34 | +0.9% | -1.9% | -11.1% | +2.8% | -6.7% |
| 2021-10-21 beat | 2.25 | 2.30 | +2.1% | -4.4% | +2.3% | -4.9% | -4.6% |
| 2021-07-15 beat | 1.86 | 2.29 | +22.9% | +1.0% | -3.3% | +1.3% | +4.9% |
| 2021-04-15 beat | 1.47 | 1.90 | +29.7% | -0.5% | +7.9% | +6.5% | +3.7% |
| 2021-01-21 beat | 1.34 | 1.89 | +41.4% | +2.1% | +2.6% | -4.2% | +31.4% |
| 2020-10-22 beat | 1.04 | 1.31 | +25.4% | +0.7% | +4.2% | -2.3% | +25.3% |
| 2020-07-16 beat | 0.76 | 0.85 | +11.4% | +1.1% | -0.9% | +5.0% | +4.5% |
| 2020-04-16 miss | 1.11 | 0.90 | -18.5% | +6.8% | +11.2% | -2.2% | +8.2% |
| 2020-01-23 beat | 1.21 | 1.25 | +2.6% | +0.3% | -0.3% | -3.9% | -11.3% |
| 2019-10-17 beat | 1.19 | 1.24 | +4.3% | +1.3% | +3.8% | +2.8% | +6.8% |
| 2019-07-18 beat | 1.16 | 1.18 | +1.5% | +2.9% | +3.4% | +8.0% | -5.2% |
| 2019-04-22 beat | 1.09 | 1.13 | +4.2% | +3.6% | +8.3% | +1.7% | -5.9% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.