WH chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +2.0% | +1.6% | 5.4% | 60% |
| Day 2 | +0.3% | +0.1% | 1.8% | 50% |
| Day 3 | -0.2% | -0.3% | 1.7% | 40% |
| 5-day | +1.2% | +0.2% | 4.9% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 beat | 1.41 | 1.48 | +4.9% | -1.5% | -2.9% | +3.6% | +1.6% |
| 2026-04-29 beat | 0.86 | 0.96 | +11.7% | -0.7% | -3.2% | +3.0% | -2.8% |
| 2026-02-18 beat | 0.89 | 0.93 | +4.4% | +2.8% | +5.6% | -0.8% | -10.1% |
| 2025-10-22 beat | 1.44 | 1.46 | +1.6% | -7.5% | -5.5% | -3.8% | -4.3% |
| 2025-07-23 beat | 1.16 | 1.33 | +14.2% | +3.2% | +3.1% | -3.2% | +0.2% |
| 2025-04-30 beat | 0.81 | 0.86 | +5.6% | -2.0% | +0.1% | -1.3% | -3.1% |
| 2025-02-12 beat | 0.99 | 1.04 | +5.0% | +0.1% | -1.6% | +1.4% | -14.1% |
| 2024-10-23 beat | 1.38 | 1.39 | +0.7% | +5.5% | +10.6% | -1.9% | +7.4% |
| 2024-07-24 beat | 1.04 | 1.13 | +9.1% | +1.2% | +8.8% | -2.2% | +1.3% |
| 2024-04-24 beat | 0.74 | 0.78 | +4.8% | -0.9% | +4.7% | -2.0% | -6.6% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.