WPM chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +1.5% | +1.4% | 3.4% | 73% |
| Day 2 | -0.3% | -0.4% | 3.3% | 40% |
| Day 3 | +0.2% | -0.0% | 2.2% | 50% |
| 5-day | +0.4% | -0.5% | 8.9% | 47% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 beat | 1.16 | 1.19 | +3.2% | +6.4% | +7.1% | +0.0% | +15.6% |
| 2026-05-07 beat | 1.22 | 1.28 | +4.8% | +0.0% | +5.5% | -6.1% | -18.9% |
| 2026-03-12 beat | 1.09 | 1.22 | +11.5% | -0.1% | -4.0% | -18.1% | +5.6% |
| 2025-11-06 beat | 0.58 | 0.62 | +6.0% | +1.0% | +2.9% | +5.2% | +10.3% |
| 2025-08-06 beat | 0.59 | 0.63 | +6.8% | +1.1% | +1.2% | -5.5% | +6.3% |
| 2025-05-08 beat | 0.51 | 0.55 | +7.3% | +1.9% | +4.0% | -8.5% | +2.8% |
| 2025-03-13 miss | 0.44 | 0.44 | -1.3% | +2.4% | +1.5% | +1.6% | +11.5% |
| 2024-11-07 beat | 0.33 | 0.34 | +0.5% | -0.3% | +0.6% | -9.5% | -4.7% |
| 2024-08-07 miss | 0.30 | 0.27 | -10.4% | +0.7% | +1.8% | +6.3% | +7.7% |
| 2024-05-09 beat | 0.31 | 0.36 | +18.1% | +2.2% | -1.5% | +3.8% | -2.9% |
| 2024-03-14 beat | 0.33 | 0.36 | +9.9% | +1.0% | -1.3% | +1.1% | +15.4% |
| 2023-11-10 beat | 0.26 | 0.27 | +3.8% | +0.0% | +0.1% | +6.4% | +7.9% |
| 2023-08-10 beat | 0.27 | 0.31 | +15.4% | -0.5% | +2.8% | -9.4% | -4.9% |
| 2023-05-04 miss | 0.25 | 0.23 | -8.5% | -1.9% | +1.3% | -3.3% | -11.5% |
| 2023-03-09 miss | 0.25 | 0.23 | -7.4% | +1.2% | +3.6% | +11.9% | +22.4% |
| 2022-11-03 miss | 0.22 | 0.21 | -4.7% | +5.2% | +11.8% | +10.8% | +13.1% |
| 2022-08-11 beat | 0.32 | 0.33 | +3.5% | -0.4% | +1.3% | -6.3% | -4.5% |
| 2022-05-05 beat | 0.34 | 0.35 | +3.1% | +0.1% | -0.3% | -10.2% | -4.2% |
| 2022-03-10 miss | 0.31 | 0.29 | -5.0% | -3.6% | -2.1% | -0.7% | +3.5% |
| 2021-11-04 miss | 0.33 | 0.30 | -8.3% | +1.3% | +1.8% | +8.7% | +0.2% |
| 2021-08-12 miss | 0.37 | 0.36 | -3.5% | +1.1% | +3.5% | -4.0% | +0.3% |
| 2021-05-06 miss | 0.37 | 0.36 | -2.8% | +1.5% | +0.5% | +3.3% | +7.9% |
| 2021-03-11 miss | 0.34 | 0.33 | -2.1% | -1.8% | +2.8% | +0.0% | +4.6% |
| 2020-11-09 beat | 0.33 | 0.34 | +2.0% | +1.2% | -5.1% | +0.6% | -7.4% |
| 2020-08-12 beat | 0.19 | 0.22 | +14.0% | +2.5% | +3.0% | +3.3% | +5.9% |
| 2020-05-06 miss | 0.21 | 0.21 | -0.3% | +2.3% | +4.1% | +0.6% | -13.3% |
| 2020-03-11 beat | 0.17 | 0.17 | +1.4% | -19.2% | -4.3% | -10.5% | +27.9% |
| 2019-11-14 miss | 0.16 | 0.16 | -1.5% | -0.2% | +1.8% | +1.6% | +1.7% |
| 2019-08-08 beat | 0.10 | 0.10 | +2.2% | -2.1% | +0.7% | -4.5% | +0.5% |
| 2019-05-08 beat | 0.12 | 0.13 | +5.0% | -0.2% | -1.2% | -0.8% | +12.1% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.