XPO chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +3.5% | +3.4% | 7.9% | 75% |
| Day 2 | +0.1% | -1.2% | 4.0% | 45% |
| Day 3 | -0.7% | -0.7% | 3.2% | 40% |
| 5-day | +5.4% | +5.5% | 11.1% | 65% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 beat | 1.47 | 1.70 | +15.5% | +4.2% | -0.1% | -1.5% | -5.4% |
| 2026-04-30 beat | 0.88 | 1.01 | +14.4% | -0.8% | +1.6% | -6.0% | +0.5% |
| 2026-02-05 beat | 0.76 | 0.88 | +15.3% | +11.4% | +3.4% | +2.3% | +4.7% |
| 2025-10-30 beat | 1.01 | 1.07 | +5.6% | +7.1% | +9.0% | +0.2% | +5.5% |
| 2025-07-31 beat | 0.99 | 1.05 | +6.2% | -1.7% | -9.1% | +0.1% | +7.8% |
| 2025-04-30 beat | 0.65 | 0.73 | +12.1% | +6.7% | +8.9% | +3.2% | +7.3% |
| 2025-02-06 beat | 0.63 | 0.89 | +41.6% | +10.0% | +7.8% | -2.4% | -27.7% |
| 2024-10-30 beat | 0.90 | 1.02 | +13.3% | +5.6% | +11.4% | +13.2% | +13.7% |
| 2024-08-01 beat | 1.01 | 1.12 | +11.3% | +2.0% | +0.8% | -1.0% | -1.0% |
| 2024-05-03 beat | 0.68 | 0.81 | +20.0% | +12.0% | +3.3% | +1.7% | -8.1% |
| 2024-02-07 beat | 0.62 | 0.77 | +23.8% | +10.0% | +18.9% | +3.2% | +5.1% |
| 2023-10-30 beat | 0.64 | 0.88 | +36.6% | +8.8% | +15.1% | +2.6% | +11.0% |
| 2023-08-04 beat | 0.61 | 0.71 | +16.7% | +4.3% | +4.2% | +2.7% | +2.4% |
| 2023-05-04 beat | 0.46 | 0.56 | +20.8% | +5.0% | +3.4% | +2.4% | +5.7% |
| 2023-02-08 beat | 0.84 | 0.98 | +16.4% | +0.0% | -14.0% | -0.7% | -13.9% |
| 2022-10-31 beat | 1.35 | 1.45 | +7.5% | -0.7% | +2.1% | +17.2% | +25.6% |
| 2022-08-04 beat | 1.51 | 1.81 | +19.8% | -2.6% | -2.3% | +0.4% | -11.7% |
| 2022-05-09 beat | 0.93 | 1.25 | +34.8% | +6.1% | +4.1% | +0.5% | -1.4% |
| 2022-02-08 beat | 0.98 | 1.34 | +36.4% | +6.7% | +8.3% | +2.5% | +1.1% |
| 2021-11-02 beat | 0.93 | 0.94 | +0.7% | -9.4% | -7.6% | -4.8% | -8.1% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.