YUM chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +2.0% | +2.0% | 4.5% | 80% |
| Day 2 | -0.3% | -0.2% | 1.0% | 20% |
| Day 3 | +0.3% | +0.5% | 1.7% | 60% |
| 5-day | +2.1% | +0.7% | 5.1% | 70% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 beat | 1.56 | 1.62 | +3.7% | +6.6% | +3.3% | -3.0% | -2.0% |
| 2026-04-29 beat | 1.39 | 1.50 | +8.0% | +1.3% | +2.2% | -2.4% | -7.4% |
| 2026-02-04 miss | 1.76 | 1.73 | -1.5% | -0.3% | +0.5% | -0.3% | +0.3% |
| 2025-11-04 beat | 1.48 | 1.58 | +6.7% | +4.9% | +7.3% | +0.8% | -2.5% |
| 2025-08-05 miss | 1.46 | 1.44 | -1.3% | -1.7% | -5.1% | +1.9% | +3.0% |
| 2025-04-30 beat | 1.28 | 1.30 | +1.5% | -0.1% | +1.9% | -0.6% | -4.3% |
| 2025-02-06 beat | 1.60 | 1.61 | +0.9% | +5.7% | +9.7% | +3.3% | +9.8% |
| 2024-11-05 miss | 1.41 | 1.37 | -2.8% | +0.3% | +1.5% | -0.1% | +2.5% |
| 2024-08-06 beat | 1.33 | 1.35 | +1.4% | +2.8% | +2.6% | +0.5% | -1.7% |
| 2024-05-01 miss | 1.20 | 1.15 | -4.6% | -3.4% | -4.2% | +1.2% | +1.6% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.