Z chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.6% | -1.2% | 12.3% | 30% |
| Day 2 | -0.4% | +0.2% | 3.2% | 50% |
| Day 3 | +0.3% | -0.2% | 2.5% | 50% |
| 5-day | +1.7% | +0.3% | 15.2% | 60% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 beat | 0.45 | 0.52 | +14.8% | -14.7% | -7.4% | +7.4% | +3.5% |
| 2026-05-06 beat | 0.46 | 0.53 | +15.5% | -5.1% | -1.9% | -14.4% | -20.4% |
| 2026-02-10 miss | 0.41 | 0.39 | -5.6% | -4.9% | -16.5% | -0.2% | -6.0% |
| 2025-10-30 miss | 0.44 | 0.44 | -0.3% | +0.5% | +4.5% | -2.6% | -3.9% |
| 2025-08-06 miss | 0.43 | 0.40 | -6.9% | -2.9% | -0.6% | +0.8% | +6.2% |
| 2025-05-07 beat | 0.37 | 0.41 | +10.8% | -2.6% | +0.0% | +0.5% | +3.5% |
| 2025-02-11 miss | 0.28 | 0.27 | -4.3% | -11.7% | -9.4% | +0.2% | -9.8% |
| 2024-11-06 beat | 0.29 | 0.35 | +21.4% | +16.8% | +23.8% | +2.3% | +13.0% |
| 2024-08-07 beat | 0.30 | 0.39 | +30.0% | +15.7% | +18.3% | +8.0% | +9.5% |
| 2024-05-01 beat | 0.38 | 0.39 | +2.0% | -4.0% | -4.9% | +8.1% | +4.7% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-14); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.