ZBRA chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +3.5% | +5.0% | 11.7% | 70% |
| Day 2 | -0.6% | -0.8% | 1.8% | 30% |
| Day 3 | +0.3% | -0.4% | 2.7% | 40% |
| 5-day | +2.2% | +2.1% | 13.5% | 60% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 beat | 4.38 | 6.35 | +45.1% | +13.2% | +26.5% | +3.9% | -4.8% |
| 2026-05-12 beat | 4.25 | 4.75 | +11.9% | +14.7% | +11.4% | +2.2% | -8.0% |
| 2026-02-12 miss | 4.33 | 4.33 | -0.1% | +16.3% | +8.6% | -6.8% | -25.6% |
| 2025-10-28 beat | 3.75 | 3.88 | +3.4% | -5.5% | -11.7% | -5.1% | -8.7% |
| 2025-08-05 beat | 3.33 | 3.61 | +8.4% | +2.7% | -11.4% | +8.4% | +2.9% |
| 2025-04-29 beat | 3.63 | 4.02 | +10.8% | +7.6% | +5.2% | -2.0% | +14.2% |
| 2025-02-13 beat | 3.94 | 4.00 | +1.5% | -6.6% | -8.4% | -3.8% | -11.8% |
| 2024-10-29 beat | 3.22 | 3.49 | +8.4% | +8.5% | +5.8% | -1.3% | +5.5% |
| 2024-07-30 beat | 2.81 | 3.18 | +13.3% | +7.4% | +3.9% | -9.1% | -1.2% |
| 2024-04-30 beat | 2.43 | 2.84 | +16.9% | +6.7% | +4.8% | +1.1% | +0.7% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.