RA
RARE
Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical Inc.
$13.61
1M -48.4%
3M -44.1%
YTD -42.3%
as of 2026-09-14
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Model view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Seasonality
Weak window historically
Next 30 days (to Oct 15): -4.5% median,
18% of the last 11 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Deeply oversold — RSI(2) at 4
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.10%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.20 -0.6% · Seasonal tilt (11y) -0.3%
$88M/day volume
81% volatility
-56% 1-year
52-week range · 0% of the way up · -66% from the high
$13.60$39.89
Next report 2026-11-03 (Tuesday, after close, in 49 days) · EPS est. -0.66.
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 51 reports. History, not a forecast.
Data from the U.S. House Clerk and FINRA, plus end-of-day prices. Not investment advice.