RARE

Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical Inc.
16.78 -2.44% 2026-10-29

Last 90d 4 insider sales · 1 congress buy

52-week range
12.73 39.89
1-month+11.6%
3-month-32.6%
1-year-51.7%
3-year-47.9%
5-year-78.6%
vs 50-day-2.4%
vs 200-day-26.8%
Volatility82%
Beta1.27
$ vol/day$53M
ATH179.65
From ATH-90.7%
Next report2026-11-03
WhoEntryMove What they saidWhen
TRACKER - Gilbert Cisneros · Congress long 15.27 +9.9% Gilbert Cisneros's trade date was 29 September 2026 — a disclosed purchase of $1,001–$15,000. But a Periodic… Tue, 13 Oct
2026AprJulOct

bought sold · bigger dot, bigger trade · follows the chart’s range

WhenPeople SizeValuePrice
11d sell 1 $107,898 14.80
1mo sched 1 $17,410 13.23
2mo sell 1 $2,252 14.94
3mo sched 2 $164,372 25.56
4mo sched 1 $155,645 33.54
5mo sell 1 $50,100 24.94
5mo sched 1 $46,753 24.94
5mo sched 1 $110,602 23.34
5mo sched 1 $144,189 24.58
6mo sell 1 $8,586 25.75
6mo sched 1 $116,607 24.91
7mo sched 1 $98,203 21.62
8mo sell 1 $208,312 22.79
8mo sell 6 $2,092,310 22.38
8mo sched 1 $227,538 22.38
9mo sched 1 $72,117 25.09
10mo sched 1 $71,946 23.20
10mo sell 1 $2,922 21.34
11mo sched 1 $112,087 36.33
1.0y sell 1 $250,252 31.79
1.1y sell 1 $1,867 28.64
1.1y sell 1 $76,366 30.87
1.1y sell 1 $2,637 31.55
1.4y sched 1 $89,923 36.88
1.5y sell 1 $28,901 38.98
1.6y sell 1 $72,114 37.91
1.7y sell 6 $2,455,609 40.49
1.7y sched 1 $4,153,571 40.49
1.7y sell 1 $128,224 42.03
1.8y sched 1 $495,231 41.96
1.9y sched 1 $413,650 49.22
2.1y sell 1 $393,853 54.31
2.2y sell 1 $5,113 56.45
2.2y sched 1 $1,117,000 56.45
2.2y sched 1 $1,003,400 49.61
2.3y sched 1 $23,932 40.41
2.4y sched 1 $441,270 43.73
2.4y sched 1 $71,391 41.38
2.5y sell 1 $15,456 44.34
2.5y sell 1 $6,262 42.50
2.6y sell 1 $574,644 48.03
2.6y sched 1 $620,443 49.67
2.7y sell 6 $821,829 51.70
2.7y sell 1 $1,350,000 45.22
2.8y sell 1 $1,436,100 48.17
3.0y sched 1 $1,307,201 32.22
3.0y sell 1 $1,604,033 32.54
3.1y sell 1 $88,249 40.88
3.2y sell 2 $263,792 38.47
3.3y sell 1 $27,355 46.77
3.4y sell 1 $14,701 50.86
3.4y sell 1 $76,700 51.48
3.5y sell 1 $100,600 50.66
3.5y sell 1 $197,010 46.10
3.7y sell 7 $765,812 43.88
3.7y sell 1 $27,733 44.96
3.8y sell 1 $892,352 46.34
3.9y sell 1 $89,283 44.56
4.0y sell 1 $65,421 37.62
4.0y sell 1 $133,158 38.86
4.4y sell 1 $16,160 56.06
4.5y sell 1 $11,161 79.09
4.6y sell 1 $688,930 62.83
4.6y sell 1 $323,563 65.17
4.7y sell 8 $1,353,049 64.06
4.7y sell 1 $109,859 70.47
5.0y sell 7 $171,530 78.43
5.0y sell 1 $552,524 81.46
5.1y sell 1 $738,368 102.69
5.2y sell 1 $500,525 100.64
5.3y sell 1 $34,324 90.72
5.4y sell 1 $95,670 94.21
5.4y sell 1 $132,900 100.48
5.5y sell 7 $296,473 110.25
5.5y sell 1 $3,234,000 105.61
5.5y sell 1 $41,295 106.50
5.5y sell 1 $545,450 106.47
5.6y sell 1 $362,070 123.84
5.7y sell 8 $8,046,433 129.39
5.7y sell 1 $1,117,575 139.08
5.7y sell 1 $187,920 150.49
5.7y sell 1 $314,827 149.55
5.8y sell 1 $3,479,500 139.07
5.8y sell 1 $562,600 149.28
5.8y sell 1 $4,107,000 137.00
2026AprJulOct

bought sold · bigger dot, bigger trade · follows the chart’s range

GCGilbert Cisneros 5B 1mo

1 member · 5 buys / 0 sells · $5K–$75K disclosed · latest filing Oct 12, 2026 · full tracker ›

WhenMemberSize AmountPrice then
1mo buy GC Gilbert Cisneros $1K–$15K 15.32
8mo buy GC Gilbert Cisneros $1K–$15K 22.07
8mo buy GC Gilbert Cisneros $1K–$15K 20.45
1.2y buy GC Gilbert Cisneros $1K–$15K 27.54
1.3y buy GC Gilbert Cisneros $1K–$15K 27.20

Next report 2026-11-03 (Tuesday, after close, in 4 days) · EPS estimate -0.75. It has finished the next session higher 39% of the time, average move 4.5%.

Day-after move, last 12 reports, oldest left.

ReportedEst.Actual SurpriseGapDay 1Day 5
2026-08-04 beat -1.00 -0.90 +9.7% +10.3% -3.4% +4.1%
2026-05-05 miss -1.46 -1.54 -5.7% +3.6% +3.7% +5.8%
2026-02-12 miss -1.17 -1.29 -10.1% -8.3% -12.7% -4.2%
2025-11-04 miss -1.21 -1.81 -49.7% -11.0% -1.8% +3.3%
2025-08-05 beat -1.32 -1.17 +11.4% -1.5% -3.0% +0.2%
2025-05-06 beat -1.64 -1.57 +4.4% +1.7% -4.7% -1.0%
2025-02-13 miss -1.27 -1.39 -9.4% +2.3% -2.4% -3.9%
2024-11-05 beat -1.47 -1.40 +5.0% +0.7% -3.2% -6.7%
2024-08-01 beat -1.63 -1.52 +6.9% +6.9% +14.3% +13.3%
2024-05-02 miss -1.72 -2.03 -18.0% +3.9% -1.0% -5.3%
2024-02-15 beat -1.61 -1.52 +5.7% +1.6% +5.8% +8.6%
2023-11-02 miss -2.01 -2.23 -10.7% +0.5% +6.1% -4.7%
2023-08-03 miss -2.02 -2.25 -11.6% -0.5% -8.8% -12.1%
2023-05-04 miss -1.61 -2.33 -44.5% -4.0% +3.1% +2.8%
2023-02-16 miss -1.80 -2.19 -21.4% +7.5% +10.0% -1.8%
2022-11-02 miss -2.40 -3.48 -44.8% +0.2% -6.0% -7.4%
2022-07-28 miss -1.64 -2.12 -29.2% -0.7% +2.7% +7.2%
2022-05-05 miss -1.78 -2.06 -15.9% -4.4% -13.4% -22.5%
2022-02-10 miss -1.19 -1.55 -30.4% +10.0% +2.1% -6.6%
2021-11-02 miss -1.10 -1.45 -32.5% +2.7% +1.4% -5.5%
2021-08-02 miss -1.05 -1.35 -28.6% -0.2% +3.6% +13.6%
2021-05-04 miss -1.29 -1.72 -33.8% +0.0% +4.1% +4.5%
2021-02-11 miss -1.14 -1.59 -39.4% -4.3% -7.7% -11.1%
2020-10-27 beat -1.06 -0.94 +11.3% -5.0% -2.5% +16.5%
2020-07-30 beat -1.72 -1.14 +33.9% +6.1% +0.7% +9.3%
2020-05-06 miss -1.68 -2.04 -21.8% +4.0% -4.7% -2.3%
2020-02-13 miss -1.53 -1.62 -5.6% +0.2% -2.8% -9.3%
2019-11-05 miss -1.55 -2.00 -28.5% -1.4% -5.9% -6.5%
2019-08-01 miss -1.59 -1.90 -19.0% -3.9% -7.9% +0.9%
2019-05-06 miss -1.67 -1.82 -9.2% -3.5% -7.0% -6.4%
2019-02-19 beat -1.87 -1.73 +7.3% +5.5% +6.5% +12.0%
2018-11-05 beat -1.99 -1.74 +12.7% +2.5% +2.6% -7.7%
2018-08-02 beat -2.13 -1.87 +12.2% +3.3% -9.8% -4.2%
2018-05-07 miss -0.87 -2.07 -138.2% -0.5% -0.3% +8.2%
2018-02-20 miss -1.99 -2.27 -14.3% -3.3% -3.9% -0.8%
2017-11-02 beat -1.87 -1.87 +0.2% -1.6% +2.7% -1.7%
2017-07-27 miss -1.71 -1.72 -0.4% -2.5% -1.1% -6.6%
2017-05-04 beat -1.71 -1.63 +4.5% +1.7% -0.2% -5.3%
2017-02-16 miss -1.73 -1.75 -1.1% +1.9% +0.1% +10.9%
2016-11-07 miss -1.57 -1.64 -4.3% -1.7% +4.5% +39.1%
2016-08-08 miss -1.44 -1.46 -1.4% +1.0% -0.6% +0.5%
2016-05-09 miss -1.24 -1.35 -8.9% -3.0% -1.3% -8.5%
2016-02-25 miss -1.15 -1.16 -1.6% -0.5% +2.4% +3.1%
2015-11-09 miss -0.86 -1.03 -19.5% -1.4% -4.8% -2.3%
2015-08-13 miss -0.65 -0.83 -26.8% -1.9% -1.6% -8.4%
2015-05-11 miss -0.56 -0.63 -12.5% +0.1% +7.5% +24.0%
2015-03-25 beat -0.52 -0.52 +0.5% -0.7% -4.3% +9.8%
2014-11-10 miss -0.47 -0.50 -5.6% -0.6% +4.1% +8.3%
2014-08-11 -0.45 -0.45 — +0.7% -0.7% +13.2%
2014-05-12 miss -0.35 -0.84 -140.0% +0.1% -6.9% -7.5%
2014-03-24 miss -0.39 -4.98 -1176.9% +0.5% -6.6% -11.2%
Model view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.3%
Next 1 week
+1.4%
Next 1 month
+3.6%
Seasonality
Mildly negative window
Next 30 days (to Nov 29): -1.0% median, 45% of the last 11 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 51
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought. Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.05%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown — Market · β 1.27 +3.6% · Seasonal tilt (11y) -0.1%
$53M/day volume 82% volatility -52% 1-year
52-week range · 15% of the way up · -58% from the high
$12.73$39.89

Not investment advice.