RAModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.3%
Next 1 week
+1.4%
Next 1 month
+3.6%
Seasonality
Mildly negative window
Next 30 days (to Nov 29): -1.0% median,
45% of the last 11 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 51
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.05%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.28 +3.7% · Seasonal tilt (11y) -0.1%
$53M/day volume
82% volatility
-52% 1-year
52-week range · 15% of the way up · -58% from the high
$12.73$39.89
Congressional trades in RARE Full tracker →
1 member · 5 buys / 0 sells · $5K–$75K disclosed · latest filing Oct 12, 2026.
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-03 (Tuesday, after close, in 4 days) · EPS est. -0.75.
1-day std dev
5.6%
Finished up
39%
Biggest pop
+14.3%
Biggest drop
-13.4%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 51 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 | beat | -1.00 | -0.90 | +9.7% | +10.3% | -3.4% | +4.1% |
| 2026-05-05 | miss | -1.46 | -1.54 | -5.7% | +3.6% | +3.7% | +5.8% |
| 2026-02-12 | miss | -1.17 | -1.29 | -10.1% | -8.3% | -12.7% | -4.2% |
| 2025-11-04 | miss | -1.21 | -1.81 | -49.7% | -11.0% | -1.8% | +3.3% |
| 2025-08-05 | beat | -1.32 | -1.17 | +11.4% | -1.5% | -3.0% | +0.2% |
| 2025-05-06 | beat | -1.64 | -1.57 | +4.4% | +1.7% | -4.7% | -1.0% |
| 2025-02-13 | miss | -1.27 | -1.39 | -9.4% | +2.3% | -2.4% | -3.9% |
| 2024-11-05 | beat | -1.47 | -1.40 | +5.0% | +0.7% | -3.2% | -6.7% |
| 2024-08-01 | beat | -1.63 | -1.52 | +6.9% | +6.9% | +14.3% | +13.3% |
| 2024-05-02 | miss | -1.72 | -2.03 | -18.0% | +3.9% | -1.0% | -5.3% |
| 2024-02-15 | beat | -1.61 | -1.52 | +5.7% | +1.6% | +5.8% | +8.6% |
| 2023-11-02 | miss | -2.01 | -2.23 | -10.7% | +0.5% | +6.1% | -4.7% |
| 2023-08-03 | miss | -2.02 | -2.25 | -11.6% | -0.5% | -8.8% | -12.1% |
| 2023-05-04 | miss | -1.61 | -2.33 | -44.5% | -4.0% | +3.1% | +2.8% |
| 2023-02-16 | miss | -1.80 | -2.19 | -21.4% | +7.5% | +10.0% | -1.8% |
| 2022-11-02 | miss | -2.40 | -3.48 | -44.8% | +0.2% | -6.0% | -7.4% |
| 2022-07-28 | miss | -1.64 | -2.12 | -29.2% | -0.7% | +2.7% | +7.2% |
| 2022-05-05 | miss | -1.78 | -2.06 | -15.9% | -4.4% | -13.4% | -22.5% |
| 2022-02-10 | miss | -1.19 | -1.55 | -30.4% | +10.0% | +2.1% | -6.6% |
| 2021-11-02 | miss | -1.10 | -1.45 | -32.5% | +2.7% | +1.4% | -5.5% |
| 2021-08-02 | miss | -1.05 | -1.35 | -28.6% | -0.2% | +3.6% | +13.6% |
| 2021-05-04 | miss | -1.29 | -1.72 | -33.8% | +0.0% | +4.1% | +4.5% |
| 2021-02-11 | miss | -1.14 | -1.59 | -39.4% | -4.3% | -7.7% | -11.1% |
| 2020-10-27 | beat | -1.06 | -0.94 | +11.3% | -5.0% | -2.5% | +16.5% |
| 2020-07-30 | beat | -1.72 | -1.14 | +33.9% | +6.1% | +0.7% | +9.3% |
| 2020-05-06 | miss | -1.68 | -2.04 | -21.8% | +4.0% | -4.7% | -2.3% |
| 2020-02-13 | miss | -1.53 | -1.62 | -5.6% | +0.2% | -2.8% | -9.3% |
| 2019-11-05 | miss | -1.55 | -2.00 | -28.5% | -1.4% | -5.9% | -6.5% |
| 2019-08-01 | miss | -1.59 | -1.90 | -19.0% | -3.9% | -7.9% | +0.9% |
| 2019-05-06 | miss | -1.67 | -1.82 | -9.2% | -3.5% | -7.0% | -6.4% |
| 2019-02-19 | beat | -1.87 | -1.73 | +7.3% | +5.5% | +6.5% | +12.0% |
| 2018-11-05 | beat | -1.99 | -1.74 | +12.7% | +2.5% | +2.6% | -7.7% |
| 2018-08-02 | beat | -2.13 | -1.87 | +12.2% | +3.3% | -9.8% | -4.2% |
| 2018-05-07 | miss | -0.87 | -2.07 | -138.2% | -0.5% | -0.3% | +8.2% |
| 2018-02-20 | miss | -1.99 | -2.27 | -14.3% | -3.3% | -3.9% | -0.8% |
| 2017-11-02 | beat | -1.87 | -1.87 | +0.2% | -1.6% | +2.7% | -1.7% |
| 2017-07-27 | miss | -1.71 | -1.72 | -0.4% | -2.5% | -1.1% | -6.6% |
| 2017-05-04 | beat | -1.71 | -1.63 | +4.5% | +1.7% | -0.2% | -5.3% |
| 2017-02-16 | miss | -1.73 | -1.75 | -1.1% | +1.9% | +0.1% | +10.9% |
| 2016-11-07 | miss | -1.57 | -1.64 | -4.3% | -1.7% | +4.5% | +39.1% |
| 2016-08-08 | miss | -1.44 | -1.46 | -1.4% | +1.0% | -0.6% | +0.5% |
| 2016-05-09 | miss | -1.24 | -1.35 | -8.9% | -3.0% | -1.3% | -8.5% |
| 2016-02-25 | miss | -1.15 | -1.16 | -1.6% | -0.5% | +2.4% | +3.1% |
| 2015-11-09 | miss | -0.86 | -1.03 | -19.5% | -1.4% | -4.8% | -2.3% |
| 2015-08-13 | miss | -0.65 | -0.83 | -26.8% | -1.9% | -1.6% | -8.4% |
| 2015-05-11 | miss | -0.56 | -0.63 | -12.5% | +0.1% | +7.5% | +24.0% |
| 2015-03-25 | beat | -0.52 | -0.52 | +0.5% | -0.7% | -4.3% | +9.8% |
| 2014-11-10 | miss | -0.47 | -0.50 | -5.6% | -0.6% | +4.1% | +8.3% |
| 2014-08-11 | -0.45 | -0.45 | — | +0.7% | -0.7% | +13.2% | |
| 2014-05-12 | miss | -0.35 | -0.84 | -140.0% | +0.1% | -6.9% | -7.5% |
| 2014-03-24 | miss | -0.39 | -4.98 | -1176.9% | +0.5% | -6.6% | -11.2% |
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TRACKER - Gilbert Cisneros · Congress
long
15.27
Tue, 13 Oct
Gilbert Cisneros's trade date was 29 September 2026 — a disclosed purchase of $1,001–$15,000. But a Periodic Transaction Report gives a date and a…
Not investment advice.
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