AAL

American Airlines Group Inc. $12.58 as of 2026-10-28
Model view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.1%
Next 1 week
+2.0%
Next 1 month
+5.0%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 28): +5.0% median, 60% of the last 20 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 73
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought. Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.14%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown — Market · β 1.92 +5.0% · Seasonal tilt +0.0%
$8.3B market cap (#948 US) $768M/day volume 47% volatility -6% 1-year -80% from ATH
52-week range · 29% of the way up · -33% from the high
$10.09$18.79

Congressional trades in AAL Full tracker →

14 members · 39 buys / 37 sells · $1.7M–$4.7M disclosed · latest filing Aug 13, 2025.

SELL LM Lisa McClain · traded Jun 11, 2025 $1K–$15K
BUY LM Lisa McClain · traded Jun 9, 2025 $1K–$15K
SELL TM Tim Moore · traded Jun 17, 2025 $50K–$100K
BUY TM Tim Moore · traded Jun 16, 2025 $100K–$250K
SELL TM Tim Moore · traded Jun 16, 2025 $50K–$100K
SELL TM Tim Moore · traded May 2, 2025 $250K–$500K
BUY TM Tim Moore · traded Apr 22, 2025 $15K–$50K
BUY TM Tim Moore · traded Apr 18, 2025 $15K–$50K
BUY TM Tim Moore · traded Apr 7, 2025 $15K–$50K
BUY TM Tim Moore · traded Apr 4, 2025 $15K–$50K
BUY TM Tim Moore · traded Apr 2, 2025 $15K–$50K
BUY TM Tim Moore · traded Apr 1, 2025 $15K–$50K
BUY TM Tim Moore · traded Mar 14, 2025 $15K–$50K
BUY TM Tim Moore · traded Mar 12, 2025 $50K–$100K
BUY TM Tim Moore · traded Mar 13, 2025 $50K–$100K
BUY TM Tim Moore · traded Mar 31, 2025 $15K–$50K
SELL TM Tim Moore · traded Mar 20, 2025 $100K–$250K
BUY MS Michael K. Simpson · traded Mar 18, 2021 $1K–$15K
SELL PF Patrick Fallon options · traded Feb 23, 2021 $1K–$15K
SELL PF Patrick Fallon options · traded Oct 4, 2021 $1K–$15K
SELL PF Patrick Fallon options · traded Aug 10, 2021 $1K–$15K
SELL PF Patrick Fallon options · traded Jun 24, 2021 $1K–$15K
SELL PF Patrick Fallon options · traded May 26, 2021 $1K–$15K
SELL PF Patrick Fallon · traded May 24, 2021 $100K–$250K
SELL PF Patrick Fallon options · traded Apr 20, 2021 $1K–$15K
SELL PF Patrick Fallon options · traded Mar 23, 2021 $1K–$15K
SELL PF Patrick Fallon · traded Mar 22, 2021 $100K–$250K
SELL PF Patrick Fallon · traded Oct 4, 2021 $1K–$15K
SELL PF Patrick Fallon · traded Oct 4, 2021 $1K–$15K
SELL PF Patrick Fallon · traded Aug 10, 2021 $1K–$15K
BUY PF Patrick Fallon · traded May 26, 2021 $50K–$100K
SELL PF Patrick Fallon · traded Jun 24, 2021 $1K–$15K
SELL PF Patrick Fallon · traded May 24, 2021 $100K–$250K
SELL PF Patrick Fallon · traded May 26, 2021 $1K–$15K
SELL PF Patrick Fallon · traded Feb 23, 2021 $1K–$15K
BUY PF Patrick Fallon · traded Feb 23, 2021 $100K–$250K
SELL PF Patrick Fallon · traded Mar 23, 2021 $1K–$15K
BUY PF Patrick Fallon · traded Mar 23, 2021 $100K–$250K
SELL PF Patrick Fallon · traded Apr 20, 2021 $1K–$15K
BUY PF Patrick Fallon · traded Apr 20, 2021 $100K–$250K
SELL PF Patrick Fallon · traded Mar 22, 2021 $100K–$250K
BUY MG Mark Green · traded Mar 24, 2021 $1K–$15K
BUY MS Michael K. Simpson · traded Mar 18, 2021 $1K–$15K
BUY MG Mark Green · traded Mar 16, 2021 $1K–$15K
BUY MG Mark Green · traded Mar 24, 2021 $1K–$15K
SELL DP Dean Phillips · traded Jan 5, 2021 $1K–$15K
BUY DP Dean Phillips · traded Dec 18, 2020 $1K–$15K
SELL MG Michael Garcia · traded Dec 10, 2020 $15K–$50K
BUY KC K. Michael Conaway · traded Nov 30, 2020 $15K–$50K
BUY MG Michael Garcia · traded Jul 9, 2020 $15K–$50K
BUY MG Michael Garcia · traded Oct 26, 2020 $15K–$50K
SELL MG Michael Garcia · traded Nov 9, 2020 $15K–$50K
BUY JL James R. Langevin · traded Mar 25, 2020 $1K–$15K
SELL PR Pat Roberts · traded Jul 2, 2020 $1K–$15K
SELL PR Pat Roberts · traded Jul 31, 2020 $15K–$50K
SELL PR Pat Roberts · traded Jul 7, 2020 $1K–$15K
BUY AK Adam Kinzinger · traded Jun 25, 2020 $1K–$15K
BUY AK Adam Kinzinger · traded Jun 11, 2020 $1K–$15K
BUY AK Adam Kinzinger · traded Jun 9, 2020 $1K–$15K
SELL KC Kathy Castor · traded Jul 14, 2020 $1K–$15K

Showing the 60 most recent filings of 76 — full tracker.

Earnings Full history →

Next report 2027-01-26 (Tuesday, before open, in 89 days) · EPS est. -0.69.

1-day std dev
5.0%
Finished up
52%
Biggest pop
+10.3%
Biggest drop
-9.6%

Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 52 reports. History, not a forecast.

ReportedEst.Actual SurpriseGap Day 1Day 5
2026-10-22 beat -0.36 -0.28 +22.6% -4.2% +2.9% —
2026-07-23 beat 0.05 0.15 +227.6% -5.4% -8.3% +4.3%
2026-04-23 beat -0.46 -0.40 +13.0% +2.1% +2.4% +1.8%
2026-01-27 miss 0.35 0.16 -54.6% +0.1% -7.0% -3.8%
2025-10-23 beat -0.28 -0.17 +38.2% +5.4% +5.6% +5.7%
2025-07-24 beat 0.77 0.95 +22.7% -7.0% -9.6% -9.4%
2025-04-24 beat -0.67 -0.59 +12.1% +1.0% +3.1% +7.6%
2025-01-23 beat 0.66 0.86 +30.1% -7.3% -8.7% -9.4%
2024-10-24 beat 0.17 0.30 +80.8% +2.7% -0.4% +4.4%
2024-07-25 beat 1.05 1.09 +4.0% -2.5% +4.2% -0.3%
2024-04-25 miss -0.29 -0.34 -16.8% +2.1% +1.5% -0.4%
2024-01-25 beat 0.08 0.29 +265.6% +4.7% +10.3% +2.9%
2023-10-19 beat 0.25 0.38 +50.5% -0.1% +0.8% -1.8%
2023-07-20 beat 1.59 1.92 +20.4% -2.4% -6.2% -10.9%
2023-04-27 beat 0.03 0.05 +80.7% +1.8% +1.1% +6.0%
2023-01-26 beat 1.08 1.17 +8.6% +1.7% +2.2% +4.9%
2022-10-20 beat 0.56 0.69 +22.5% -0.3% -3.8% -0.1%
2022-07-21 beat 0.74 0.76 +2.4% -3.6% -7.4% -9.5%
2022-04-21 beat -2.41 -2.32 +3.5% +9.1% +3.8% -0.3%
2022-01-20 beat -1.48 -1.42 +4.0% +1.8% -3.2% -8.8%
2021-10-21 beat -1.03 -0.95 +7.8% +0.5% +1.9% -1.7%
2021-07-22 beat -1.73 -1.69 +2.3% -1.6% -1.1% -1.1%
2021-04-22 beat -4.33 -4.32 +0.3% +2.7% -4.5% +1.4%
2021-01-28 beat -4.12 -3.86 +6.3% +22.8% +9.3% +5.1%
2020-10-22 beat -5.75 -5.54 +3.7% -1.2% +3.1% -12.5%
2020-07-23 beat -7.90 -7.82 +1.0% -0.8% +3.6% -1.6%
2020-04-30 miss -2.36 -2.65 -12.5% -5.6% -4.9% -24.5%
2020-01-23 miss 1.16 1.15 -0.5% +0.3% +5.4% +1.5%
2019-10-24 beat 1.40 1.42 +1.6% +3.5% +4.0% +6.3%
2019-07-25 beat 1.79 1.82 +1.8% -0.1% -8.4% -13.7%
2019-04-26 beat 0.50 0.52 +4.0% -3.8% -1.0% +4.1%
2019-01-24 beat 1.01 1.04 +3.4% +8.2% +6.4% +13.0%
2018-10-25 beat 1.13 1.13 +0.4% +2.8% +6.7% +19.9%
2018-07-26 beat 1.59 1.63 +2.5% -0.9% +4.8% -0.7%
2018-04-26 beat 0.71 0.75 +5.6% -3.9% -6.4% -6.9%
2018-01-25 beat 0.92 0.95 +3.3% -1.4% -3.2% -1.7%
2017-10-26 beat 1.40 1.42 +1.6% +1.9% -4.7% -7.2%
2017-07-28 beat 1.86 1.92 +3.0% -2.0% +1.0% +1.6%
2017-04-27 beat 0.57 0.61 +6.6% -5.4% -5.2% -5.4%
2017-01-27 beat 0.92 0.92 +0.0% +0.8% -5.3% -10.9%
2016-10-20 beat 1.69 1.76 +4.4% +0.7% -0.1% -1.8%
2016-07-22 beat 1.68 1.77 +5.5% +4.3% +4.0% +1.5%
2016-04-22 beat 1.19 1.25 +5.4% -5.8% -4.5% -13.3%
2016-01-29 beat 1.97 2.00 +1.8% -1.6% +2.2% -3.6%
2015-10-23 beat 2.72 2.77 +1.8% +0.8% -0.7% +0.5%
2015-07-24 beat 2.60 2.62 +0.9% +0.9% -7.0% -5.9%
2015-04-24 beat 1.70 1.73 +1.5% +1.0% +2.4% -4.0%
2015-01-27 beat 1.51 1.52 +0.5% -2.6% -5.0% -14.3%
2014-10-23 beat 1.64 1.66 +1.5% +1.1% +3.9% +8.8%
2014-07-24 beat 1.95 1.98 +1.6% -1.9% -2.7% -10.3%
2014-04-24 beat 0.48 0.54 +11.4% +2.0% +0.5% -1.9%
2014-01-28 beat 0.55 0.59 +7.2% +0.5% +5.9% +12.8%

Not investment advice.