ABModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.1%
Next 1 week
+0.4%
Next 1 month
+2.8%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 29): +7.2% median,
61% of the last 23 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Deeply overbought — RSI(2) at 93
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.01%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.64 +1.9% · Seasonal tilt +1.0%
$61M/day volume
36% volatility
-16% 1-year
-36% from ATH
52-week range · 40% of the way up · -23% from the high
$160.30$258.75
Congressional trades in ABG Full tracker →
1 member · 1 buys / 1 sells · $2K–$30K disclosed · latest filing May 14, 2025.
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2027-02-02 (Tuesday, before open, in 96 days) · EPS est. 6.17.
1-day std dev
5.8%
Finished up
53%
Biggest pop
+12.7%
Biggest drop
-11.6%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-27 | miss | 6.42 | 6.16 | -4.0% | +3.4% | +12.7% | — |
| 2026-07-28 | beat | 6.31 | 6.82 | +8.1% | +3.7% | +6.3% | -1.7% |
| 2026-04-28 | miss | 5.62 | 5.37 | -4.4% | -3.5% | +0.3% | -0.8% |
| 2026-02-05 | beat | 6.66 | 6.67 | +0.1% | -2.0% | -7.0% | -1.3% |
| 2025-10-28 | beat | 6.84 | 7.17 | +4.8% | +2.4% | +0.7% | -1.7% |
| 2025-07-29 | beat | 6.86 | 7.43 | +8.3% | +0.7% | -3.9% | +0.0% |
| 2025-04-29 | beat | 6.66 | 6.82 | +2.5% | -5.5% | -3.6% | -1.9% |
| 2025-01-30 | beat | 6.04 | 7.26 | +20.2% | +9.4% | +11.5% | +10.5% |
| 2024-10-29 | miss | 6.57 | 6.35 | -3.4% | +2.4% | +2.6% | +7.3% |
| 2024-08-02 | miss | 7.33 | 6.40 | -12.7% | -9.0% | -10.7% | -11.2% |
| 2024-04-25 | miss | 7.80 | 7.21 | -7.6% | -1.9% | -2.0% | -5.9% |
| 2024-02-08 | miss | 7.60 | 7.12 | -6.2% | -5.1% | -1.9% | +5.0% |
| 2023-10-24 | miss | 8.44 | 8.12 | -3.8% | -6.0% | -6.3% | -3.9% |
| 2023-07-25 | beat | 8.24 | 8.95 | +8.6% | -1.3% | -6.3% | -3.2% |
| 2023-04-25 | beat | 7.99 | 8.37 | +4.7% | -0.5% | -9.3% | -5.2% |
| 2023-02-02 | beat | 8.21 | 9.12 | +11.1% | +1.8% | +4.3% | -0.1% |
| 2022-10-27 | beat | 9.22 | 9.23 | +0.1% | +1.3% | +2.2% | +0.8% |
| 2022-07-28 | beat | 8.82 | 10.04 | +13.8% | +1.0% | +5.2% | +8.2% |
| 2022-04-28 | beat | 8.94 | 9.27 | +3.6% | +5.7% | +9.9% | +20.1% |
| 2022-02-15 | beat | 6.05 | 7.46 | +23.3% | +7.7% | +8.8% | +13.6% |
| 2021-10-26 | beat | 6.36 | 7.36 | +15.8% | +2.3% | -6.6% | -17.3% |
| 2021-07-27 | beat | 5.09 | 7.78 | +53.0% | +1.5% | +0.0% | +0.6% |
| 2021-04-27 | beat | 3.67 | 4.68 | +27.6% | -0.5% | -1.5% | -1.2% |
| 2021-02-02 | beat | 4.13 | 4.44 | +7.4% | +0.4% | -4.5% | +8.7% |
| 2020-10-27 | beat | 4.03 | 4.08 | +1.3% | -1.5% | -9.0% | -1.6% |
| 2020-07-28 | beat | 2.49 | 2.52 | +1.1% | -1.1% | -4.8% | -5.8% |
| 2020-05-05 | beat | 1.67 | 1.80 | +7.6% | +4.7% | +2.2% | -3.5% |
| 2020-02-03 | beat | 2.35 | 2.53 | +7.5% | +4.5% | +2.9% | -1.6% |
| 2019-10-22 | beat | 2.32 | 2.33 | +0.4% | -6.4% | -8.8% | -1.4% |
| 2019-07-26 | beat | 2.26 | 2.38 | +5.3% | -0.9% | -0.3% | +2.7% |
| 2019-04-23 | beat | 1.93 | 2.20 | +14.3% | +6.3% | +4.8% | +9.4% |
| 2019-02-06 | beat | 2.06 | 2.20 | +7.1% | +3.6% | +1.6% | -2.5% |
| 2018-10-23 | beat | 1.88 | 2.21 | +17.6% | +13.0% | +11.2% | +9.3% |
| 2018-07-24 | beat | 1.92 | 2.08 | +8.2% | +1.9% | +0.9% | +1.4% |
| 2018-04-24 | beat | 1.77 | 1.93 | +8.9% | +5.3% | +2.4% | +1.3% |
| 2018-02-06 | beat | 1.59 | 1.81 | +14.0% | -2.4% | +3.3% | +3.5% |
| 2017-10-24 | miss | 1.51 | 1.48 | -2.0% | +1.4% | +1.8% | +9.5% |
| 2017-07-25 | miss | 1.68 | 1.58 | -6.2% | -5.0% | -5.8% | -4.0% |
| 2017-04-27 | beat | 1.48 | 1.58 | +7.0% | +0.4% | +0.9% | -7.7% |
| 2017-02-07 | beat | 1.42 | 1.56 | +9.5% | +4.9% | +3.7% | +4.0% |
| 2016-10-25 | miss | 1.60 | 1.52 | -5.0% | -5.3% | -6.8% | -7.3% |
| 2016-07-26 | miss | 1.65 | 1.65 | -0.0% | +0.1% | +0.9% | -8.2% |
| 2016-04-26 | beat | 1.33 | 1.36 | +2.0% | +2.0% | +8.4% | +1.2% |
| 2016-02-04 | miss | 1.34 | 1.31 | -2.6% | +5.8% | +7.6% | +8.6% |
| 2015-10-21 | beat | 1.42 | 1.43 | +1.0% | -3.6% | -11.6% | -8.3% |
| 2015-07-21 | beat | 1.43 | 1.52 | +6.3% | -2.4% | -4.3% | -12.4% |
| 2015-04-21 | beat | 1.18 | 1.30 | +10.0% | +1.9% | -1.0% | -1.6% |
| 2015-02-04 | beat | 1.01 | 1.07 | +5.8% | +1.2% | -0.4% | -0.1% |
| 2014-10-21 | beat | 1.08 | 1.08 | +0.3% | +2.8% | -0.6% | +6.2% |
| 2014-07-22 | beat | 1.09 | 1.19 | +9.1% | +3.0% | +0.0% | -2.0% |
| 2014-04-23 | beat | 0.86 | 1.04 | +20.8% | +6.5% | +4.6% | +12.4% |
| 2014-02-04 | beat | 0.82 | 0.88 | +6.8% | +4.8% | +8.1% | +8.1% |
| 2013-10-22 | beat | 0.87 | 0.91 | +4.6% | -0.8% | -5.5% | -11.8% |
| 2013-07-23 | beat | 0.81 | 0.98 | +21.1% | +6.5% | +3.9% | +6.7% |
| 2013-04-24 | beat | 0.67 | 0.77 | +15.2% | +6.4% | +7.1% | +8.8% |
| 2013-02-19 | beat | 0.65 | 0.72 | +10.1% | +3.0% | -0.7% | -8.3% |
| 2012-10-23 | beat | 0.64 | 0.72 | +12.1% | -0.1% | +2.8% | +7.7% |
| 2012-07-24 | beat | 0.64 | 0.69 | +7.7% | +2.0% | -2.7% | -1.7% |
| 2012-04-26 | beat | 0.49 | 0.57 | +16.7% | +0.0% | +1.8% | +1.9% |
| 2012-02-14 | beat | 0.43 | 0.54 | +24.9% | +8.9% | +7.5% | +2.4% |
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TRACKER - Insider Trades
long
225.14
Fri, 01 Aug 2025
Abrams Capital Management, L.P. has been buying ABG. The buy: Abrams Capital Management, L.P., a 10%+ owner, bought 46,952 shares of ABG on 30 July…
Not investment advice.
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