ABR

Arbor Realty Trust Inc $3.02 as of 2026-10-29
Model view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.3%
Next 1 week
+0.9%
Next 1 month
+2.2%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 29): +3.1% median, 62% of the last 21 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Deeply overbought — RSI(2) at 92
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought. Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.17%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown — Market · β 0.83 +2.4% · Seasonal tilt -0.2%
$26M/day volume 47% volatility -74% 1-year
52-week range · 5% of the way up · -75% from the high
$2.53$11.91

Earnings Full history →

Next report 2026-10-30 (Friday, before open, in 0 days) · EPS est. 0.05.

1-day std dev
4.5%
Finished up
75%
Biggest pop
+10.0%
Biggest drop
-13.3%

Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.

ReportedEst.Actual SurpriseGap Day 1Day 5
2026-07-31 beat 0.03 0.10 +257.1% -0.4% +4.6% +11.7%
2026-05-08 miss 0.11 0.07 -38.6% -10.9% -11.8% -29.1%
2026-02-27 beat 0.16 0.19 +21.8% +4.3% +9.2% +19.7%
2025-10-31 beat 0.24 0.35 +48.9% -3.3% -12.6% -20.1%
2025-08-01 miss 0.27 0.25 -7.4% +0.8% +0.4% +5.9%
2025-05-02 miss 0.30 0.28 -5.1% +0.2% -3.1% -6.5%
2025-02-21 miss 0.41 0.40 -1.8% +0.7% -13.3% -10.8%
2024-11-01 beat 0.42 0.43 +1.6% +3.9% +0.7% +5.4%
2024-08-02 beat 0.43 0.45 +5.1% -1.6% +1.1% +2.7%
2024-05-03 beat 0.42 0.47 +11.9% +2.4% -1.5% +0.2%
2024-02-16 beat 0.46 0.51 +12.1% +2.9% +6.6% -1.1%
2023-10-27 beat 0.45 0.55 +21.3% +4.0% -1.6% +0.6%
2023-07-28 beat 0.45 0.57 +27.6% +4.0% +9.1% +3.5%
2023-05-05 beat 0.46 0.62 +34.0% +5.5% +7.7% +13.8%
2023-02-17 beat 0.46 0.60 +29.9% +2.1% +4.4% +1.6%
2022-11-04 beat 0.44 0.56 +26.6% +7.6% +10.0% +14.0%
2022-07-29 beat 0.43 0.52 +20.4% +0.9% +1.2% -4.8%
2022-05-06 beat 0.45 0.55 +22.2% -0.7% +0.5% -2.4%
2022-02-18 beat 0.43 0.57 +32.6% +2.0% +3.6% +7.6%
2021-10-29 beat 0.39 0.47 +21.6% +1.2% +0.8% -1.6%
2021-07-30 beat 0.39 0.45 +14.7% +0.8% +0.9% +1.3%
2021-05-07 beat 0.40 0.52 +31.0% +0.8% +3.2% +2.4%
2021-02-19 beat 0.35 0.49 +39.2% +0.5% +5.2% +8.5%
2020-10-30 beat 0.31 0.50 +63.0% +1.4% +1.5% +11.1%
2020-07-31 beat 0.27 0.46 +73.6% +4.0% +6.4% +19.0%
2020-05-08 beat -0.66 -0.52 +21.6% +7.3% +8.2% -6.9%
2020-02-14 beat 0.32 0.34 +3.6% -0.6% -2.1% -4.3%
2019-11-01 beat 0.31 0.35 +13.6% +1.0% +3.1% +12.9%
2019-08-02 miss 0.30 0.26 -11.1% +1.4% +4.3% +2.9%
2019-05-10 miss 0.29 0.26 -8.8% +0.9% +1.2% +1.6%
2019-02-15 beat 0.27 0.37 +34.9% +1.1% +3.7% +10.1%
2018-11-02 miss 0.33 0.24 -29.4% +0.9% +2.9% +3.6%
2018-08-03 miss 0.24 0.21 -14.1% +1.0% +3.2% +0.5%
2018-05-04 beat 0.25 0.42 +71.4% +0.2% +4.3% +7.6%
2018-02-23 beat 0.22 0.27 +23.4% +2.9% +2.4% +3.0%
2017-11-03 beat 0.18 0.26 +44.4% +2.8% +3.6% +2.9%
2017-08-04 beat 0.22 0.23 +5.9% +1.0% +0.9% -0.5%
2017-05-05 miss 0.21 0.15 -25.4% +2.4% +2.6% -2.5%
2017-03-03 beat 0.21 0.40 +90.5% +0.5% +3.0% +4.6%
2016-11-09 beat 0.16 0.21 +35.5% +1.5% +0.7% +5.0%
2016-08-05 beat 0.11 0.22 +96.1% +1.4% +0.7% +0.0%
2016-05-06 miss 0.11 0.07 -35.5% -0.1% +2.4% +5.3%
2016-02-26 miss 0.14 0.02 -83.0% +0.6% +3.1% +6.2%
2015-11-06 miss 0.24 0.15 -37.5% +2.5% +3.5% +6.3%
2015-07-31 miss 0.20 0.18 -10.6% +0.0% +1.3% -3.1%
2015-05-01 miss 0.10 0.08 -15.3% +4.8% +2.2% +1.9%
2015-02-13 miss 0.09 0.05 -48.3% +0.1% -3.5% -4.7%
2014-11-07 miss 0.45 0.11 -75.8% +1.4% +3.9% +6.3%
2014-08-01 beat 0.06 0.07 +18.3% +0.6% -0.7% -1.4%
2014-05-01 beat 0.07 0.12 +71.4% +0.0% -0.1% +0.1%
2014-02-14 beat 0.09 0.09 +0.8% +0.1% -0.1% -3.8%
2013-11-08 miss 0.13 0.06 -55.5% -0.5% -0.5% +4.6%
2013-08-02 miss 0.12 0.07 -41.5% -2.4% -1.5% +0.5%
2013-05-03 miss 0.13 0.08 -36.2% +1.9% -1.7% -3.8%
2013-02-15 beat -0.04 -0.02 +42.1% -2.2% +3.9% +5.5%
2012-05-04 beat -0.37 0.17 +145.9% +4.9% +2.8% +9.2%
2012-03-02 miss -0.44 -1.15 -161.4% -0.2% +3.4% +12.6%
2011-11-04 beat -0.36 -0.10 +72.2% -0.6% +2.3% +5.8%
2011-08-05 beat -0.43 -0.41 +4.7% -4.9% -4.5% -8.2%
2011-05-06 beat -0.50 0.01 +102.0% +2.6% +2.0% +2.0%

Not investment advice.