ADM

Archer-Daniels-Midland Company $77.23 as of 2026-10-28
Model view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.2%
Next 1 week
+0.6%
Next 1 month
+0.0%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 28): +1.2% median, 60% of the last 45 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Deeply oversold — RSI(2) at 4
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought. Its dip-buy edge in history is +0.11%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown — Market · β -0.09 -0.2% · Seasonal tilt +0.2%
$36.9B market cap (#477 US) $221M/day volume 28% volatility +25% 1-year -22% from ATH
52-week range · 65% of the way up · -13% from the high
$55.58$88.75

Congressional trades in ADM Full tracker →

11 members · 15 buys / 19 sells · $632K–$1.9M disclosed · latest filing Aug 5, 2026.

SELL TT Thomas H Tuberville · traded Apr 15, 2025 $15K–$50K
SELL GC Gilbert Cisneros · traded Mar 20, 2026 $50K–$100K
SELL TT Thomas H Tuberville · traded Apr 15, 2025 $15K–$50K
BUY RB Rob Bresnahan · traded Apr 8, 2025 $1K–$15K
SELL DG Daniel Goldman · traded Jul 12, 2023 $50K–$100K
BUY DG Daniel Goldman · traded Mar 6, 2023 $50K–$100K
SELL DG Daniel Goldman · traded Jan 31, 2023 $15K–$50K
SELL VF Virginia Foxx · traded May 19, 2022 $100K–$250K
BUY VF Virginia Foxx · traded Feb 24, 2022 $15K–$50K
BUY VF Virginia Foxx · traded Jan 25, 2022 $15K–$50K
BUY VF Virginia Foxx · traded Jan 24, 2022 $15K–$50K
SELL KL Kelly Loeffler options · traded Mar 18, 2020 $15K–$50K
SELL KL Kelly Loeffler · traded Apr 7, 2020 $100K–$250K
BUY KL Kelly Loeffler options · traded Apr 7, 2020 $15K–$50K
BUY KL Kelly Loeffler options · traded Apr 7, 2020 $1K–$15K
BUY KL Kelly Loeffler · traded Mar 20, 2020 $100K–$250K
SELL GC Gilbert Cisneros · traded Aug 14, 2019 $1K–$15K
BUY GC Gilbert Cisneros · traded May 9, 2019 $1K–$15K
SELL LF Lois Frankel sT · traded Oct 24, 2018 $1K–$15K
SELL LF Lois Frankel sT · traded Oct 17, 2018 $1K–$15K
SELL LF Lois Frankel sT · traded Sep 5, 2018 $1K–$15K
BUY LF Lois Frankel · traded Nov 1, 2017 $1K–$15K
SELL LF Lois Frankel · traded May 1, 2017 $1K–$15K
SELL JM Jim McDermott · traded Dec 11, 2015 $15K–$50K
BUY LF Lois Frankel · traded Nov 5, 2015 $1K–$15K
BUY LF Lois Frankel · traded Jun 30, 2015 $1K–$15K
BUY LF Lois Frankel · traded May 27, 2015 $1K–$15K
BUY KC K. Michael Conaway · traded May 12, 2015 $1K–$15K
SELL VF Virginia Foxx · traded Feb 4, 2015 $15K–$50K
BUY VF Virginia Foxx · traded Jan 29, 2015 $15K–$50K
SELL TD Tammy Duckworth · traded Apr 5, 2013 $1K–$15K
SELL LF Lois Frankel · traded Jun 12, 2014 $1K–$15K
SELL LF Lois Frankel · traded Apr 28, 2014 $1K–$15K
SELL EC Eric Cantor · traded Jan 16, 2014 $1K–$15K

Earnings Full history →

Next report 2026-11-03 (Tuesday, before open, in 5 days) · EPS est. 1.60.

1-day std dev
3.9%
Finished up
50%
Biggest pop
+7.3%
Biggest drop
-8.9%

Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.

ReportedEst.Actual SurpriseGap Day 1Day 5
2026-08-04 beat 1.44 1.84 +28.0% +0.0% +2.3% +3.1%
2026-05-05 beat 0.66 0.71 +7.8% +0.0% +3.8% +5.8%
2026-02-03 beat 0.80 0.87 +9.2% -8.3% -1.0% +0.8%
2025-11-04 beat 0.85 0.92 +7.9% -6.6% +0.0% -4.1%
2025-08-05 beat 0.80 0.93 +16.8% +0.3% +6.0% +7.7%
2025-05-06 beat 0.67 0.70 +4.5% +1.7% +1.7% +6.7%
2025-02-04 miss 1.15 1.14 -0.8% -3.0% -5.1% -7.2%
2024-11-18 miss 1.09 1.09 -0.0% -0.2% +0.5% +1.9%
2024-07-30 miss 1.24 1.03 -16.8% -3.6% -1.3% -8.4%
2024-04-30 beat 1.37 1.46 +6.7% +0.1% -3.3% +1.5%
2024-03-12 miss 1.43 1.36 -5.0% +4.0% +3.9% +11.1%
2023-10-24 beat 1.53 1.63 +6.3% -1.0% -4.0% -1.1%
2023-07-25 beat 1.59 1.89 +19.1% +0.2% +3.5% +2.3%
2023-04-25 beat 1.78 2.09 +17.4% -2.8% -6.1% -6.5%
2023-01-26 beat 1.65 1.93 +16.9% +0.6% -0.8% -3.8%
2022-10-25 beat 1.41 1.86 +31.5% +1.1% +2.1% +9.2%
2022-07-26 beat 1.72 2.15 +25.0% +3.5% +4.4% +9.5%
2022-04-26 beat 1.41 1.90 +34.8% +4.0% -0.4% -1.3%
2022-01-25 beat 1.37 1.50 +9.5% -1.6% -0.3% +10.1%
2021-10-26 beat 0.89 0.97 +8.9% +0.0% -1.9% -4.9%
2021-07-27 beat 1.04 1.33 +28.4% +1.0% +0.7% +2.3%
2021-04-27 beat 1.06 1.39 +31.6% -0.3% +3.1% +8.5%
2021-01-26 beat 1.09 1.21 +10.6% +0.0% -1.7% -4.0%
2020-10-29 beat 0.72 0.89 +23.5% -3.8% -7.4% -3.3%
2020-07-29 beat 0.51 0.85 +67.2% +0.2% +1.0% +1.5%
2020-04-29 beat 0.56 0.64 +14.8% +0.0% -3.3% -9.5%
2020-01-29 beat 0.73 1.42 +94.5% +4.4% +4.9% +5.3%
2019-10-31 beat 0.71 0.77 +8.9% +1.5% +3.7% +7.4%
2019-08-01 miss 0.65 0.60 -7.7% +0.1% +0.2% -6.8%
2019-04-26 miss 0.61 0.46 -25.1% -0.4% -1.9% +4.7%
2019-02-05 miss 0.92 0.88 -4.5% -3.5% -5.9% -4.8%
2018-11-06 beat 0.83 0.92 +11.1% -0.2% -1.6% -0.2%
2018-07-31 beat 0.78 1.02 +31.6% +4.0% +1.9% +6.1%
2018-05-01 beat 0.51 0.68 +34.4% +0.5% -0.8% -3.2%
2018-02-06 beat 0.71 0.82 +15.9% -1.0% +3.4% +1.8%
2017-10-31 miss 0.55 0.45 -18.6% -4.8% -4.5% -7.6%
2017-08-01 beat 0.53 0.57 +8.5% +1.9% +2.7% +0.1%
2017-05-02 miss 0.62 0.60 -2.5% -6.0% -8.9% -7.4%
2017-02-07 miss 0.77 0.75 -2.5% -2.4% +1.3% -0.7%
2016-11-01 beat 0.46 0.59 +29.0% +4.1% +7.3% +9.5%
2016-08-02 miss 0.45 0.41 -9.3% -2.7% -1.8% +0.3%
2016-05-03 miss 0.45 0.42 -6.3% -0.8% -2.9% -4.6%
2016-02-02 miss 0.64 0.61 -4.8% -5.5% -8.7% -5.3%
2015-11-03 miss 0.69 0.60 -13.6% -6.4% -6.8% -12.2%
2015-08-04 miss 0.67 0.60 -9.9% -0.4% +1.5% -3.4%
2015-05-05 beat 0.71 0.77 +8.2% +0.2% +0.1% +3.2%
2015-02-03 beat 0.96 1.00 +4.3% -1.7% +1.2% -1.2%
2014-11-04 beat 0.73 0.81 +10.7% +3.8% +4.8% +8.2%
2014-08-05 beat 0.73 0.77 +5.0% +3.1% +3.4% +5.7%
2014-04-29 miss 0.74 0.64 -13.8% -2.8% -2.6% -2.8%
2014-02-04 beat 0.86 0.95 +10.9% +2.3% -1.7% +4.2%
2013-10-29 miss 0.47 0.46 -2.0% -1.0% +2.2% +5.4%
2013-08-06 beat 0.44 0.46 +4.6% -2.6% +0.1% +2.0%
2013-05-01 miss 0.53 0.48 -8.9% -2.2% +0.1% +1.0%
2013-02-05 miss 0.61 0.60 -1.0% +2.5% +3.3% +8.3%
2012-05-01 beat 0.60 0.78 +29.1% +1.7% +7.1% +7.0%
2012-01-31 miss 0.77 0.51 -33.6% -2.9% -3.6% +0.3%
2011-11-01 beat 0.67 0.69 +3.7% -4.8% -4.1% +3.1%
2011-08-02 miss 0.83 0.58 -30.2% -3.9% -6.2% -9.1%
2011-05-03 miss 0.86 0.86 -0.5% -2.4% -6.7% -9.7%

Not investment advice.