ADModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.4%
Next 1 week
+2.9%
Next 1 month
+4.3%
Seasonality
Mildly positive window
Next 30 days (to Nov 29): +1.9% median,
55% of the last 31 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Overbought — RSI(2) at 83
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.06%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 1.78 +5.1% · Seasonal tilt -0.8%
$11M/day volume
66% volatility
-33% 1-year
-86% from ATH
52-week range · 5% of the way up · -65% from the high
$6.29$19.98
Congressional trades in ADTN Full tracker →
1 member · 0 buys / 1 sells · $1K–$15K disclosed · latest filing Jan 20, 2020.
| SELL | $1K–$15K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-02 (Monday, after close, in 4 days) · EPS est. 0.04.
1-day std dev
9.6%
Finished up
40%
Biggest pop
+19.3%
Biggest drop
-26.5%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 | beat | 0.04 | 0.04 | +14.3% | +1.5% | -1.1% | -12.4% |
| 2026-05-04 | beat | 0.09 | 0.14 | +50.0% | -13.5% | -16.6% | -18.0% |
| 2026-02-25 | beat | 0.08 | 0.16 | +95.1% | +2.9% | -7.3% | -5.9% |
| 2025-11-03 | miss | 0.06 | 0.05 | -19.4% | -12.6% | -24.2% | -23.0% |
| 2025-08-04 | miss | 0.01 | — | -100.0% | -3.5% | -14.6% | -3.9% |
| 2025-05-07 | beat | -0.03 | 0.03 | +200.0% | -0.5% | -3.0% | +3.0% |
| 2025-02-26 | beat | -0.03 | — | +100.0% | +15.8% | -0.4% | -10.4% |
| 2024-11-07 | miss | -0.04 | -0.05 | -11.1% | -1.3% | +19.3% | +25.9% |
| 2024-08-05 | miss | -0.09 | -0.24 | -166.7% | -7.6% | -18.8% | -15.5% |
| 2024-05-07 | beat | -0.11 | -0.02 | +81.4% | +8.1% | +14.4% | +23.8% |
| 2024-02-26 | miss | -0.09 | -1.09 | -1047.4% | -2.9% | -1.1% | -4.8% |
| 2023-11-06 | miss | -0.10 | -0.14 | -33.3% | -27.4% | -26.5% | -24.6% |
| 2023-08-06 | beat | -0.01 | — | +100.0% | -0.8% | +3.7% | +11.2% |
| 2023-05-08 | miss | 0.04 | -0.06 | -242.9% | -3.5% | +2.1% | -0.5% |
| 2023-02-21 | miss | 0.16 | 0.12 | -25.0% | +1.5% | -2.7% | +2.7% |
| 2022-11-08 | miss | 0.19 | 0.11 | -42.1% | -1.9% | -2.1% | +4.3% |
| 2022-08-03 | beat | 0.11 | 0.19 | +66.7% | -0.6% | -6.5% | -2.1% |
| 2022-05-04 | beat | 0.05 | 0.20 | +321.1% | +0.0% | -4.4% | -2.0% |
| 2022-02-02 | beat | -0.02 | 0.10 | +699.9% | +3.0% | +6.1% | +10.9% |
| 2021-11-01 | miss | 0.07 | -0.02 | -127.6% | -2.2% | +1.0% | +9.7% |
| 2021-08-04 | beat | 0.12 | 0.16 | +30.6% | +2.3% | -1.3% | +6.6% |
| 2021-05-05 | beat | 0.04 | 0.13 | +225.0% | +1.6% | +1.9% | +10.1% |
| 2021-02-03 | beat | 0.07 | 0.11 | +63.0% | -0.3% | -6.0% | -5.7% |
| 2020-11-02 | beat | 0.07 | 0.16 | +134.2% | +6.6% | -1.2% | +9.5% |
| 2020-08-05 | beat | 0.01 | 0.04 | +300.0% | -0.9% | -5.5% | -4.0% |
| 2020-05-06 | beat | -0.09 | -0.05 | +44.4% | -0.8% | +13.4% | +0.2% |
| 2020-02-05 | beat | -0.12 | -0.07 | +42.6% | +3.7% | -3.2% | -8.8% |
| 2019-10-30 | -0.06 | -0.06 | — | +1.4% | -8.0% | -1.6% | |
| 2019-07-17 | beat | 0.08 | 0.14 | +84.2% | +0.9% | -23.3% | -30.0% |
| 2019-04-17 | beat | -0.06 | 0.10 | +272.4% | +3.1% | +14.0% | +18.6% |
| 2019-01-23 | miss | -0.03 | -0.12 | -252.9% | +0.1% | +10.5% | +18.8% |
| 2018-10-16 | beat | 0.04 | 0.21 | +400.0% | -4.9% | -17.2% | -26.1% |
| 2018-07-17 | beat | -0.25 | -0.10 | +59.7% | +5.0% | +0.3% | +0.3% |
| 2018-04-17 | miss | -0.14 | -0.29 | -101.4% | -7.8% | -6.9% | -8.4% |
| 2018-01-16 | beat | — | 0.05 | +1900.0% | -2.6% | -3.3% | -16.9% |
| 2017-10-17 | beat | 0.31 | 0.37 | +19.4% | +5.0% | -6.5% | -11.1% |
| 2017-07-18 | beat | 0.24 | 0.30 | +27.7% | +4.9% | +7.3% | +13.9% |
| 2017-04-18 | beat | 0.16 | 0.18 | +16.1% | +5.6% | +1.0% | +2.3% |
| 2017-01-17 | beat | 0.14 | 0.21 | +53.3% | +2.0% | +0.7% | -1.3% |
| 2016-10-18 | beat | 0.24 | 0.26 | +10.4% | +0.8% | +7.3% | +1.3% |
| 2016-07-12 | beat | 0.23 | 0.25 | +7.3% | +5.4% | -3.0% | -6.8% |
| 2016-04-12 | beat | 0.11 | 0.14 | +31.5% | +0.5% | +4.0% | -0.1% |
| 2016-01-19 | beat | 0.07 | 0.16 | +134.1% | +2.6% | +1.8% | +6.3% |
| 2015-10-13 | beat | 0.17 | 0.19 | +10.9% | +0.1% | -6.1% | -5.9% |
| 2015-07-14 | miss | 0.11 | 0.10 | -6.7% | +2.1% | -6.7% | -5.8% |
| 2015-04-21 | miss | 0.12 | 0.10 | -18.2% | -9.6% | -10.4% | -13.7% |
| 2015-01-20 | beat | 0.11 | 0.19 | +79.5% | +3.0% | +0.0% | -3.0% |
| 2014-10-14 | beat | 0.24 | 0.25 | +3.5% | -1.2% | +5.5% | +6.9% |
| 2014-07-15 | beat | 0.28 | 0.30 | +5.9% | +1.3% | +0.3% | -1.7% |
| 2014-04-15 | beat | 0.20 | 0.21 | +4.0% | -0.9% | -9.0% | -4.9% |
| 2014-01-21 | beat | 0.17 | 0.25 | +51.0% | +6.5% | +4.5% | -1.7% |
| 2013-10-08 | beat | 0.25 | 0.32 | +25.6% | +1.9% | -9.0% | -7.0% |
| 2013-07-09 | beat | 0.19 | 0.21 | +13.0% | +5.2% | -6.9% | +4.2% |
| 2013-04-09 | beat | 0.12 | 0.17 | +47.2% | +9.6% | +14.0% | +8.1% |
| 2013-01-15 | beat | 0.09 | 0.11 | +25.5% | +0.0% | +4.7% | -1.4% |
| 2012-10-09 | beat | 0.18 | 0.20 | +11.4% | +1.2% | +0.0% | +1.1% |
| 2012-07-10 | miss | 0.40 | 0.38 | -6.2% | -11.6% | -15.4% | -20.1% |
| 2012-04-10 | miss | 0.25 | 0.25 | -0.5% | +0.1% | +7.9% | +5.5% |
| 2012-01-17 | beat | 0.46 | 0.50 | +9.5% | +1.4% | +8.5% | +13.2% |
| 2011-10-11 | miss | 0.57 | 0.56 | -1.1% | +0.9% | -1.9% | +4.7% |
Not investment advice.
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