AEModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+1.5%
Next 1 week
+8.4%
Next 1 month
+14.4%
Seasonality
Weak window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 29): -5.3% median,
32% of the last 28 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Neutral — RSI(2) at 39
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.12%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 5.55 +15.9% · Seasonal tilt -1.5%
$195M/day volume
124% volatility
+144% 1-year
-58% from ATH
52-week range · 33% of the way up · -58% from the high
$18.70$147.40
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-02 (Monday, after close, in 3 days) · EPS est. 0.13.
1-day std dev
18.0%
Finished up
49%
Biggest pop
+34.3%
Biggest drop
-27.1%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 39 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-14 | beat | -0.01 | 0.11 | +1566.7% | +36.3% | +21.9% | +29.9% |
| 2026-04-07 | beat | -0.07 | -0.05 | +28.6% | +14.1% | +25.7% | +45.7% |
| 2026-01-08 | miss | -0.04 | -0.04 | -9.1% | +5.3% | +15.9% | +26.9% |
| 2025-10-06 | — | 0.01 | — | -19.3% | -17.4% | -13.8% | |
| 2025-07-08 | beat | -0.01 | -0.01 | +33.3% | -18.0% | -12.4% | -2.6% |
| 2025-04-08 | beat | 0.04 | 0.07 | +75.0% | +3.4% | +29.2% | +20.4% |
| 2025-01-13 | miss | 0.03 | 0.02 | -33.3% | -22.5% | -27.1% | -21.3% |
| 2024-10-10 | beat | 0.02 | 0.07 | +366.7% | +13.4% | +20.3% | +17.7% |
| 2024-07-16 | beat | 0.11 | 0.84 | +700.0% | +14.4% | +22.4% | +1.2% |
| 2024-04-09 | -0.03 | -0.03 | — | -3.2% | -2.1% | -5.3% | |
| 2024-01-09 | beat | 0.19 | 0.23 | +21.1% | -16.0% | -16.8% | -23.4% |
| 2023-10-05 | beat | 0.16 | 0.18 | +12.5% | -12.4% | -12.6% | -12.4% |
| 2023-07-13 | beat | 0.22 | 0.23 | +7.0% | +7.5% | +18.2% | +16.7% |
| 2023-03-30 | beat | 0.14 | 0.16 | +14.3% | -10.6% | -16.7% | -20.0% |
| 2023-01-05 | beat | 0.09 | 0.16 | +88.2% | +21.6% | +32.1% | +69.3% |
| 2022-10-06 | beat | 0.01 | 0.05 | +400.0% | +6.8% | +23.9% | +6.5% |
| 2022-07-19 | 0.23 | 0.23 | — | +4.1% | +28.7% | +20.9% | |
| 2022-03-31 | 0.14 | 0.14 | — | +5.3% | -2.4% | -8.9% | |
| 2022-01-06 | beat | 0.04 | 0.05 | +25.0% | -1.9% | -21.4% | -34.7% |
| 2021-09-23 | beat | -0.03 | -0.02 | +33.3% | +18.8% | +34.3% | +7.0% |
| 2021-07-15 | beat | 0.02 | 0.04 | +100.0% | +12.8% | +21.0% | +117.1% |
| 2021-04-08 | miss | 0.02 | -0.02 | -200.0% | -10.2% | -10.2% | -18.0% |
| 2021-01-07 | miss | -0.05 | -0.07 | -40.0% | -10.6% | -17.3% | -16.1% |
| 2020-09-24 | miss | -0.03 | -0.09 | -200.0% | +2.8% | +7.0% | -4.9% |
| 2020-07-16 | -0.03 | -0.03 | — | -16.4% | -14.3% | -9.8% | |
| 2020-04-02 | miss | 0.04 | 0.02 | -50.0% | -3.1% | -18.2% | -6.9% |
| 2020-01-09 | beat | 0.01 | 0.02 | +100.0% | +0.5% | -10.7% | -6.5% |
| 2019-10-03 | beat | -0.02 | -0.01 | +50.0% | -4.2% | -1.8% | +3.6% |
| 2019-07-18 | — | 0.02 | — | +6.7% | -3.0% | -11.0% | |
| 2019-04-04 | beat | -0.08 | -0.07 | +12.5% | +14.1% | +21.5% | +15.4% |
| 2019-01-10 | -0.02 | -0.02 | — | -30.5% | -24.1% | -39.6% | |
| 2018-09-27 | miss | -0.02 | -0.06 | -200.0% | -1.7% | -4.3% | -15.9% |
| 2018-07-19 | beat | 0.01 | 0.02 | +100.0% | -2.5% | -2.2% | -18.5% |
| 2018-04-03 | — | 0.02 | — | +5.7% | +4.8% | +1.8% | |
| 2018-01-04 | — | 0.02 | — | +6.3% | +2.5% | -6.7% | |
| 2017-09-28 | beat | -0.01 | 0.01 | +200.0% | +13.6% | +16.2% | +5.1% |
| 2017-07-19 | beat | -0.04 | -0.03 | +25.0% | +6.3% | +7.1% | +3.9% |
| 2017-03-30 | miss | -0.08 | -0.14 | -75.0% | -7.6% | -11.1% | -20.9% |
| 2017-01-05 | miss | -0.07 | -0.08 | -14.3% | +0.0% | +1.7% | +9.6% |
Not investment advice.
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