AEModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
-0.1%
Next 1 week
+0.6%
Next 1 month
+0.8%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 28): +1.5% median,
59% of the last 34 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Oversold — RSI(2) at 19
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.08%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β 0.32 +0.8% · Seasonal tilt -0.0%
$10.7B market cap (#822 US)
$147M/day volume
26% volatility
+3% 1-year
-79% from ATH
52-week range · 40% of the way up · -15% from the high
$13.21$17.65
Congressional trades in AES Full tracker →
6 members · 6 buys / 3 sells · $37K–$205K disclosed · latest filing Mar 27, 2025.
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $15K–$50K | |
| BUY | $15K–$50K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $1K–$15K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-04 (Wednesday, after close, in 7 days) · EPS est. 0.73.
1-day std dev
4.5%
Finished up
45%
Biggest pop
+11.7%
Biggest drop
-10.8%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 | miss | 0.47 | 0.44 | -6.0% | +0.0% | +0.1% | +0.2% |
| 2026-05-05 | beat | 0.37 | 0.77 | +108.3% | +0.4% | -0.2% | +0.4% |
| 2026-03-02 | beat | 0.61 | 0.81 | +33.0% | -0.1% | -0.2% | +0.0% |
| 2025-11-04 | miss | 0.77 | 0.75 | -2.1% | +0.3% | +5.8% | +4.7% |
| 2025-07-31 | beat | 0.40 | 0.51 | +29.0% | +0.1% | +0.6% | -0.2% |
| 2025-05-01 | miss | 0.33 | 0.27 | -17.8% | +1.5% | +2.3% | +11.8% |
| 2025-02-28 | beat | 0.35 | 0.54 | +56.5% | +6.5% | +11.7% | +8.4% |
| 2024-10-31 | beat | 0.64 | 0.71 | +11.1% | -2.4% | -10.8% | -17.5% |
| 2024-08-01 | beat | 0.37 | 0.38 | +1.8% | -3.4% | -4.4% | -7.0% |
| 2024-05-02 | beat | 0.34 | 0.50 | +46.5% | -1.1% | -1.4% | +5.3% |
| 2024-02-26 | beat | 0.67 | 0.73 | +9.2% | +1.5% | -2.9% | +3.9% |
| 2023-11-02 | beat | 0.54 | 0.60 | +11.1% | +3.2% | +8.3% | +1.3% |
| 2023-08-03 | miss | 0.24 | 0.21 | -12.6% | +0.2% | -4.9% | -5.8% |
| 2023-05-04 | miss | 0.22 | 0.22 | -1.7% | +0.5% | +0.8% | -1.6% |
| 2023-02-27 | beat | 0.46 | 0.49 | +5.6% | +1.5% | -1.7% | -1.3% |
| 2022-11-04 | beat | 0.53 | 0.63 | +18.0% | +3.1% | +1.0% | +7.2% |
| 2022-08-04 | beat | 0.31 | 0.34 | +8.5% | +3.1% | +5.3% | +8.2% |
| 2022-05-05 | miss | 0.27 | 0.21 | -21.4% | -1.6% | -1.8% | -5.1% |
| 2022-02-24 | beat | 0.43 | 0.45 | +4.9% | +1.0% | +0.9% | +4.3% |
| 2021-11-03 | beat | 0.43 | 0.50 | +15.4% | +2.2% | -0.7% | -1.7% |
| 2021-08-04 | beat | 0.29 | 0.31 | +7.3% | +2.8% | +5.1% | +6.2% |
| 2021-05-06 | miss | 0.30 | 0.28 | -6.7% | -1.9% | -3.9% | -7.7% |
| 2021-02-25 | beat | 0.44 | 0.48 | +8.7% | -1.1% | -5.9% | -7.6% |
| 2020-11-06 | miss | 0.43 | 0.42 | -2.3% | -0.3% | -2.7% | -0.5% |
| 2020-08-06 | beat | 0.24 | 0.25 | +4.5% | -0.3% | +7.5% | +15.5% |
| 2020-05-07 | miss | 0.29 | 0.29 | -0.9% | +0.0% | -3.3% | -5.7% |
| 2020-02-28 | beat | 0.33 | 0.35 | +6.9% | -12.5% | -8.5% | -8.0% |
| 2019-11-06 | beat | 0.40 | 0.48 | +19.4% | +2.5% | +2.9% | +5.6% |
| 2019-08-06 | miss | 0.28 | 0.26 | -7.8% | -1.9% | -3.8% | -7.0% |
| 2019-05-07 | miss | 0.30 | 0.28 | -6.4% | -0.6% | -1.7% | -4.3% |
| 2019-02-27 | beat | 0.34 | 0.36 | +7.1% | -1.3% | -0.8% | +1.7% |
| 2018-11-06 | beat | 0.30 | 0.35 | +16.4% | -1.5% | +6.2% | +2.3% |
| 2018-08-07 | miss | 0.28 | 0.25 | -10.4% | -4.0% | -1.4% | -2.3% |
| 2018-05-08 | beat | 0.25 | 0.28 | +14.2% | -1.8% | -5.2% | -0.6% |
| 2018-02-27 | beat | 0.36 | 0.43 | +20.7% | +2.9% | +7.4% | +4.6% |
| 2017-11-02 | miss | 0.29 | 0.24 | -18.0% | +0.5% | +2.1% | -2.6% |
| 2017-08-08 | beat | 0.21 | 0.25 | +20.2% | -0.8% | +2.5% | +0.0% |
| 2017-05-08 | miss | 0.20 | 0.17 | -16.9% | -2.1% | -0.1% | +0.7% |
| 2017-02-27 | miss | 0.35 | 0.35 | -1.0% | -1.8% | -6.6% | -3.4% |
| 2016-11-04 | miss | 0.33 | 0.32 | -2.6% | -2.0% | +3.1% | -4.2% |
| 2016-08-05 | beat | 0.16 | 0.17 | +9.0% | +0.2% | -1.5% | -1.5% |
| 2016-05-09 | miss | 0.20 | 0.13 | -36.2% | -1.2% | +0.7% | +0.3% |
| 2016-02-24 | beat | 0.32 | 0.34 | +4.7% | -0.8% | +4.7% | +7.3% |
| 2015-11-05 | beat | 0.36 | 0.39 | +8.9% | -3.1% | -8.7% | -10.1% |
| 2015-08-10 | miss | 0.26 | 0.25 | -3.6% | -0.5% | +0.3% | +1.8% |
| 2015-05-11 | beat | 0.25 | 0.25 | +1.2% | -2.7% | +0.1% | +0.6% |
| 2015-02-26 | beat | 0.36 | 0.41 | +13.0% | +1.0% | +5.2% | +5.8% |
| 2014-11-06 | beat | 0.34 | 0.37 | +8.5% | -2.9% | -6.4% | -1.9% |
| 2014-08-07 | beat | 0.28 | 0.28 | +0.1% | -2.4% | +0.2% | +3.8% |
| 2014-05-08 | miss | 0.27 | 0.24 | -10.7% | -3.2% | -2.7% | -1.9% |
| 2014-02-26 | miss | 0.29 | 0.29 | -1.6% | -0.8% | -0.8% | -1.7% |
| 2013-11-07 | beat | 0.34 | 0.39 | +13.1% | +0.3% | -2.5% | +8.2% |
| 2013-08-08 | beat | 0.28 | 0.32 | +13.7% | +0.2% | +2.0% | -0.5% |
| 2013-05-09 | miss | 0.30 | 0.26 | -12.2% | -0.8% | -4.9% | -7.5% |
| 2013-02-27 | beat | 0.31 | 0.32 | +4.5% | +1.1% | +6.3% | +12.9% |
| 2012-11-07 | beat | 0.35 | 0.36 | +2.6% | +0.7% | -3.9% | -6.7% |
| 2012-08-06 | miss | 0.27 | 0.18 | -33.0% | -2.2% | -4.4% | -3.2% |
| 2012-05-04 | beat | 0.27 | 0.37 | +34.6% | +4.1% | -1.1% | +1.2% |
| 2012-02-27 | miss | 0.24 | 0.23 | -2.8% | -0.3% | -0.7% | -3.0% |
| 2011-11-04 | miss | 0.28 | 0.27 | -2.6% | +3.4% | +2.8% | +1.7% |
Not investment advice.
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