AFModel view — historical tendencies for the days ahead, not a forecast
Next 1 day
+0.1%
Next 1 week
+0.5%
Next 1 month
-0.1%
Seasonality
Bullish window historically
Next 30 days (to Nov 29): +1.3% median,
62% of the last 45 years finished up.
20-year seasonality chart →
Mean reversion
Overbought — RSI(2) at 81
RSI(2) under 15 is oversold (this name has historically bounced); over 85 is overbought.
Its dip-buy edge in history is -0.06%/day.
Mean-reversion stats →
1-month breakdown —
Market · β -0.21 -0.6% · Seasonal tilt +0.5%
$12.8B market cap (#835 US)
$55M/day volume
18% volatility
+17% 1-year
-1% from ATH
52-week range · 94% of the way up · -1% from the high
$123.09$154.99
Congressional trades in AFG Full tracker →
2 members · 2 buys / 2 sells · $32K–$130K disclosed · latest filing Jan 13, 2026.
| BUY | $1K–$15K | |
| SELL | $1K–$15K | |
| BUY | $15K–$50K | |
| SELL | $15K–$50K |
Earnings Full history →
Next report 2026-11-03 (Tuesday, after close, in 5 days) · EPS est. 3.82.
1-day std dev
3.0%
Finished up
62%
Biggest pop
+6.3%
Biggest drop
-8.1%
Standard deviation of the close-to-close move over the last 60 reports. History, not a forecast.
| Reported | Est. | Actual | Surprise | Gap | Day 1 | Day 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 | beat | 2.37 | 2.82 | +18.9% | +2.8% | +4.4% | +3.0% |
| 2026-04-29 | miss | 2.56 | 2.47 | -3.4% | -2.5% | +3.0% | +1.8% |
| 2026-02-03 | beat | 3.32 | 3.65 | +10.1% | -2.1% | -3.1% | -1.1% |
| 2025-11-04 | beat | 2.51 | 2.69 | +7.2% | +1.4% | +2.8% | +8.0% |
| 2025-08-05 | beat | 2.10 | 2.14 | +1.7% | -1.2% | +2.7% | +7.6% |
| 2025-05-06 | miss | 2.08 | 1.84 | -11.5% | -4.6% | -6.1% | -6.1% |
| 2025-02-04 | beat | 3.01 | 3.12 | +3.7% | -3.0% | -6.2% | -8.1% |
| 2024-11-05 | miss | 2.46 | 2.31 | -6.2% | +4.1% | +5.0% | +12.8% |
| 2024-08-06 | beat | 2.44 | 2.56 | +5.0% | -0.8% | -0.7% | +2.7% |
| 2024-05-01 | beat | 2.73 | 2.76 | +1.0% | +0.9% | -0.8% | +1.9% |
| 2024-02-06 | miss | 2.89 | 2.84 | -1.7% | +0.6% | +2.1% | +2.7% |
| 2023-11-01 | beat | 2.43 | 2.45 | +0.7% | -1.0% | -2.1% | -2.6% |
| 2023-08-02 | miss | 2.79 | 2.38 | -14.7% | -7.1% | -8.1% | -8.6% |
| 2023-05-02 | miss | 2.91 | 2.89 | -0.8% | -1.5% | -4.4% | -4.7% |
| 2023-02-01 | beat | 2.86 | 2.99 | +4.7% | +3.0% | -2.3% | -1.6% |
| 2022-11-02 | beat | 2.03 | 2.24 | +10.4% | -0.1% | +3.5% | +5.7% |
| 2022-08-03 | beat | 2.21 | 2.85 | +29.1% | +0.9% | -2.5% | +2.9% |
| 2022-05-04 | beat | 2.71 | 3.56 | +31.2% | +1.8% | +1.9% | -2.7% |
| 2022-02-09 | beat | 2.98 | 4.12 | +38.5% | +0.3% | +2.9% | +2.1% |
| 2021-11-02 | beat | 1.95 | 2.71 | +39.0% | +1.3% | +4.9% | +5.4% |
| 2021-08-03 | beat | 1.65 | 2.39 | +45.1% | -1.1% | +1.3% | +5.8% |
| 2021-05-04 | beat | 1.67 | 2.38 | +42.2% | -0.5% | +0.5% | +1.2% |
| 2021-02-03 | beat | 2.08 | 3.09 | +48.4% | +0.4% | +3.2% | +15.6% |
| 2020-10-28 | beat | 1.71 | 2.45 | +43.7% | -0.7% | +1.1% | +6.0% |
| 2020-08-04 | miss | 1.34 | 1.05 | -21.6% | +1.2% | +1.9% | +11.2% |
| 2020-05-11 | beat | 1.85 | 1.88 | +1.8% | +1.4% | -5.8% | -12.1% |
| 2020-02-03 | miss | 2.26 | 2.22 | -1.8% | -0.4% | +0.5% | +4.6% |
| 2019-10-29 | beat | 2.00 | 2.25 | +12.3% | -2.6% | +0.1% | +4.3% |
| 2019-08-06 | beat | 2.04 | 2.12 | +3.8% | -1.7% | +0.7% | -1.5% |
| 2019-05-01 | miss | 2.19 | 2.02 | -8.0% | +1.4% | -0.6% | -1.1% |
| 2019-01-30 | miss | 1.95 | 1.75 | -10.1% | -2.9% | +0.5% | +1.5% |
| 2018-10-30 | beat | 1.87 | 2.19 | +17.0% | +1.4% | -2.5% | +3.1% |
| 2018-08-01 | beat | 1.91 | 2.04 | +6.7% | -1.0% | +0.8% | -0.9% |
| 2018-05-02 | beat | 1.92 | 2.42 | +25.8% | +5.5% | -2.2% | +0.4% |
| 2018-01-31 | beat | 1.64 | 2.20 | +33.9% | +3.2% | +6.3% | -4.3% |
| 2017-10-31 | beat | 0.85 | 1.06 | +25.4% | -0.4% | -3.5% | -0.9% |
| 2017-08-01 | beat | 1.30 | 1.61 | +23.9% | +1.4% | +2.9% | +3.3% |
| 2017-05-03 | beat | 1.34 | 1.69 | +26.1% | +0.8% | +3.9% | +0.9% |
| 2017-02-01 | beat | 1.60 | 1.98 | +23.4% | +3.2% | +5.1% | +5.4% |
| 2016-11-01 | miss | 1.52 | 1.51 | -0.4% | +0.0% | +2.8% | +4.4% |
| 2016-08-02 | beat | 1.26 | 1.28 | +1.6% | -0.1% | -1.5% | +1.1% |
| 2016-05-02 | beat | 1.18 | 1.25 | +6.0% | -1.0% | +0.6% | +2.9% |
| 2016-02-02 | miss | 1.60 | 1.52 | -5.3% | +0.0% | -0.7% | -5.0% |
| 2015-11-03 | miss | 1.50 | 1.38 | -8.0% | -0.7% | -1.9% | -0.5% |
| 2015-08-04 | beat | 1.19 | 1.28 | +7.2% | +0.9% | +2.2% | +4.2% |
| 2015-04-27 | beat | 1.12 | 1.25 | +11.3% | -0.2% | +0.8% | -1.3% |
| 2015-02-02 | beat | 1.29 | 1.35 | +4.5% | -0.2% | +3.2% | +5.7% |
| 2014-10-28 | beat | 1.16 | 1.40 | +20.9% | +0.0% | +0.1% | +1.4% |
| 2014-07-28 | beat | 0.95 | 1.07 | +12.9% | +0.2% | -0.9% | -3.7% |
| 2014-05-06 | beat | 0.97 | 1.00 | +2.8% | +0.1% | +1.1% | +0.3% |
| 2014-01-30 | beat | 1.21 | 1.28 | +5.8% | -1.5% | -1.0% | -1.2% |
| 2013-10-29 | beat | 1.06 | 1.06 | +0.1% | -0.4% | +0.2% | -0.9% |
| 2013-07-29 | beat | 0.86 | 0.96 | +11.3% | +1.7% | +0.3% | +1.5% |
| 2013-05-08 | beat | 0.81 | 0.92 | +13.1% | +0.0% | -0.9% | +1.0% |
| 2013-02-11 | beat | 0.67 | 0.67 | +0.7% | -0.1% | +0.9% | +1.5% |
| 2012-10-29 | beat | 0.60 | 0.82 | +36.0% | +0.2% | +0.7% | -1.3% |
| 2012-07-30 | beat | 0.79 | 0.91 | +15.7% | -1.7% | -0.5% | -2.1% |
| 2012-04-30 | beat | 0.78 | 0.86 | +10.8% | +2.4% | +2.5% | +1.7% |
| 2012-02-01 | beat | 0.94 | 1.06 | +13.3% | +0.3% | -1.2% | -0.9% |
| 2011-10-25 | beat | 0.82 | 0.90 | +10.2% | +2.0% | +2.6% | +0.9% |
Not investment advice.
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